Bitcoin (BTC) recently dropped 11% between Jan. 7 and Jan. 9, breaking below the $92,000 mark for the first time in nine days. This decline led to the liquidation of $257.5 million in leveraged long positions and coincided with strong economic data, profit-taking, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitical developments.
Despite the bearish momentum, three key metrics hint that $92,000 could mark a local bottom, offering a potential entry point for investors.
📉 Metric #1: SOPR Drop Suggests a Price Bottom
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) fell to 0.98 on Jan. 10, indicating short-term holders are selling at a loss.
Key Insight: SOPR values below 1 typically signal capitulation, hinting at a market bottom.
Historical Context:
In August 2024, a SOPR drop to 0.90 preceded a 31% recovery to $65,103.
In November 2024, a SOPR dip below 1 preceded a 62% rally to all-time highs above $108,000.
The current SOPR levels suggest a potential buying opportunity, as some investors view the $92,000 range as a major support zone.
📊 Metric #2: Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow Turns Bullish
The Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow indicator dropped to 210,000 on Jan. 9, below the critical threshold of 250,000, signaling a historical "buy zone."
Historical Significance:
In July 2021, similar levels preceded a new bull run that pushed Bitcoin to $69,000.
A breakout above 250,000 often marks the beginning of significant price recoveries.
With the metric now flashing green, Bitcoin could recover from its $92,000 bottom and aim for new highs.
📈 Metric #3: Long-Term Holder Distribution Peaks
The percentage of Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders (LTHs) recently hit its lowest level since December 2024, indicating distribution activity.
Key Insight: LTH distribution has likely peaked, transitioning the market from a distribution phase to an accumulation phase.
Historical Context: Price increases often follow LTH distribution peaks, as seen in previous market cycles.
🚀 What’s Next for Bitcoin?
While Bitcoin’s recent drop has caused concern, these three metrics suggest the worst may be over:
SOPR levels indicate short-term capitulation.
Dormancy Flow highlights a historical buy zone.
LTH supply dynamics align with potential market bottoms.
Investors are closely watching the $92,000 range as a critical support level. If these metrics hold true, Bitcoin could be poised for a strong recovery, potentially setting the stage for another bull run.
💬 What’s your take on Bitcoin’s price action? Let us know below! 👇