(Detailed analysis of SCR listing price based on L2 project)
As an emerging Ethereum Layer 2 expansion solution, Scroll (SCR) has attracted the attention of many investors. As its token is about to be listed, market expectations for its price are gradually heating up. This article will analyze the market performance of other Layer 2 projects (such as Arbitrum and Optimism), and combine Scroll's technical strength and token economic model to speculate on the listing price of SCR.
### 1. Comparison of L2 project market capitalization and circulating supply
- Arbitrum (ARB): The total market value at the time of listing was approximately US$1.2 billion, the circulating supply was 1 billion, and the initial price was US$1.2 per coin.
- Optimism (OP): The total market value at the time of listing is approximately US$900 million, the circulating supply is 1 billion, and the initial price is US$0.8 per coin.
Assuming that Scroll’s circulating supply is also set between 500 million and 1 billion, considering its technical strength and market acceptance, we can speculate that its initial market value will be between 600 million and 1 billion US dollars.
### 2. Market sentiment and demand analysis
Recently, market sentiment has warmed up due to the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. L2 projects have strong user demand, especially reducing Ethereum's transaction costs and improving scalability, which may further increase the demand for Scroll. Therefore, we can reasonably assume that Scroll will receive widespread attention and capital injection from investors in the early stage of its launch.
### 3. Specific price speculation
Based on Arbitrum and Optimism’s price models, as well as Scroll’s innovative technology and market sentiment, here are more specific price speculations:
- Circulating Supply: If the circulating supply of Scroll is 500 million to 700 million, combined with the current market heat, its listing price may reach US$1.0 to US$1.3.
- High demand scenario: If the market demand is extremely strong (similar to Arbitrum), the price may break through to $1.5 or even higher.
- Conservative scenario: If the circulating supply is large (close to 1 billion) and the market demand is average, the price may be around $0.8 to $1.0.
### 4. Price fluctuations after listing
Typically, new tokens experience greater volatility after listing. If Scroll successfully attracts more developers and users after its launch, its price may rise further; conversely, if the market heat decreases, the price may fall back to the support level of around $0.8.
### in conclusion
Combining Scroll's technical background and market conditions, it is preliminarily estimated that the listing price of SCR is likely to be between $0.9 and $1.3. If the market demand is strong, the price may exceed $1.5 or even reach $2. However, the specific price will also depend on Scroll's token supply and market response.
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This analysis is based on in-depth research on other Layer 2 projects and markets, and makes a more precise guess about the listing price of SCR, hoping to provide a reference for investors.
