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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
shady997x :
btc
$BTC #btc Analistas predicen un posible crash final de Bitcoin tras revelaciones de ZachXBT
El temor a un "crash final" de Bitcoin se ha intensificado tras el anuncio del investigador on-chain ZachXBT, quien tiene previsto publicar una investigación de gran impacto este 26 de febrero de 2026. La incertidumbre radica en que el informe revelaría una trama de uso de información privilegiada (insider trading) a "escala industrial" dentro de una de las empresas más rentables y respetadas del sector cripto.
Aquí los puntos clave de la situación actual:
Impacto de la investigación: ZachXBT afirma tener pruebas de que múltiples empleados de una firma líder utilizaron datos internos confidenciales para lucrarse durante un periodo prolongado. Aunque el nombre no ha sido revelado, mercados de predicción como Polymarket ya han movilizado millones de dólares especulando sobre empresas como Meteora, Axiom o MEXC.
Fragilidad del mercado: Esta revelación llega en un momento de alta vulnerabilidad. Bitcoin ha sufrido una caída cercana al 30-45% en lo que va de 2026, pasando de máximos de $126,000 en octubre de 2025 a oscilar por debajo de los $65,000 en febrero de 2026.
Riesgo de contagio: Analistas advierten que si la empresa señalada es un pilar de liquidez (como se sospecha de Meteora en el ecosistema Solana), la revelación podría desencadenar un "choque de liquidez" y una pérdida de confianza institucional masiva.
Otros factores de presión: El mercado ya enfrenta vientos en contra, incluyendo la propuesta de aranceles globales del 15% por parte de la administración Trump y una posible retirada de liquidez por parte de la Reserva Federal.
A pesar del pesimismo, firmas como ARK Invest mantienen una visión alcista a largo plazo, prediciendo que la capitalización de Bitcoin podría crecer un 700% en los próximos cuatro años una vez superada esta fase de transición.
El temor a un "crash final" de Bitcoin se ha intensificado tras el anuncio del investigador on-chain ZachXBT, quien tiene previsto publicar una investigación de gran impacto este 26 de febrero de 2026. La incertidumbre radica en que el informe revelaría una trama de uso de información privilegiada (insider trading) a "escala industrial" dentro de una de las empresas más rentables y respetadas del sector cripto.
Aquí los puntos clave de la situación actual:
Impacto de la investigación: ZachXBT afirma tener pruebas de que múltiples empleados de una firma líder utilizaron datos internos confidenciales para lucrarse durante un periodo prolongado. Aunque el nombre no ha sido revelado, mercados de predicción como Polymarket ya han movilizado millones de dólares especulando sobre empresas como Meteora, Axiom o MEXC.
Fragilidad del mercado: Esta revelación llega en un momento de alta vulnerabilidad. Bitcoin ha sufrido una caída cercana al 30-45% en lo que va de 2026, pasando de máximos de $126,000 en octubre de 2025 a oscilar por debajo de los $65,000 en febrero de 2026.
Riesgo de contagio: Analistas advierten que si la empresa señalada es un pilar de liquidez (como se sospecha de Meteora en el ecosistema Solana), la revelación podría desencadenar un "choque de liquidez" y una pérdida de confianza institucional masiva.
Otros factores de presión: El mercado ya enfrenta vientos en contra, incluyendo la propuesta de aranceles globales del 15% por parte de la administración Trump y una posible retirada de liquidez por parte de la Reserva Federal.
A pesar del pesimismo, firmas como ARK Invest mantienen una visión alcista a largo plazo, prediciendo que la capitalización de Bitcoin podría crecer un 700% en los próximos cuatro años una vez superada esta fase de transición.
Alfercla2002:
No veo que esto afecte mucho a la cotización de Bitcoin
🚨 ÚLTIMA HORA NO MERCADO CRIPTO
A capitalização total das criptomoedas aumentou +US$ 170 BILHÕES em apenas um dia.
Isso não é detalhe… isso é fluxo pesado entrando no mercado.
🟢 $BTC +7%
🟢 $ETH +13%
🟢 $SOL +13%
🟢 Altcoins acordando forte
Quando o mercado sobe em bloco assim, normalmente não é movimento isolado — é mudança de sentimento.
Pergunta importante:
Estamos vendo o início de uma nova perna de alta ou apenas um short squeeze bem executado?
Quem estava esperando confirmação… talvez ela esteja começando a aparecer.
