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Trading Strategies for a Bear Market
The crypto bear market is officially here.
This is our guide to what it is, how to survive it, and how to trade with intelligence throughout.
Bear markets are an inevitable component of any financial market, and cryptocurrency markets are no exception. While the excitement of bull runs dominates headlines and social media feeds, bear markets represent extended periods where prices decline consistently, testing the resolve of even the most committed investors. Understanding how to navigate these challenging periods separates successful traders from those who capitulate at the worst possible moment.
The cryptocurrency space has witnessed several bear markets since its inception in 2009, each offering valuable lessons about market cycles, risk management, and strategic positioning. Rather than viewing these downturns as purely negative events, experienced traders recognize them as opportunities to refine their strategies, accumulate quality assets at discounted prices, and position themselves advantageously for the next cycle.
Summary
Bear markets refer to periods where asset prices fall more than 20% from highs, although in crypto, 70-90% drops are not uncommon.Multiple trading strategies are effective in bear markets, including short selling, put options, range trading, and strategic accumulation at discounted prices.Historical bear markets have preceded massive recoveries, with Bitcoin gaining over 700% in the most recent bull market from cycle lows.On-chain metrics, investor sentiment and capitulation events are indicators that investors can use to time the potential market bottom.
What Is a Bear Market?
A bear market is generally defined as a period when asset prices decline by 20% or more from recent highs and continue trending downwards over a sustained timeframe. In traditional finance, bear markets can typically last anywhere from weeks, months, to even years. Cryptocurrency markets, known for their volatility, often experience even more dramatic downturns, with declines of 70-90% from peak values not uncommon during severe bear markets.
During a bear market, lower highs and lower lows dominate price action, creating a clear downtrend across the majority of timeframes. Investor and market sentiment also shift decisively negative, with fear and uncertainty replacing the optimism that characterized the preceding bull market.
Trading volumes frequently decline during bear markets as participants exit positions or move to the sidelines to avoid further losses. This reduced liquidity can further exacerbate price movements, making them even more volatile.
Why Is It Called a Bear Market?
The terminology "bear market" has origins in early trading practices, though the exact etymology remains debated among financial historians. The most commonly cited explanation relates to the manner in which bears attack their prey, swiping downward with their paws. This downward motion became metaphorically associated with falling prices.
Another theory, which Merriam-Webster backs, suggests that the term derives from bearskin trading practices in the 18th century, where middlemen would sell bearskins before actually possessing them, hoping to purchase them later at lower prices. This practice of selling something you expect to decline in value mirrors the behavior of traders who profit from shorting falling markets.
The counterpart term "bull market" likely developed in opposition to bear markets, with bulls representing the opposite attacking motion, swinging their horns upwards. Since their origins two to three hundred years ago, these animal metaphors have since become firmly embedded in financial language across all global markets.
Is a Bear Market a Good Time to Buy Crypto?
The question of whether bear markets present good buying opportunities depends entirely on the investment horizon, risk tolerance, and financial situation of the investor. For long-term investors with high conviction in the future of cryptocurrency, bear markets historically have offered the most attractive entry points. Assets that seemed overvalued during the euphoric phases of a bull market often trade at substantial discounts when pessimism reaches a high. This is especially so for crypto, where investor sentiment often swings to the extremes. Looking at the last two prolonged bear markets in 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin returned 2,110% and 715% respectively from the bear market lows to the subsequent bull market peak.
However, attempting to time the exact bottom often proves to be a difficult task. Markets can remain oversold longer than most anticipate, and what appears to be a bargain can decline another 30-50% before finally finding support. The strategy of dollar-cost averaging, making regular purchases of fixed amounts regardless of price, can help to mitigate timing risk while building positions gradually.
