Big Pie Monday Scenario Assumptions:

1. Stand firm at ma200 (28035). If there is no news and no emotional stimulation, it can go to 28600, maybe 29200, but it will fall to 27000, and the contracts on both sides will be purely liquidated.

2. Stand firm at ma200, which is good news. It will stabilize at 29200 and hit 31800.

3. If MA200 is not stable, it will call back to 27000 or 26600.

3. MA200 is not stable, and bad news stimulates emotions and continues to fall.

One of the reasons for the weakness of Ethereum is that the chain continues to be sluggish, with inflation currently lasting five consecutive weeks, with an annual inflation rate of 0.385%. Secondly, the ethbtc exchange rate continues to fall due to the ftx hacker, which is very close to the previous low of 0.049. It is currently 0.059, but on the contrary There will be a better chance of doing it and stopping the decline earlier if it happens.