In the pig farming industry, there will be a round of price drops every 5 years. As long as you can withstand the falling cycle, you can make back the principal and interest in the rising period.
But everyone knows the cycle, and the cycle will become invalid.
The normal situation of the cycle theory that few people know is that if you lose money, you will choose to reduce production.
With the blessing of the cycle theory, you will choose to withstand losses or increase production.
So, the cycle is extended to the unknown. The blood loss will not last until someone can't hold on and goes bankrupt, and the rest can win.
Predictions will affect predictions.
Variables will affect variables.