Several factors warrant consideration before deploying capital during bear markets. First, investors should ensure that they possess adequate emergency reserves and are not investing money needed for near-term expenses. Second, although prices are depressed, not all discounted prices are good bargains. Due diligence remains key and investors should research projects thoroughly, as bear markets expose weaknesses in tokenomics, team competence, and business models. Many projects that seemed promising during bull runs often fail to survive extended downturns. Finally, investors should maintain realistic expectations about recovery timelines, as bear markets can persist far longer than optimistic investors anticipate.
Is a Bear Market a Good Time to Trade?
Bear markets can actually present excellent trading opportunities for those with appropriate strategies and risk management. However, trading during downturns generally requires different approaches than bull market strategies that rely on buying dips and holding.
Volatility remains high during bear markets, although in the opposite direction from a bull market. Instead of sharp rallies followed by mild corrections, bear markets feature grinding declines punctuated by brief relief rallies that trap optimistic buyers. These characteristics create opportunities for traders who are able to adapt to the new market conditions.
Short-term trading can become more viable during bear markets for several reasons. Reduced competition exists as traders, both retail and institutional, exit the market, sometimes creating more predictable technical patterns. Relief rallies, though temporary, can also generate substantial quick returns for traders who enter and exit decisively. Additionally, the prevailing downtrend provides a clear directional bias that traders can exploit.
However, bear market trading is definitely not without its own set of risks. Reduced liquidity can result in wider spreads and slippage. Emotional decision-making can also intensify as losses accumulate, which can lead traders to deviate from their strategies.
Ways to Profit From a Bear Market
Multiple strategies allow traders to navigate or even profit from bear markets when implemented correctly.
Short selling is the most direct way to profit in a bear market. It involves borrowing assets and selling them at current prices, then repurchasing them later at lower prices to return to the lender, pocketing the difference as profit. Short selling is available on most cryptocurrency exchanges via margin trading. This strategy profits directly from declining prices but carries significant risk, as losses can exceed initial capital if prices rise unexpectedly. Since prices technically do not have an upward cap, losses can theoretically extend infinitely on short positions. As such, traders should practise proper position sizing and utilize stop-loss orders to limit their risk.
Put options and inverse products can provide alternative methods for profiting from declines with limited downside. Both of these products increase in value as prices decline, although through different mechanisms. Unlike short selling, these products have capped downside risk, meaning investors can only lose up to the amount of capital they’ve invested in these products.
Range trading can also be a profitable trading strategy during periods of low volatility. In this strategy, traders identify support and resistance levels, buying near support and selling near resistance. This approach works best when markets move sideways rather than trending sharply downward.
Accumulation strategies focus on building positions in quality assets at depressed prices. Rather than seeking immediate profits, this approach positions traders for the next bull cycle. Disciplined accumulation during bear markets has historically generated substantial returns for patient investors, although proper asset selection remains key to reaping the returns in the next bull run.
For investors who wish to limit their downside, stablecoin yields may offer an opportunity to profit while waiting for more favorable conditions. While stablecoin yields tend to decline in bear markets, preserving capital in stablecoins while earning yield protects against further declines while gradually increasing available capital for future opportunities.
Lastly, bear markets can provide great opportunities for scalping and day trading, which exploit intraday volatility without taking overnight risk. Bear markets often feature predictable patterns during specific trading sessions, allowing skilled short-term traders to capture small profits repeatedly.
Each strategy requires different skill sets, risk tolerances, and time commitments. Diversifying across multiple approaches can reduce overall portfolio volatility while maintaining exposure to various opportunity types.
When Will the Bear Market End?
Determining when a bear market has officially concluded requires examining both quantitative metrics and qualitative factors. Technically, many analysts consider a bear market over when prices rally 20% from their lows and maintain that level, though this definition varies across different markets and investors.
Several indicators may suggest bear market bottoms. Capitulation events, where heavy selling exhausts remaining weak hands, often precede recoveries. Extremely negative sentiment readings, measured through surveys or social media analysis, can signal that pessimism has reached unsustainable levels. Trading volume patterns may also reveal accumulation by informed investors beginning to absorb supply from these capitulating sellers.
