【Shanzhai VS mainstream loss degree】
1. After a lot of research in the past few days, the small-scale conclusion I have drawn temporarily is
90% of people are fully invested in Shanzhai, and the loss range is 50-80%
10% of people have bought mainstream, such as BTC and ETH, and the loss range is 20-30%
Which situation are you in?
2. Shanzhai is bleeding like a river and falling continuously. It is extremely difficult to make money this year.
If you don’t give up the pattern and use the strategy of capital preservation, it is difficult to make money. Not losing money is an excellent record.
The second is that most of the positions are in the mainstream. The loss is small and the rebound is also fast. The worst result is that the mainstream will not return to zero no matter what.
Shanzhai is different. A large part of Shanzhai will die in each round, and the next round will be full of new favorites.
Don't blame yourself for not being able to choose a copycat. This project owner or VC has no intention to make retail investors make money. There are a bunch of currencies that are waiting to be unlocked and are at their peak. There will be so much selling pressure in the future. How can retail investors play? The rules have changed, the difficulty has increased, and the strategy must also be adjusted.
In the past, we danced with the dealer to make the cake bigger and have a meal; now we stay away from VC, and saving our lives is the most important thing.
Therefore, it is difficult for each round of Shanzhai. A sharp rise is rare, and a general rise is even more unrealistic. There are more cases of sector rotation. It is very challenging to plan and sell in time to lock in profits. Otherwise, it will be a roller coaster.
3. The strategy that everyone may not like is the best strategy in a rapidly volatile market.
For example:
(1) 70% should be stored in the mainstream (mainly BTC and other mainstreams). Although the multiples may be low, investment is about who can survive longer, not who can make money quickly; and the overall situation of the market depends on the face of the big cake.
(2) Capital preservation plan, you must first protect your capital, and then use the profit to structure.
4. It is still the same old saying. Most of the positions should be bought in the mainstream, the big black swan or in extreme cases to resist the decline. Compared with those who are full of Shanzhai, less loss or no loss is profit.
And you may not see your comrades who are full of Shanzhai in the next round; while you are still holding the mainstream at the table. If you don’t leave the table, you will have a chance.
⚠️Flowing water does not compete for the first place, but for the continuous flow; grass does not compete for height, but for the endless growth.
5. Reflection:
Distinguish between wishes and facts
Let pain become the driving force for progress
Reflection + pain = progress
☕️Do better next time.