E você, está posicionado ou ainda assistindo de fora? 👀📈
#Binance #btc #TrendingTopic
A capitalização total das criptomoedas aumentou +US$ 170 BILHÕES em apenas um dia.
Isso não é detalhe… isso é fluxo pesado entrando no mercado.
🟢 $BTC +7%
🟢 $ETH +13%
🟢 $SOL +13%
🟢 Altcoins acordando forte
Quando o mercado sobe em bloco assim, normalmente não é movimento isolado — é mudança de sentimento.
Pergunta importante:
Estamos vendo o início de uma nova perna de alta ou apenas um short squeeze bem executado?
Quem estava esperando confirmação… talvez ela esteja começando a aparecer.
E você, está posicionado ou ainda assistindo de fora? 👀📈
#Binance #btc #TrendingTopic
Square-6dfgbh75bm:
kkkkk
🔥
📘 Lesson 1: What Trading Really Is
📌 Title: Trading Is NOT Gambling
Trading is buying low and selling high based on:
Market structure
Trend direction
Volume
Risk management
Gambling = Entering without a plan
Trading = Entering with strategy + stop loss
If you don’t have a stop loss, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. #Binance #BTC
👉 Have you ever entered a trade without a plan?”
📘 Lesson 1: What Trading Really Is
📌 Title: Trading Is NOT Gambling
Trading is buying low and selling high based on:
Market structure
Trend direction
Volume
Risk management
Gambling = Entering without a plan
Trading = Entering with strategy + stop loss
If you don’t have a stop loss, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. #Binance #BTC
👉 Have you ever entered a trade without a plan?”
Trade Analysis for $BTCUSD
1. Falling Wedge Breakout
The price of $BTC was trading within a descending channel (the blue diagonal lines). We have seen a successful bullish breakout above the upper resistance line, which suggests that the previous downward pressure is fading on the 1H timeframe.
2. Entry Activation (The Retest)
Your entry was activated because the price returned to test the upper boundary of the broken channel and showed a "bounce."
• Entry Zone: Currently around $68275.
• The Projection: The zigzag line in the grey box shows a predicted move toward the next major horizontal resistance.
3. Key Levels to Watch
• Stop Loss (SL): Placed around $65526. It is vital for $BTCUSD to stay above this level to keep the bullish structure intact.
• Psychological Resistance: Keep an eye on $70000. This is a major round number where traders often take quick profits.
• Main Target (TP): Your target is the black horizontal line at $72340.
• Major Supply Zone: If the momentum continues, the next big hurdle is the grey box between $74000 and $78000.
Strategy Note
Since $BTC is showing strength, you might consider moving your stop loss to your entry price once it clears the $70500 mark to ensure a "risk-free" trade.
$BTC
#btc
#BTC走势分析 #signals #analysis
1. Falling Wedge Breakout
The price of $BTC was trading within a descending channel (the blue diagonal lines). We have seen a successful bullish breakout above the upper resistance line, which suggests that the previous downward pressure is fading on the 1H timeframe.
2. Entry Activation (The Retest)
Your entry was activated because the price returned to test the upper boundary of the broken channel and showed a "bounce."
• Entry Zone: Currently around $68275.
• The Projection: The zigzag line in the grey box shows a predicted move toward the next major horizontal resistance.
3. Key Levels to Watch
• Stop Loss (SL): Placed around $65526. It is vital for $BTCUSD to stay above this level to keep the bullish structure intact.
• Psychological Resistance: Keep an eye on $70000. This is a major round number where traders often take quick profits.
• Main Target (TP): Your target is the black horizontal line at $72340.
• Major Supply Zone: If the momentum continues, the next big hurdle is the grey box between $74000 and $78000.
Strategy Note
Since $BTC is showing strength, you might consider moving your stop loss to your entry price once it clears the $70500 mark to ensure a "risk-free" trade.
$BTC
#btc
#BTC走势分析 #signals #analysis
$BTC
#btc
🔎 تحليل BTCUSDT – وفق موجات إليوت
📌 السيناريو الحالي:
السوق أنهى هيكلًا تصحيحيًا معقدًا من نوع WXY – Flat، تلاه هبوط خماسي واضح يمثل موجة دافعة إلى الأسفل (1-2-3-4-5).
