$BTC **Analysis of the Current Situation and Forecast for the Near Future**

Greetings to all who are interested in accurate signals!

**Key Spoiler:**

Before spring, we will have a sideways movement in the range of 84–108 with a further upward breakout.

### Detailed Scenario:

**1. Formation of the "Triangle" Pattern:**

- **104.8** — the second touch of the upper boundary of the triangle is expected in the coming days.

- **94.0** — the third touch of the lower boundary of the triangle is expected around the 20th of January.

It will take about another week for the final drawing of the triangle's boundaries.

**2. Downward Breakout:**

As soon as the triangle becomes obvious, an aggressive downward breakout is expected to collect liquidity:

- **Target 1:** a decrease of ~10% to 85.

- **Target 2:** a deeper drop of ~25% to 73.

The second option looks more reliable for forming a long-term "long" position for 2025. However, this scenario will require significant news support, which, as practice shows, is not a serious problem.

**3. Return and Bounce:**

After the downward breakout, a retest of the triangle from below (approximately at the level of 93) followed by a bounce is possible. Next, there will be a sharp upward breakout to liquidate short positions.