⚡️Financial Times made a forecast for 2025
In the 2024 forecast, the publication made only 3 mistakes out of 22 points. What will happen in 2025:
▪️Will a peace treaty be signed between Ukraine and Russia? Yes. It will require threatening harsher sanctions and increasing American support for Kyiv. Zelensky will agree to de facto but not legal control by Russia over occupied territories in exchange for security guarantees. Ukraine's NATO membership will NOT be taken off the agenda.
▪️Will Bitcoin reach $200,000? Yes.
▪️Will Trump initiate a full-scale tariff war? Yes, overall. This implies at least a 10% tariff on at least half of US imports by the end of the year.
▪️Will interest rates in the US be lower by the end of the year than they are now? No.
▪️Will Macron retain the presidency of France? Yes.
▪️Will the "Magnificent Seven" Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla collapse? No.
▪️Will prices for Chinese exports continue to fall? Yes.
▪️Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump have a falling out? No.
▪️Will Germany relax its debt brake? Yes.
▪️Will the bond market crash? No.
▪️Will carbon emissions in China decrease? No.
▪️Will the UK Labour government keep its promise not to raise taxes further? Yes, for now.
▪️Will Israel and the US strike Iran's nuclear facilities? No.
▪️Will India's GDP surpass Japan's GDP? No.
▪️Will the share of electric vehicles in total global car sales exceed a quarter? No.
▪️Will Javier Milei remove currency controls in Argentina? Yes.
▪️Will the war in Sudan continue? Tragically, yes.
▪️Will we have AI agents that we can utilize? Yes.
▪️Will another major deal be made with a Hollywood studio? Yes.
▪️Will compact discs mark the beginning of a long-term revival similar to vinyl? No.