نحن الآن داخل تصحيح صاعد لموجة الهبوط الأخيرة، مرجّح أن يكون:
• إما موجة WXY تصحيحية
• أو موجة ABC مركبة
⸻
📊 المستويات المهمة:
🔹 0.5 فيبوناتشي: 66,157
🔹 0.786 فيبوناتشي: 64,003
🔹 منطقة الإبطال (Invalidation): كسر واضح أسفل 62,300
⸻
🟢 السيناريو الإيجابي:
إذا حافظ السعر على التداول أعلى 64,000 ولم يكسر منطقة الإبطال، فهناك احتمال كبير أن نكون في:
• موجة (2) تصحيحية انتهت
• أو في نهاية موجة Y من تصحيح مركب
وفي هذه الحالة، نتوقع انطلاقة موجة دافعة جديدة إلى الأعلى تستهدف:
• إعادة اختبار 68,000
• ثم 70,000+
• وعلى المدى المتوسط قد نرى امتدادًا باتجاه قمم جديدة
⸻
🔴 السيناريو السلبي:
كسر 62,300 يعني أن:
• التصحيح لم ينتهِ بعد
• وقد نكون داخل موجة (3) هابطة ممتدة
• مما يفتح المجال لزيارة مناطق 60,000 – 58,000
⸻
⚖️ الخلاصة التكتيكية:
نحن في منطقة حاسمة.
السوق إما أنهى تصحيحًا معقدًا ويستعد لموجة دافعة قوية،
أو لا يزال داخل تركيب تصحيحي أعمق.
🎯 كما أقول دائمًا:
دع الصفقة تأتي إليك، لا تطارد السوق.
الانتظار حتى تأكيد الكسر أو الارتداد هو القرار الأذكى.
#btc
🔎 تحليل BTCUSDT – وفق موجات إليوت
📌 السيناريو الحالي:
السوق أنهى هيكلًا تصحيحيًا معقدًا من نوع WXY – Flat، تلاه هبوط خماسي واضح يمثل موجة دافعة إلى الأسفل (1-2-3-4-5).
نحن الآن داخل تصحيح صاعد لموجة الهبوط الأخيرة، مرجّح أن يكون:
• إما موجة WXY تصحيحية
• أو موجة ABC مركبة
⸻
📊 المستويات المهمة:
🔹 0.5 فيبوناتشي: 66,157
🔹 0.786 فيبوناتشي: 64,003
🔹 منطقة الإبطال (Invalidation): كسر واضح أسفل 62,300
⸻
🟢 السيناريو الإيجابي:
إذا حافظ السعر على التداول أعلى 64,000 ولم يكسر منطقة الإبطال، فهناك احتمال كبير أن نكون في:
• موجة (2) تصحيحية انتهت
• أو في نهاية موجة Y من تصحيح مركب
وفي هذه الحالة، نتوقع انطلاقة موجة دافعة جديدة إلى الأعلى تستهدف:
• إعادة اختبار 68,000
• ثم 70,000+
• وعلى المدى المتوسط قد نرى امتدادًا باتجاه قمم جديدة
⸻
🔴 السيناريو السلبي:
كسر 62,300 يعني أن:
• التصحيح لم ينتهِ بعد
• وقد نكون داخل موجة (3) هابطة ممتدة
• مما يفتح المجال لزيارة مناطق 60,000 – 58,000
⸻
⚖️ الخلاصة التكتيكية:
نحن في منطقة حاسمة.
السوق إما أنهى تصحيحًا معقدًا ويستعد لموجة دافعة قوية،
أو لا يزال داخل تركيب تصحيحي أعمق.
🎯 كما أقول دائمًا:
دع الصفقة تأتي إليك، لا تطارد السوق.
الانتظار حتى تأكيد الكسر أو الارتداد هو القرار الأذكى.
$BTC As of February 26, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at approximately $68,219, reflecting a significant +6.04% relief rally over the last 24 hours. This surge represents one of the strongest single-session gains in months, as the asset attempts to recover from a period of intense downward pressure.
Bull Case: If BTC holds above the $66,900 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) support, it may challenge the next major resistance at $71,600.
Bear Case: Failure to maintain the $68,000 level could see a retest of the $63,500 range. Some analysts remain structurally bearish, eyeing a potential long-term target of $50,000 if the current consolidation range breaks downward.
#BTC #btc #MarketRebound
Bull Case: If BTC holds above the $66,900 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) support, it may challenge the next major resistance at $71,600.
