Bitcoin, the biggest crash in history is coming soon.
More than 95.4% of people will be forced to liquidate their positions and lose all their money in this round.
Many people still haven't realized it yet.
The trend of Bitcoin is at its most critical and dangerous moment.
There are two reasons.
First, the Fed is about to cut interest rates.
The impact of this on the crypto market is definitely no less than Buffett reducing his holdings in U.S. stocks and replacing them all with cash.
Every fluctuation in news has a huge impact on the market.
Especially in the near future, the new president election will have different economic propositions, so whether it is Trump or Harris will have a great impact on cryptocurrencies. The main players and funds will pay close attention to such uncertainties, and then reflect them in market prices.
and,
Second, Bitcoin has been in a bull market for more than 8 months
As we all know, the last round of bull market lasted for about a year, so many people judged that Bitcoin is about to enter a bear market. Now that it is at the end of the bull market, they began to sell frantically. Is the bull market over? Or what stage has the bull market reached? This is likely to be related to many people's subsequent trading strategies and success rates. If there is no clear judgment, it is not difficult to make money, but it is lucky to have fewer liquidations.
In this ever-changing process,
In fact, no matter the main force or hot money, they will continue to explode both long and short positions according to the minimum trading resistance. It is very likely that you guessed the direction correctly, but died in the blue time before sunrise. It is romantic but regrettable.
Therefore, it is not only necessary to understand the trend but also to have an efficient and low-risk trading strategy.
I am Mu Ge, an Internet entrepreneur who achieved wealth freedom through cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin and Ethereum strategies are shared in the public strategy group every day, and trend and cycle analysis is updated from time to time.
The Bitcoin trend predicted several times last week has been fully verified. Trading competitions will be held regularly in the future to screen out the most promising traders. Click the link in the comment area to join the community directly. The strategies for the first four weeks of the community are completely free and open.
Having said that, today I want to help you solve the three most concerned and urgent problems:
1. What is the future direction of Bitcoin?
Is the bull market over, or has it not come yet?
2. How to trade in September and October?
The market conditions in September and October are unpredictable. How can we achieve victory while maintaining stability?
3. What method can ensure profit without loss?
Be sure to make good use of this trading winning secret that has helped me increase my trading volume from 5000u all the way to 80wu.
1. Let’s look at the future direction first
It is September 14th now and let’s do a simple market analysis of the previous trend.
After Bitcoin reached 73,777 points on March 14, close to 74,000 points, Bitcoin experienced a total of three rounds of declines, each of which was close to 10,000 points. In late August, it once fell below 50,000 US dollars to 49,000 US dollars. At the same time, ETH even reached an astonishing 2,110, once falling out of the 2-digit team. More than hundreds of thousands of people were liquidated on the entire network. Even many big bulls returned to poverty and returned to zero.
Yesterday, September 13, it reached a level of 60,000 US dollars, broke through part of the resistance level, and started a new shock pattern.
It is actually very simple to see the future trend of Bitcoin. There is no need for complex trend and technical analysis, let alone any news or policy. You only need to look at the fundamentals to know how Bitcoin will develop in the future.
Many people are saying that the bull market is over, and are frantically selling their bitcoins. It will rise when interest rates rise, and may fall when interest rates fall. It is very likely to go the other way around.
As of the latest ups and downs, the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated from the previous round of 65,000 to the recent 59,000-61,000. The price of Ethereum has fluctuated from the previous round of 3,200 to the current 2,300-2,400. It has experienced a big correction, and the market sentiment was once very pessimistic. Retail investors were once in despair, and there were countless liquidations. There were even seven liquidations in one day, and even dozens of times. This is a real case I saw in my own comment area.
This is also true in my community. Many people who have made money by following Mu Ge’s strategies are also anxious every day about whether the bull market will end, because in the eyes of many people, it will be difficult to make money after the bull market ends. But in fact, Mu Ge is best at trading in a volatile range, and it is easier to make money after the bull market ends, so he doesn’t worry about this at all.
The second is that Mu Ge never thinks that this round of bull market is over.
I dare say that most people just blindly believe that Bitcoin can rise, and think that Bitcoin will definitely reach 100,000 US dollars in 1-2 years, but 99% of them have not even read the Bitcoin white paper, let alone understand the basic logic of Bitcoin, nor the basic logic of investment. Without a clear understanding, the correct trading method, and a good guide, liquidation is commonplace.
