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A Fork In The Road
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$DOGE $PEPE $TRUMP 点链接进入币安王牌KOL交流群,一起挖掘千百倍大金狗! 根据日程安排,美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将于当地时间5月6日至7日举行议息会议。 CME“美联储观察”工具显示,下周降息的概率只有5.6%,维持利率不变的概率为94.4%。但6月的议息会议降息的概率已升至65.5%,6月维持利率不变的概率为34.5%。 尽管美联储主席鲍威尔和其他官员近期纷纷表态,美联储在调整政策之前可能会持谨慎态度,但目前交易员们预计美联储将在今年年底前降息整整100个基点。 City Index和Forex.com分析师Fawad Razaqzada表示,美国第一季度的经济数据疲软可能推动美联储降息,美联储现在更有可能更快地采取降息措施。而数据的疲软也可能鼓励特朗普放松关税政策,加快达成贸易协议。 Navellier & Associates首席投资官表示:“如果美国政府很快宣布达成一系列贸易协议,乐观情绪将会上升,美联储可能很快就会降息。如果拖上几周甚至几个月,对供应链的损害和不可避免的通胀可能会引发滞胀,对美国股市非常不利。” 克利夫兰联储主席哈马克近日表示,如果到6月经济数据能提供明确方向,美联储可能在6月采取行动。货币政策立场长期偏向鹰派的美联储理事沃勒近日立场持续转向鸽派,多次强调如果特朗普政府实施的高额关税措施迫使美国企业更大规模裁员,届时他将支持降息,以保护美国劳动力市场。 目前市场正密切关注将于周五发布的美国4月非农就业数据报告,经济学家警告称美国劳动力市场可能因特朗普政府的关税政策而出现剧烈动荡,进而使得金融市场对于美联储将在6月份开启今年首次降息的概率大幅增长。
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Conan潜力无限
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Conan顶级叙事、ip好社区强、潜力无限!
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进帖子分享的币安交流群要什么要求吗?
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Conan潜力无限!
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