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As the interest rate cut approaches, there is a saying in the capital market that is often said:

Bad news often turns out to be good news. Unless it is greatly beyond expectations

Good news turns out to be bad news, unless it is greatly beyond expectations

The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut is high, and the probability of a 0.5% interest rate cut is low.

Both 0.25 and 0.5 are not considered to be greatly beyond expectations,

so the market will not have particularly large fluctuations,

and it may usher in a sharp drop after a slow rise.

Let me give you an example.

The first one: a knife hangs over a person's head and can fall at any time.

The second one: the knife has fallen, but the person is not dead.

Which situation is more likely to cause panic?

It must be the first one.

Another example:

The first one: a person goes to meet an online love object, and her photo is very beautiful.

The second one: the appearance is OK, but not as beautiful as the photo.

Will you still be as happy as when you meet? I don't think so.

So this explains why good news will bring bad news, and bad news will bring good news. Of course, the premise is that people cannot die. To speak human language, you still have to have bullets.

I am A Qin, let's grow together.