For the cryptocurrency market specifically, on-chain metrics can provide additional clues. Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-score is a tool often used to find market bottoms for Bitcoin, effectively quantifying how much unrealized profit the current holders are sitting on and how far this deviates from historical norms. Other potentially useful metrics include long-term holder behavior, which can be tracked through coin age distribution, and miner health, which can be tracked via Hash Ribbons.
The previous major crypto bear market can also offer hints to future bear market patterns. In the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin took about one year to bottom out at ~$3,000, before recovering for the next two years to break the prior all-time high. In the 2022 bear market, the bear market lasted a similar duration, falling 76% from November 2021 to December 2022, before staging a recovery into 2023. In the present cycle, we are currently five months into the bear market, with Bitcoin having fallen just over 50%. That said, past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future performance, and the market bottom could occur earlier or later than in previous cycles.
Conclusion
Bear markets, while challenging, are an integral part of the cryptocurrency market cycle, separating disciplined traders from impulsive ones. Success during these periods requires a fundamental shift in mindset, viewing downturns as opportunities to refine trading strategies, accumulate quality assets, and position for future bull markets. Whether through short selling, range trading, strategic accumulation, or simply preserving capital in stablecoins, various strategies exist to navigate these challenging conditions.
Ultimately, the key lies in maintaining realistic expectations, implementing robust risk management, and avoiding emotional decision-making as losses mount. Thus far, every bear market in cryptocurrency history has eventually ended, rewarding those who remained patient and strategic. By approaching bear markets with preparation, discipline, and a long-term perspective, traders can emerge stronger and better positioned for the recovery that follows.
content source: #arkham
#bearmarket
This is our guide to what it is, how to survive it, and how to trade with intelligence throughout.
Bear markets are an inevitable component of any financial market, and cryptocurrency markets are no exception. While the excitement of bull runs dominates headlines and social media feeds, bear markets represent extended periods where prices decline consistently, testing the resolve of even the most committed investors. Understanding how to navigate these challenging periods separates successful traders from those who capitulate at the worst possible moment.
The cryptocurrency space has witnessed several bear markets since its inception in 2009, each offering valuable lessons about market cycles, risk management, and strategic positioning. Rather than viewing these downturns as purely negative events, experienced traders recognize them as opportunities to refine their strategies, accumulate quality assets at discounted prices, and position themselves advantageously for the next cycle.
Summary
Bear markets refer to periods where asset prices fall more than 20% from highs, although in crypto, 70-90% drops are not uncommon.Multiple trading strategies are effective in bear markets, including short selling, put options, range trading, and strategic accumulation at discounted prices.Historical bear markets have preceded massive recoveries, with Bitcoin gaining over 700% in the most recent bull market from cycle lows.On-chain metrics, investor sentiment and capitulation events are indicators that investors can use to time the potential market bottom.
What Is a Bear Market?
A bear market is generally defined as a period when asset prices decline by 20% or more from recent highs and continue trending downwards over a sustained timeframe. In traditional finance, bear markets can typically last anywhere from weeks, months, to even years. Cryptocurrency markets, known for their volatility, often experience even more dramatic downturns, with declines of 70-90% from peak values not uncommon during severe bear markets.
During a bear market, lower highs and lower lows dominate price action, creating a clear downtrend across the majority of timeframes. Investor and market sentiment also shift decisively negative, with fear and uncertainty replacing the optimism that characterized the preceding bull market.
Trading volumes frequently decline during bear markets as participants exit positions or move to the sidelines to avoid further losses. This reduced liquidity can further exacerbate price movements, making them even more volatile.
Why Is It Called a Bear Market?
The terminology "bear market" has origins in early trading practices, though the exact etymology remains debated among financial historians. The most commonly cited explanation relates to the manner in which bears attack their prey, swiping downward with their paws. This downward motion became metaphorically associated with falling prices.
