Possible negatives/black swans before the big bull

1. The United States direct military intervention in Gaza

2. Korean War

3. Tesla sells remaining 25% of Bitcoin

4. U.S. judicial investigation into Binance and TEDA companies

5. Grayscale currently owns more than 600,000 BTC. These more than 600,000 BTC are held on behalf of customers and are not allowed to be sold. Only the corresponding GBTC can be traded in the secondary market. Once the conversion to ETF is completed, the above-mentioned more than 600,000 "unsellable" BTC will be equal to "sellable". It is necessary to decide whether to continue to hold or sell according to the customer's wishes. It's like opening the door. But that doesn’t mean everyone will sell.

Which one do you think is more likely to happen?