The Federal Reserve may start a rate cut cycle, and expectations of a US recession are intensifying, which may cause US stocks to fall by 70%. The US debt problem is serious, which may trigger a larger regional banking crisis and lead to the withdrawal of $36 trillion in funds from the US market.

1. The Fed's rate cut signal: Fed Chairman Powell has issued a rate cut signal, and the rate cut cycle is expected to start in September.

2. Concerns about US recession: Wall Street's big shorts have warned that a US recession may cause the stock market to fall by 70%.

3. US debt problem: The US debt exceeds $35 trillion, accounting for more than 122% of GDP, which may trigger debt defaults and banking crises.

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