Another theory, which Merriam-Webster backs, suggests that the term derives from bearskin trading practices in the 18th century, where middlemen would sell bearskins before actually possessing them, hoping to purchase them later at lower prices. This practice of selling something you expect to decline in value mirrors the behavior of traders who profit from shorting falling markets.
The counterpart term "bull market" likely developed in opposition to bear markets, with bulls representing the opposite attacking motion, swinging their horns upwards. Since their origins two to three hundred years ago, these animal metaphors have since become firmly embedded in financial language across all global markets.
Is a Bear Market a Good Time to Buy Crypto?
The question of whether bear markets present good buying opportunities depends entirely on the investment horizon, risk tolerance, and financial situation of the investor. For long-term investors with high conviction in the future of cryptocurrency, bear markets historically have offered the most attractive entry points. Assets that seemed overvalued during the euphoric phases of a bull market often trade at substantial discounts when pessimism reaches a high. This is especially so for crypto, where investor sentiment often swings to the extremes. Looking at the last two prolonged bear markets in 2018 and 2022, Bitcoin returned 2,110% and 715% respectively from the bear market lows to the subsequent bull market peak.
However, attempting to time the exact bottom often proves to be a difficult task. Markets can remain oversold longer than most anticipate, and what appears to be a bargain can decline another 30-50% before finally finding support. The strategy of dollar-cost averaging, making regular purchases of fixed amounts regardless of price, can help to mitigate timing risk while building positions gradually.
Several factors warrant consideration before deploying capital during bear markets. First, investors should ensure that they possess adequate emergency reserves and are not investing money needed for near-term expenses. Second, although prices are depressed, not all discounted prices are good bargains. Due diligence remains key and investors should research projects thoroughly, as bear markets expose weaknesses in tokenomics, team competence, and business models. Many projects that seemed promising during bull runs often fail to survive extended downturns. Finally, investors should maintain realistic expectations about recovery timelines, as bear markets can persist far longer than optimistic investors anticipate.
Is a Bear Market a Good Time to Trade?
Bear markets can actually present excellent trading opportunities for those with appropriate strategies and risk management. However, trading during downturns generally requires different approaches than bull market strategies that rely on buying dips and holding.
Volatility remains high during bear markets, although in the opposite direction from a bull market. Instead of sharp rallies followed by mild corrections, bear markets feature grinding declines punctuated by brief relief rallies that trap optimistic buyers. These characteristics create opportunities for traders who are able to adapt to the new market conditions.
Short-term trading can become more viable during bear markets for several reasons. Reduced competition exists as traders, both retail and institutional, exit the market, sometimes creating more predictable technical patterns. Relief rallies, though temporary, can also generate substantial quick returns for traders who enter and exit decisively. Additionally, the prevailing downtrend provides a clear directional bias that traders can exploit.
However, bear market trading is definitely not without its own set of risks. Reduced liquidity can result in wider spreads and slippage. Emotional decision-making can also intensify as losses accumulate, which can lead traders to deviate from their strategies.
Ways to Profit From a Bear Market
Multiple strategies allow traders to navigate or even profit from bear markets when implemented correctly.
Short selling is the most direct way to profit in a bear market. It involves borrowing assets and selling them at current prices, then repurchasing them later at lower prices to return to the lender, pocketing the difference as profit. Short selling is available on most cryptocurrency exchanges via margin trading. This strategy profits directly from declining prices but carries significant risk, as losses can exceed initial capital if prices rise unexpectedly. Since prices technically do not have an upward cap, losses can theoretically extend infinitely on short positions. As such, traders should practise proper position sizing and utilize stop-loss orders to limit their risk.
Put options and inverse products can provide alternative methods for profiting from declines with limited downside. Both of these products increase in value as prices decline, although through different mechanisms. Unlike short selling, these products have capped downside risk, meaning investors can only lose up to the amount of capital they’ve invested in these products.