Mu Ge's judgment that the bull market has not ended is still based on three points:
Let’s talk about point 1 first: Bitcoin’s consensus is getting stronger
More people have accepted and recognized Bitcoin. For example, more than 60% of young people in South Korea are speculating in Bitcoin. Previously, they were the ones who speculated on Luna Coin. Why is it so outrageous? In fact, it is because young people have no hope of rising. They need something new, exciting and promising to cheer them up. The future of the Chinese market is extremely huge, and it is another wave of fresh blood. The consensus and the number of people entering the Bitcoin market have not actually peaked. In a sense, all stock and property markets are Ponzi schemes of passing the parcel, but as long as there is a strong support of continuous consensus, they will definitely rise again.
The second point is: Bitcoin production is getting lower and lower
Everyone knows that the output of Bitcoin will continue to halve. The mining reward of Bitcoin is halved every 210,000 blocks. This means that about every four years, the number of new Bitcoins generated will decrease by 50%. For example, in 2009, the reward for each block was 50 Bitcoins. After the first halving in 2012, the reward was reduced to 25 Bitcoins. And by the second halving this year, the new block reward will be halved from 6.25 Bitcoins to 3.125 Bitcoins. Everyone knows that the rarer things are, the more valuable they are. Bitcoin is like this. There is a ratio that can be used as a reference. An Arab scholar, Saifdeen Amos, talked about a "stock-to-output" model. Simply put, it is the relationship between inventory and annual output. Inventory divided by annual output, there is a ratio called SF. You can see that the SF of gold is 62 and that of silver is 22. What does this mean? That is to say, it will take you 62 years to produce the same amount of gold as now, 22 years for silver, and 0.4 years for platinum, which all show one thing: they are extremely scarce. So, what is the SF value of Bitcoin? 19.5 million Bitcoins have been mined in the world. In fact, many Bitcoins have been permanently lost. At least more than 1.2 million Bitcoins cannot be found and cannot be activated. Therefore, there are only about 18.3 million Bitcoins that can be used. Based on the current annual production of 164,000 Bitcoins, its SF is about 111, which is more than double that of gold. And the annual inflation is only about 0.9%, which means that Bitcoin has become the most scarce property in human history since gold. This is the power brought by scarcity.
And the most important point 3: Gold has already gone out of its independent trend
In fact, when talking about Bitcoin, we must talk about gold. Everyone knows that gold is rising rapidly now. It took less than a year to rise from $1,600 per ounce to $2,600 per ounce, an increase of more than 60%. This is gold, the most valuable but also the most stable gold. It is conceivable that everyone is extremely pessimistic about the overall situation, so they continue to choose safe-haven gold investment and hoarding. In fact, Bitcoin and gold have the same safe-haven properties, and even naturally, Bitcoin can achieve better safe-haven effects than gold. The first is safety, no one can steal the key in your head. The second is easy to carry. Gold is too heavy and not convenient to trade. Bitcoin only needs to be carried in the phone and in the head to complete the transaction. Although Bitcoin and US stocks are highly correlated now, because after all, they also use USDT, and many big dealers are in US stocks, it is foreseeable that once a major event occurs, such as a large-scale war, such as the decline of US stocks, and national credit bankruptcy, Bitcoin will definitely have a great probability of going out of its own new wave of independent trends and will be crazy.
And everyone can see that in the current situation, no one is optimistic, whether it is the Russia-Ukraine war, or more frictions, and the gradual depression of the economic situation, all of which indicate that Bitcoin will definitely have the same or even higher independent trend as gold in the future.
I think everyone has already got the answer to the first question.
The second problem is more immediate and more pressing.
2. September and October are actually the core trading trends
First of all, the trend of September and October can be summarized in two key words:
First, shock
Second, upward.
It must have been oscillating and moving upward repeatedly in these two months. This is what Mu Ge has always emphasized, and it has been verified by the technical, fundamental and news aspects before. In this case, the most core trading principle is: short-term short selling and medium-term long selling.
If you have a large amount of funds, you can also learn from Mu Ge. Use two accounts to open medium and long-term. If you have 100wu, you can use 20% of it, that is, 20wu. One account has 10wu, and the position is 2% first, with 100 times leverage, and you can only do BTC. When the account drops to 400%, you can add 1%, and then the account drops to 600% again and add 1%. Now your total position is 4%, it is difficult to blow up the position, and the average price of opening a position is also quite comfortable. You will definitely thank me in 2-3 months. Remember to click thank you in the video. Of course, I don’t recommend long-term for small funds. It is meaningless with small funds.
