$BTC
BTC Market Short-Term Trend Analysis and Forecast
According to the data provided today, there is a significant outflow of market funds, with bearish forces dominating. The 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 1-day periods all show that the selling proportion is higher than buying, with a net outflow reaching **-4.58K BTC**, indicating continuous capital exit.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD has crossed downward, the RSI is below 50, and the KDJ is diverging downward, suggesting weak market momentum; the K-line has fallen below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, with short-term prices retreating to around 103,500 USDT, support below at 102,000 USDT, and resistance above at 104,500 USDT.
Summary: The market is expected to be bearish in the next 4 hours, with risks of further declines. Support to watch is at 102,000 USDT; if it stabilizes, there may be a chance for a rebound; otherwise, the search for a bottom will continue. The operational suggestion is to mainly observe, while aggressives may consider shorting with light positions when rebounds face resistance.