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一诺的交易思考
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Market news: Grayscale launches decentralized AI fund, the fund basket includes Bittensor (TAO), Filecoin (FIL), Livepeer (LPT), Near (NEAR) and Render (RNDR).
$LPT
#near暴涨8倍
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NEAR
2.08
-4.93%
LPT
6.064
-4.36%
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一诺的交易思考
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微策略在5月26日至6月1日期间加仓705枚BTC,均价106495美元(总计7510万美元) $BTC
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大多数人交易失败不是因为“不会看行情”,而是仓位太重,压垮了自己的判断力。你明明知道趋势还在,但扛了10个点浮亏就坐立不安;你明明计划止损,可到了点位还是想着再撑一下。 为什么?因为你赌得太重了,你不再是在执行策略,而是在“救自己”。 真正能长期活下来的交易者,不是因为他比你聪明,而是他知道什么样的仓位自己能睡得着觉。你能忍3%的波动,就别设10%的止损;你心态只能容忍小亏,就别满仓梭哈。 交易不是靠赢一单翻身,是靠无数次“亏得起”撑出来的。你越想快点赚钱,市场越是先把你教做人。 #加密市场回调
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这里大家可以防守一波了,大饼走势比较弱,下周应该是跌+宽幅震荡,短期支撑看 104000$BTC
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炒币的本质是玩概率. 如果你一开始计算出的目标数学期望是10块钱投出去你赚13块钱出来. 怎么才能无限接近于13呢. 按照大数定律,随着重复次数接近无穷大,数值的算术平均值几乎肯定地收敛于期望值。 单次你赌一个币涨或者一个币跌,来完成你赚13块钱的概率并不大而且不稳定. 如果你把一揽子标的,比如同类型或者同样思路选出来的10个币,20个,或者50个币做成一个组合,总投入金额还是保持10块钱. 那你最终的收益就会几乎肯定的收敛在你一开始计算的数学期望13块. 所以做空尽量别只做空一个, 做多也别只做多一个, 只要跟你最初的想法单个投入的金额一致, 你的风险会更低, 收益会更确定.
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没法玩币圈现在.就等三个可玩一点的机会. 1.alpha1500万以下的钱包tge小币子. 2.币安再次发下架公告的1500以下的带合约小币子. 3.大饼和sol插针撸把反弹多的短线. 太枯燥了,这行情.
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