If you have a small amount of capital, you will definitely want to double it like crazy, because Mu Ge has also been through this, of course he knows it. If you have less than 2wu capital now, you can type it in the comment area, and then find me to join the group to get a set of learning paths and information summaries for cryptocurrency transactions. I will help as many people as I can, but there is one requirement, which is to like and subscribe to my video to help the video help more people.
The most important thing for small funds in September and October is to avoid short positions. Because there will be many big opportunities in September and October, and it is even more important to avoid being stuck for a long time. Many people miss the big market this way. Many people have asked me how to double their money quickly before.
There are actually two core methods:
1. Rotate long and short positions quickly, and stop loss immediately if you are wrong.
In the last round of bull market, I actually used time + stop loss as a deadline. That is, if the specified time is exceeded, I will exit even if the stop loss has not been reached. This way, I will not miss the opportunity and can quickly summarize my trading experience. Sometimes, I will open long and short positions at the same time, close one side after the first round of trend is obviously over, and then use the profit to increase the position on the other side, pull down the average price, and wait for the next round of trend. If the current market is still going down, I can open a short position again, with a short position of one-third to one-quarter of the current long position, close the position at a low point, and wait for the rise. The success rate of such transactions is actually very high.
The second point is: small funds must be heavily invested to make money.
I have seen many trading bloggers who advise others not to hold heavy positions, but they themselves have 10% or 15% leveraged positions of 100 times. In fact, if you really want to double a small amount of capital quickly to get positive feedback, you have to hold a heavy position at the critical moment. But you must master the two keys to avoid margin calls. First, do not increase positions with floating profits. Second, do not trade in altcoins. The reason why Brother Mu has been able to travel smoothly all the way is that I always start to increase my positions when the floating losses reach more than 300%, because the positions are always opened at 2-3%, and I have 3-4 opportunities to increase my positions, which means I can make 3-4 mistakes in a row and then wait for the trend to reverse. As long as it is not a black swan trend, I will basically make a huge profit in the end, and the profit of a single account can reach 50-60%.
The biggest logic of altcoins is that they are too easy to be manipulated. One of my students also traded altcoins before, and opened a 3% position with a 100x leverage. As a result, the dealer started to crash the market at 4:50 pm, and the price dropped by 35%. Then the position was blown up soon. When he woke up in the morning, he was dumbfounded. He didn't want to admit defeat and went in again to follow the trend to short. Then the same script happened, from underwater to above water, and it was blown up again. From then on, he remembered my principle, which is not to trade altcoins.
Many people say that the growth of altcoins is much greater than that of mainstream currencies. In fact, it is possible to do so, but it is also a disciplined short-term trend order, or to invest in altcoins at the beginning. Many thousands of times and tens of thousands of times of profits are made in this way. If you go in and take over, you will be dead.
There are also some small successful trading ideas:
1. Enter the market for a short time. Don’t stay in the market for too long, because the longer you stay, the greater the probability of encountering a black swan. Generally speaking, 1-2 days is the best time. If the time is too long, the position will be liquidated. If the position is safe, it can be appropriately extended to 4-7 days to avoid long-term losses and missed opportunities for shock profits.
2. Light positions. In the first wave, enter 1-1.5 for trial position, add 1% after the loss increases, and add 1% if the loss continues to increase, and finally add to 6-8% at most. In each round, at least add at -300% of the point. This can ensure safety and profit, and you can wait for the market.
3. Strict stop-profit and stop-loss + reasonable profit and loss ratio + multiple accounts This is very important, and many people do not pay attention to it. They think that if I have little money and a light position, I will not be blown up. There is no need to set stop-profit and stop-loss. Just hold on. There is no need to have more accounts. In fact, including Mu Ge, I never thought that I would be blown up when I was full of complacency. The market is always unpredictable. If there is no good risk management, it will definitely die. I also have some friends around me who have made millions or even tens of millions of U, and then blindly confidently bet on a trend, or concentrate on one account, and finally burst the position and gain nothing. So no matter when, you have to split the position + stop-profit and stop-loss. The strategies I share in the community occasionally do not set stop-profit and stop-loss, because I am also doing it myself, and I can be notified directly at the first time when there is a turnaround.
