When we do a detailed analysis of the entire history of the cryptocurrency market, there are some interesting facts if the 4-year cycle repeats itself:

1️⃣ BTC bull run will start in November 2024.

Contrary to popular belief among some, the real price rally only comes into full effect after the halving event.

This does not mean that the market has not reached its lows yet.

The fact is that it has and bitcoin has typically recovered many times before the halving.

However, the FULL effect that many perceive as a real bull run, often does not occur until many months later.

Predictions based on past events taking place in November 2024.

2️⃣ BTC's price peak is expected to occur a year later in December 2025.

The bull cycle lasted quite a long time.

Usually starts with a boom from bitcoin, followed by a boom in altcoins and the entire bull market in general.

Nearly a year and a half after the halving, however, bitcoin is starting to peak along with many altcoins.

On average, a FULL bull market lasts 1 year.

(a bull cycle generally lasts a little longer but the bullish environment that many people perceive as a bull market actually lasts 1 year).

Based on average historical data, this is expected around December 2025.

3️⃣ The bear market low is expected to be reached around the same time in late 2026.

There are many perspectives on calling a market bottom or cycle bottom.

While bitcoin may have bottomed out, altcoins can certainly continue to do so for a long time.

However, in order to not look at 1000+ different things, we mainly look at bitcoin as a leading indicator.

And this “cycle bottom/bitcoin bottom” is expected to be reached by the end of 2026 based on previous historical data.

Price Prediction

1️⃣ BTC $130,000 - $145,000

Some well-known and experienced institutional analysts have made the following statement:

Due to factors including the upcoming halving and greater interest from institutions, Bitcoin price is set to increase by 400% in two years.

The next peak is expected to be between $115,000 and $120,000.

This prediction also takes into account the diminishing effect that each new bull cycle has on the price of Bitcoin.

As bitcoin continues to break all-time highs, due to the large market size, it cannot multiply by the same amount each time.

We have seen this evidence in the past every time.

Based on this we can expect around 400% run at around $115-120k.
2️⃣ $175,000 - $200,000 is everyone's guess.

Many surveys have been conducted in the past and the big consensus among retail crypto enthusiasts is a prediction of $175-200k.

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It is important to remember that the next bull run may not come at the same time and scale as predicted here.

It would be too optimistic to think that the same event will happen on the exact same day and time.

An estimate is just what it says. An estimated prediction.

However, we have seen that the 4-year cycle has a strong recurrence in history.

And based on that, these estimates may not be far from the truth.

While we should not look at the exact same day or time.

We can use these estimates with an average 1-3 month difference to make decisions.