Trump is leading significantly this time. Unless large-scale cheating reaches a huge threshold, it is unlikely to affect the final outcome. According to early voting data in New Jersey, the Republican Party leads the Democratic Party by 145,000 to 140,000, but New Jersey is not a swing state; it is traditionally a solid blue state. In past elections, the Republican Party has not been able to lead in early voting even in solid red states. Therefore, the real support rate for Trump far exceeds various fake polling data, so unless there is large-scale cheating, it is difficult to shake his lead.
This time, the federal Supreme Court is on Trump's side. A couple of days ago, the Fifth Circuit Court ruled that no ballots can be accepted after election day, which completely undermines the excuse used in 2020 for delaying the final results due to uncounted mail-in ballots in swing states. A few months ago, the federal Supreme Court ruled by a vote of 6 to 3 that Trump could receive immunity from criminal prosecution for certain actions taken at the end of his presidential term, meaning the federal Supreme Court ruled he would not go to jail for the Capitol riot incident. If there is significant election fraud, the federal Supreme Court can also intervene quickly.
Musk and X's media in 2020 were all anti-Trump; he was almost fighting alone. This time is different, as Musk invested heavily to buy X and successfully turned it into a vanguard for Trump's media war. Anyone who dares to commit election fraud will be hunted down and exposed by the media. In summary, the likelihood of the Democrats winning through cheating this time is low; they have already exhausted their major tricks, including two assassinations. If they have more major tricks, do Bezos, Buffett, and others have less information than us? Why have they withdrawn their support for Democratic candidates?
The return of the king is unstoppable!