Will the decline in inflation be just a temporary incident?
Recently, we have seen the disinflation process stall, raising questions about whether this development is just a blip or the beginning of a more stable trend. This will be closely watched with the release of the November CPI report tomorrow.
According to analysts’ consensus estimates, the near-flat trend is expected to continue. Annual changes in consumer prices are expected to rise to 2.7% in November from 2.6% previously, while core inflation will remain steady at 3.3%. This is in line with consumer surveys and economic models that reflect similar expectations for stable inflation in the near future.
However, inflation risks could rise again next year due to expected policies from the new Trump administration, such as higher import tariffs and deportation of migrant workers. However, interest rate cuts are still on the agenda for the Federal Reserve at its next meeting.
Finally, the CPI report due in the coming days will be of great interest for further guidance on future inflation trends. This article is the author’s personal research and may contain inaccurate or misleading information. Readers are advised to refer to reliable economic sources for a more accurate and comprehensive analysis.
