I spent 3 hours sorting this out, after reading you might know whether ai16z will continue to pump

The 14-day 78.6 times pump of ai16z seems more like a result of retail sentiment + small funds庄

It is not a completely normal market phenomenon

Just look at the K line, 4 days ago, on November 11th

ai16z's K line looks like a steep line, like a helicopter

It pushed the price from $0.02 each directly up to $0.21 each

A 10 times pump only took 4 days

Sky checked the positions, on 2024-10-27 ai16z's market value was $43,204,642
Until the 10th, the market value of act was $3,035,305, a 10 times drop
Then on the 12th, it directly soared to over 20 million

This should be due to new庄 entering / the庄 that previously dumped picked up low-priced chips to continue operating

What is the purpose?
1. Think the name ai16z is great, it satirizes top VCs like a16z (who take all the benefits)
To some extent, it reduces the profit potential for retail investors
2. This is an AI meme, and the hot thing these two weeks is AI memes, so this shell belongs to a popular narrative
3. Continue to operate and make money from retail investors
Sky thinks this ai16z name is indeed good, but if retail investors buy to make money, they should consider the risks

Now let's talk about the origin of ai16z

First of all, this meme ai16z was tweeted by shaw @shawmakesmagic

So the first tweet he mentioned ai16z was this one

https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1851266943761990077

On October 29th, shaw simply and directly said: "
dao fun put us on the front page"

What does that mean?

It means directly putting the pool out

This tweet got 26k, I guess it should be a natural flow + found some meme KOLs to retweet

On October 30th, shaw began to retweet some people promoting ai16z's posts

"I really like this post, but I obviously have a bias"

These were of course likely pre-discussed, and even these people might be members of this meme team

@NathanSternx is one of them
https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1851330352670974116

@M4T_NFT is one of them
https://x.com/M4T_NFT/status/1851336500480266542

Then shaw began to retweet several posts from web3 celebrities, although they seemed unrelated to the project he was doing, they looked good. This operational method should have been mentioned by sky in the first two posts

The second and third tweets were two posts with more than 10,000 likes, the content was related to AI tokens, I feel like they are trying to make it a bit mysterious? Some users in the English community seem to eat this up

"New policy, based on experience: If you create an agent and deploy tokens, I will give it a week before interacting. Deploying agents has become so easy that the natural barriers to fraud are no longer that high. If you create an agent just for fun or to build a community or project, I’m always willing to interact."

Isn't it a bit abstract? I think so too..

Then shaw started to frantically retweet some people's replies, saying some nonsensical things

Interested friends can read https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1851401430424510782

After October 29th
sky checked the data

2024-10-27 market value $43,204,642
2024-10-28 market value $43,204,642
2024-10-29 $15,888,440

This means that on October 29th, shaw was vigorously promoting on Twitter while withdrawing more than half of the liquidity from the ai16z pool

It can be said that the promotion was just to dump and offload

From October 30th to November 3rd

Shaw continues to unload and dump

And mocked, "There’s nothing better than meeting those who have been ridiculing you all along, they are actually really cool"

Anyway, what would you feel if you bought based on his words and saw such remarks

Willing to gamble and accept losses? Or what kind of mood?

Shaw also said another project is a scam, warning his followers and giving the advice:
"Many people have been scammed in the AI meta field. I keep getting asked whether this or that project is legitimate. Considering how many projects are using ai16z code now, I think I have established that we are legitimate. I will tell you whether the project/intelligence is legitimate or a scam, or if I don't know. Legitimate = real AI"

Isn’t that pretty abstract?

30th The same day indicates:
"Hello everyone, I am Shaw. I am an interdisciplinary programmer and entrepreneur living in San Francisco. I have been researching autonomous agents for several years, and I am very excited to finally show this to everyone. I co-founded ai16z on Twitter with some very capable people, "

From here begins the abstraction of a16z

https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1851599336096096436

https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1851547578657361993

The following days are pretty much the same, sky summarizes for everyone
1. Retweet crypto celebrities, although it has nothing to do with this project
2. Retweet and reply vigorously to the comments of the user @degenspartanai, it could be a group
3. Debunking fraud
4. "Wealth Code" "Money-Making Secret"
5. Say some strange-sounding things
6. Post GitHub links, seemingly writing code, but not sure if it was actually written by them

On November 2nd, shaw opened a dis channel
Retweet what @dankvr said, it seems this person is also part of the ai16z team
Time arrived on November 4th

We saw ai16z's market value begin to rebound

From $3,876,267 to $5,473,079

The reasons should be
1. Several AI KOLs tweeted for them
2. The official tweet of the meme @ai16zdao appeared
3. ai16z's ds opened, they should have repeatedly promoted it inside

From November 4th to November 6th, after the promotion, liquidity was pulled again

The promotional methods are similar to what was said above, but what’s different is:

1. Partner mechanism, it should be turning crazy promotions into partners, and then distributing tokens? @Steins_0
2. Find some small KOLs with a few thousand followers to promote it like @Cryppocrates
3. Talk vigorously about how good this is in DC, I guess, because shaw posted several pictures of heated discussions in DC

Other methods are also similar to what was said above

From January 7th to November 11th
Continuing to promote, the process of dumping
Promotion brought people to buy, when it was about enough, they dumped

Of course, at this moment, they also did not forget to abstract, made a video
https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1853290570892165326

On November 11th

That is to say, two days before ai16z's price multiplied by 30

We can see that its price went from starting with 3 to starting with 5

sky speculates that the related庄 has successfully built a position

This is a trial run to see how the ROI of the pump is

Then found that it met expectations

So on November 12th, it started to officially pump

From a price of $0.02488191 all the way to $0.189550, more than 9 times

It was finished in about 3 days

So what has shaw been saying these days?

On January 11th, shaw chatted with @notthreadguy, this person is a member of monad
And this person @notthreadguy is from an NFT project

This member of monad also livestreamed with shaw
Interested people can watch
https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1855836209802776708

On November 12th before the ai16z pump said
"This is your last chance, the metadata is about to change again"
https://x.com/shawmakesmagic/status/1856160630660837499

No, retail investors have been dumped so many times.. Finally, a real pump came

If I were to guess
One possibility is that the chips are still in shaw's hands
Another possibility is that the chips are in the hands of monad @notthreadguy
Of course, it could also be other庄

How will ai16z operate in the future?

1. If the chips are in shaw's hands, I think there might be a big dump later

2. If they are in the hands of that person from monad, I don’t know
Maybe they want to take this project to the top

Personally, I think ai16z is a judgment of the main force's position

The risk is relatively high

Wrote down the development history of ai16z, does not constitute investment advice!