'Trump Dump' and Arthur Hayes' New Expectations
Former CEO of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, has just predicted that the crypto market will peak in mid or late March 2025, after which it will undergo a strong correction.
Previously, Hayes warned of a 'Trump dump'—a major sell-off when expectations for President #TRUMP 's crypto-friendly policies are not met. However, he believes this 'dump' occurred from mid-December to the end of 2024, earlier than expected.
Positive Signals from USD Liquidity
According to Hayes, the first three months of 2025 could bring 'positive momentum' to the crypto market due to an increase in USD liquidity of up to $612 billion. This factor is expected to offset disappointment from the Trump administration's policies, allowing crypto values to continue growing.
He also believes this is an opportunity for investors to increase their risk levels, focusing on new areas like 'DeSci shitcoins' (decentralized science tokens).
Strategy: Sell at the End of March
Hayes gives clear advice: 'By the end of March, sell and relax on the beach.'
As the Chief Investment Officer of #maelstrom , he encourages risk-taking investors to seize opportunities before the market peaks.
Flexible Perspective: Innovating with Data
Hayes admits he has changed his view on the Trump administration's impact on the crypto market and does not hesitate to acknowledge that he was wrong before. However, he emphasizes the importance of continuously updating information and adjusting strategies to avoid missing opportunities.
Although the accuracy rate of predictions has only reached 25% in the past 12 months, Hayes believes that learning from mistakes and achieving 'more successes than failures' is what truly matters.
Conclusion
Arthur Hayes offers an interesting perspective on the crypto market with the prediction that the peak will occur in March 2025. While strong corrections may happen afterward, positive signals from USD liquidity still give hope to investors. This is a crucial time to optimize strategies and seize market opportunities.