In fact, most of the profits are not necessarily from contracts. I made a lot of money from the spot investment, and I also made some money from the community during this time. The proportion of money that Mu Ge makes in the currency circle now is 30% from spot, 10% from the community, 20% from the cottage investment, and the remaining 40% from the contract. This not only fed back to me in the early stage of the start-up, but also helped me to avoid liquidation. Of course, the previous company also continued to make money for me, which belongs to another part. In fact, if you want to make money steadily in the cryptocurrency market, you must have three qualities (good luck, reasonable strategy, and the ability to make money off the market). There are many people interested, and I will also release a special video to share these experiences and dry goods later.
The third one is also what many people are paying attention to and looking forward to: What is the method to make a profit without losing money?
After a sharp rise, there will definitely be a sharp fall. The highest point and the lowest point cannot last for a long time. It is like a swing. The time spent at the lowest point and the highest point is actually only a small part. The bigger part is the ups and downs in the middle. What I know is that most traders trade at a high frequency during the day, so I will not share any long-term strategies here, only ultra-short-term strategies and practical experience that can be quickly verified.
A friend of mine also took long orders before. He opened a 30wu account with more than 6000u, and the highest floating profit was close to 100wu. However, due to the huge market fluctuations in the past few weeks, he passively opened a position to stop loss. It can be said that it is a pity. Of course, for him, this money is just for fun, because he has accumulated a lot of spot and wealth in the currency circle at the beginning. Now we occasionally go out to travel together, and of course we will pay attention to the news and trends of the currency circle, because this is where we started.
All long-term investments are a huge test of human nature. I am also a short-term trader. I started with the 15-minute line, and after making stable profits, I started to do 4h and daily lines, and gradually improved my skills. It is because I also know that long-term investments will definitely rise, but the process is too difficult, especially in such a glamorous market. Long-term investments not only have to withstand price fluctuations, but are also constantly influenced by the stories of others getting rich every day. It is easy to lose your composure, and in the end it becomes a game of cutting leeks.
The most important thing to ensure a steady profit is to constantly optimize and iterate your methods and strategies, to know what you want and what you are doing in this market. If conditions permit, it is best to find a teacher to guide you, to constantly learn in trading, to constantly discuss and grow in the community, and even to constantly learn the ability to make money off the market, to give yourself enough room for error, then you will most likely survive to the end and win.
If Brother Mu really says it, there is never a sure way to make money without losing money. If there is, I won’t even do community work. I will just do it secretly by myself. I will be the richest man in the world before I speak. The most important thing is The key is not to make sure profits without losing money, but to lose as little as possible. Even if you do lose money, you can learn more valuable experience and strategies from losing money. When you regard failure as a kind of training, you will indeed keep making money.
In fact, there is a fourth question that most people are concerned about: When will Bitcoin reach 100,000 US dollars?
In fact, I think it is very likely to reach the next bull market high again within 4-6 months. If Bitcoin is repeatedly adjusted in the range of 60,000-80,000, most people's patience will be worn out and their holding costs will be reduced. At this time, with the help of a big news or policy, it is very likely to reach 100,000 US dollars in a very short time. In fact, there is no resistance after going up to 78,000, and it can all be broken through. Then, after the surge, there will definitely be a sharp drop. This wave will trap a considerable number of people, and the absolute majority of people will be liquidated, because it is still the same logic. The future of Bitcoin must be bright. Most people enter this market because they believe that Bitcoin will continue to set new highs. So do you think Bitcoin can reach 100,000 US dollars within 6 months? Welcome to type your answer in the comment area.
This issue mainly answers the four most urgent and concerned questions.
1. What is the future direction of Bitcoin?
2. How to trade in September and October?
3. What method can ensure profit without loss?
4. When will Bitcoin reach $100,000?
I believe that after watching this video, you will also gain some insights into your future trading direction. You can also post the problems you encounter in your daily trading in the comment section. When Mu Ge is free, he will also answer some of the fans' questions. I have also posted the Bitcoin strategy public community mentioned in the video in the comment section. If you are interested, just click to join.
This article ends here. In the future, Mu Ge will continue to update about investment, not only the latest trend analysis of US stocks and Bitcoin, but also about the thinking and practical information on how individuals can grow quickly. Including how ordinary people can break through the three biggest obstacles to a comeback in life: education scams, currency scams, and consumer scams. Only by breaking through these three scams and establishing a truly independent cognition and thinking framework can we achieve the freedom of wealth thinking as quickly as possible and lay the foundation for a true lie flat.
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