ETH future outlook and pledge risk analysis

For ETH, which ranks second, whether it can reach the 10,000 U mark in the next two years is still uncertain. ETH faces an awkward market positioning, its cost-effectiveness is not as good as Solana, and its belief foundation is inferior to BTC. In addition, the substantial adjustment of its consensus mechanism makes ETH present a "four-in-one" state. When assets reach their peak, steady development should usually be chosen rather than radical reforms to avoid potential risks.

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What is more noteworthy is that 30% of the current ETH circulation is pledged or locked, which directly leads to a significant reduction in the number of tradable ETH in the market. Among them, more than half of the pledged ETH comes from derivative projects, and this situation undoubtedly exacerbates the imbalance between supply and demand in the market. From another perspective, this part of the pledged ETH is like a tempting "fat meat", which is more likely to cause market fluctuations in the bull market atmosphere. In summary, the future trend of ETH needs to comprehensively consider its market positioning, technical adjustments, and the market impact of pledge locks. Investors should remain vigilant and pay close attention to market dynamics to make wise investment decisions.

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