Bear Case: Failure to maintain the $68,000 level could see a retest of the $63,500 range. Some analysts remain structurally bearish, eyeing a potential long-term target of $50,000 if the current consolidation range breaks downward.
#BTC #btc #MarketRebound
🟠 ¿BTC preparándose para el próximo movimiento? 👀
Bitcoin sigue demostrando por qué es el rey del mercado cripto.
Después de cada corrección, vuelve la pregunta clave:
📌 ¿Acumulación o distribución?
Algunos puntos a observar:
🔹 Volumen creciente en zonas clave
🔹 Soportes respetados
🔹 Sentimiento del mercado mejorando
Históricamente, cuando BTC se mantiene fuerte en consolidación, el siguiente movimiento suele ser explosivo 🚀 (aunque no siempre inmediato).
La paciencia en este mercado puede marcar la diferencia.
¿Tú qué piensas?
¿Estamos en fase de acumulación o viene otra corrección?
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #Binance
$BTC
Bitcoin sigue demostrando por qué es el rey del mercado cripto.
Después de cada corrección, vuelve la pregunta clave:
📌 ¿Acumulación o distribución?
Algunos puntos a observar:
🔹 Volumen creciente en zonas clave
🔹 Soportes respetados
🔹 Sentimiento del mercado mejorando
Históricamente, cuando BTC se mantiene fuerte en consolidación, el siguiente movimiento suele ser explosivo 🚀 (aunque no siempre inmediato).
La paciencia en este mercado puede marcar la diferencia.
¿Tú qué piensas?
¿Estamos en fase de acumulación o viene otra corrección?
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #Binance
$BTC
$BTC
🌸 BOTTOM IS CLOSER THAN YOU THINK?
There are two important moments we can highlight on this chart:
1) The lowest point of each cycle is has historically formed roughly every 1430 days, suggesting we should see the bottom forming in October 2026.
2) The time required to reclaim the ATH has been shrinking with every cycle: 1216 days -> 1066 days -> 851 days
🧐 And now...? If we believe the 4-year-cycle still exists, then the number of 730 - 750 days (before reaching new ATH) looks increasingly realistic.
#crypto #btc #bitcoin #crypto
🌸 BOTTOM IS CLOSER THAN YOU THINK?
There are two important moments we can highlight on this chart:
1) The lowest point of each cycle is has historically formed roughly every 1430 days, suggesting we should see the bottom forming in October 2026.
2) The time required to reclaim the ATH has been shrinking with every cycle: 1216 days -> 1066 days -> 851 days
🧐 And now...? If we believe the 4-year-cycle still exists, then the number of 730 - 750 days (before reaching new ATH) looks increasingly realistic.
#crypto #btc #bitcoin #crypto
Update #btc
The chart shows that Bitcoin has broken out of a downward trend (the blue channel). Right now, the price is doing what traders call a "retest." Essentially, it broke above the top blue line, and now it’s dipping back down to touch that same line to make sure it’s strong enough to support a jump higher.
The Current Move
The grey path drawn on your screen predicts a "zigzag" movement:
1. The Dip: Price touches the top blue line around $67,250 to "confirm" the breakout.
2. The Bounce: From that spot, it’s expected to shoot back up.
3. The Target: The final goal for this specific move is the black horizontal line at $72,295.
What to Watch For
As long as the price stays above $67,250, the plan in your drawing is valid. If it closes a candle back inside the blue lines, it might mean a "fakeout," and it could drop lower toward the $64,000 area.
Bottom line: The chart is currently bullish, looking for a bounce off the blue line to hit $72k.
#btc #crypto #signal
The chart shows that Bitcoin has broken out of a downward trend (the blue channel). Right now, the price is doing what traders call a "retest." Essentially, it broke above the top blue line, and now it’s dipping back down to touch that same line to make sure it’s strong enough to support a jump higher.
The Current Move
The grey path drawn on your screen predicts a "zigzag" movement:
1. The Dip: Price touches the top blue line around $67,250 to "confirm" the breakout.
2. The Bounce: From that spot, it’s expected to shoot back up.
3. The Target: The final goal for this specific move is the black horizontal line at $72,295.
What to Watch For
As long as the price stays above $67,250, the plan in your drawing is valid. If it closes a candle back inside the blue lines, it might mean a "fakeout," and it could drop lower toward the $64,000 area.
Bottom line: The chart is currently bullish, looking for a bounce off the blue line to hit $72k.
#btc #crypto #signal
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