How will the market go? Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece", published an article when the August non-farm data was about to be released, saying that tonight's employment report will affect the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut. Many leeks are not sensitive to this kind of information, just like many mainland leeks can't understand the news broadcast. Politics and economics have always been one and the same. It is difficult for people who are purely economic and technical analysts to see the whole picture. So what does this mouthpiece mean at this time? In fact, it is very simple. This is the main job of FUD - part of expectation management. It is very likely that the Fed will not be able to hold the rate at 25 basis points this time, and the intensity of the rate reduction will be more violent. On the surface, it is the so-called data support, but in fact it is more about politics. You must know that the American data can also be beautified. Powell has long been welded to the Democratic Party. Trump, who has experienced assassination and wrongful imprisonment, will definitely be liquidated when he comes to power. Therefore, the interest rate cut at this time is very subtle. A 25 basis point reduction will embolden Kamala Harris. In the debate on the 9th, it is very likely that Kamala Harris will not be able to beat Trump. Don't look at her shouting happily. A candidate who proposes a solution to inflation is to catch those who raise prices probably only has hahaha in his mind. Once the debate fails, the remaining 25 basis points of rate hikes will have to be taken out. After all, he is still the incumbent vice president. The Democratic Party needs better economic data to win votes. Therefore, the so-called megaphone has come out at this time and has paved the way. Therefore, technical analysis must be combined with the background of the big trend. For short-term speculation, it is only suitable for swing trading recently. There are two opportunities to steal chicken this month, one is the debate and the other is the interest rate meeting. Pay close attention. If you are doing short-term trading, short contracts at highs and buy spot at lows. If you are long-term, it is actually simpler to buy more when the price drops. No matter who is president, printing money is no longer an option, but a must. The only difference is how much money is printed and how it is spent. #USDataImpact #美国选举 Follow me and take you through the bull and bear markets.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content.See T&Cs.