$BTC
The 2024 election is back in turmoil! ! !
Polymarket predicts Trump's chance of winning drops to 52%
Harris follows closely behind at 46%
The suspense of the election escalates! ! !
Polymarket’s latest prediction: Trump and Harris’ 2024 U.S. presidential election probabilities
Date Highlights: On August 7, the forecast data on the Polymarket platform changed significantly, adding new insights into the upcoming 2024 US presidential election.
• Trump probability reduced: According to the latest forecast from Polymarket, the probability of Donald Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election has dropped to 52%.
The adjustment reflects market participants' reassessment of Trump's re-election prospects.
• Harris' probability increases: At the same time, Vice President Kamala Harris's probability of winning has increased significantly to 46%.
The growing trend indicates that the market believes Harris is becoming more competitive as a potential candidate.
Summary: Polymarket’s latest forecast data reveals the tense situation in the 2024 US presidential election, with the competition between Trump and Harris getting increasingly fierce.
To sum up: the impact on cryptocurrency is mainly reflected in market sentiment, policy expectations and capital flows.
However, due to the complexity and uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, the specific extent and direction of these impacts are difficult to accurately predict.
Therefore, investors should remain cautious when participating in cryptocurrency transactions and pay close attention to market dynamics and policy changes.
