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comments ahead of highly anticipated
#cpi
830am EST w/ caution based lgly on
#Nasdaq100
#TechnicalAnalysis
longer term #ta based on mthly charts
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BTCUSD Tries Ending Volatile Week Above 80k on Further Short Covering
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#TrumpTariffs #Ethereum ($ETH #ETHUSD ) ETHUSD continues to underperform BTCUSD, and with the strong downward momentum as seen by the still downsloping weekly RSI and MACD (in the weekly chart below), could slide further in the next month or so before finding a more sustainable tradable bottom from the November high or to the June 2022 low. Note that the ETHUSD bull market that began June 2022 and ended March 2024 has nearly completely unwound. Nevertheless, some short term relief could arrive in the next day or so as risky assets are increasingly short-term oversold, with odds rising for a minimum multi-week Dead Cat Bounce to begin as early as Wednesday with the release of the US FOMC meeting minutes, Thursday with the US CPI and unemployment claims, and Friday with the US PPI and preliminary UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. Weekly
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#TrumpTariffs April 7, 2025 Global Macro Risky assets have gapped down to start the week with the market digesting the historically high US tariff levels announced by the Trump administration late last week. The tariffs are a complex discussion beyond the scope of today’s piece, but a herculean effort to rebalance global trade with the US suffering increasingly unsustainable massive trade deficits with many major trading partners over the last few decades. There have been many benefactors among US MNCs to the offshoring trend, but also many losers principally among US manufacturers (remaining onshore). Time will tell whether this strategy of re-onshoring of some manufacturing into the US will work over time, but in the past few months, the market has spoken with its fears over what the brakes on the status quo means insofar as impact to global trade flows and profits in the short to mid term. As with other times of severe risk off sentiment, correlations across asset classes rise and these past few months have been no different. #Bitcoin ($BTC ) For the next few days, to the relief of bulls or those playing a short-term bounce, BTCUSD should be seeing some tentative support as BTCUSD is now testing the 38.2% Fib retrace of the massive December 2022 to January 2025 bull market (as can be seen in the weekly chart below) along with the highs of March and June 2024. BTCUSD is likely to slide further to the 50% Fib of the same bull market (coinciding roughly with the peaks of April and November 2021) by year end but odds are rising for a minimum multi-week Dead Cat Bounce to begin as early as Wednesday with the release of the US FOMC meeting minutes, Thursday with the US CPI and unemployment claims, and Friday with the US PPI and preliminary UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. Weekly
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#hbar $HBAR #HBARUSDT #HBARUSD post-#cpi #ta fairly bullish on mthly, wkly and dly charts where I'm looking to buy on dips in the next few days w/ tight bracket orders. I generally won't be holding more than 24-48hrs per long. Let me know your thoughts!
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#LINK $LINK #LINKUSDT #LINKUSD post-#cpi #ta fairly bullish on mthly, wkly and dly charts where I'm looking to buy on dips in the next few days w/ tight bracket orders. I generally won't be holding more than 24-48hrs per long.
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