Range trading can also be a profitable trading strategy during periods of low volatility. In this strategy, traders identify support and resistance levels, buying near support and selling near resistance. This approach works best when markets move sideways rather than trending sharply downward.
Accumulation strategies focus on building positions in quality assets at depressed prices. Rather than seeking immediate profits, this approach positions traders for the next bull cycle. Disciplined accumulation during bear markets has historically generated substantial returns for patient investors, although proper asset selection remains key to reaping the returns in the next bull run.
For investors who wish to limit their downside, stablecoin yields may offer an opportunity to profit while waiting for more favorable conditions. While stablecoin yields tend to decline in bear markets, preserving capital in stablecoins while earning yield protects against further declines while gradually increasing available capital for future opportunities.
Lastly, bear markets can provide great opportunities for scalping and day trading, which exploit intraday volatility without taking overnight risk. Bear markets often feature predictable patterns during specific trading sessions, allowing skilled short-term traders to capture small profits repeatedly.
Each strategy requires different skill sets, risk tolerances, and time commitments. Diversifying across multiple approaches can reduce overall portfolio volatility while maintaining exposure to various opportunity types.
When Will the Bear Market End?
Determining when a bear market has officially concluded requires examining both quantitative metrics and qualitative factors. Technically, many analysts consider a bear market over when prices rally 20% from their lows and maintain that level, though this definition varies across different markets and investors.
Several indicators may suggest bear market bottoms. Capitulation events, where heavy selling exhausts remaining weak hands, often precede recoveries. Extremely negative sentiment readings, measured through surveys or social media analysis, can signal that pessimism has reached unsustainable levels. Trading volume patterns may also reveal accumulation by informed investors beginning to absorb supply from these capitulating sellers.
For the cryptocurrency market specifically, on-chain metrics can provide additional clues. Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-score is a tool often used to find market bottoms for Bitcoin, effectively quantifying how much unrealized profit the current holders are sitting on and how far this deviates from historical norms. Other potentially useful metrics include long-term holder behavior, which can be tracked through coin age distribution, and miner health, which can be tracked via Hash Ribbons.
The previous major crypto bear market can also offer hints to future bear market patterns. In the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin took about one year to bottom out at ~$3,000, before recovering for the next two years to break the prior all-time high. In the 2022 bear market, the bear market lasted a similar duration, falling 76% from November 2021 to December 2022, before staging a recovery into 2023. In the present cycle, we are currently five months into the bear market, with Bitcoin having fallen just over 50%. That said, past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future performance, and the market bottom could occur earlier or later than in previous cycles.
Conclusion
Bear markets, while challenging, are an integral part of the cryptocurrency market cycle, separating disciplined traders from impulsive ones. Success during these periods requires a fundamental shift in mindset, viewing downturns as opportunities to refine trading strategies, accumulate quality assets, and position for future bull markets. Whether through short selling, range trading, strategic accumulation, or simply preserving capital in stablecoins, various strategies exist to navigate these challenging conditions.
Ultimately, the key lies in maintaining realistic expectations, implementing robust risk management, and avoiding emotional decision-making as losses mount. Thus far, every bear market in cryptocurrency history has eventually ended, rewarding those who remained patient and strategic. By approaching bear markets with preparation, discipline, and a long-term perspective, traders can emerge stronger and better positioned for the recovery that follows.
content source: #arkham
#bearmarket
Techandtips123:
Great Read 10/10
阿聯酋悄悄挖了 6790 枚比特幣，CZ 說他稍微「推了一把」
鏈上數據揭露阿聯酋透過皇室關聯企業 Citadel Mining 累計挖出價值 4.6 億美元的比特幣，帳面獲利 3.4 億美元。加上主權基金透過 BlackRock ETF 持有逾 10 億美元部位，阿聯酋正將剩餘能源轉化為數位儲備資產。#數位儲備
$BTC
鏈上情報平台 Arkham 本週稍早指出：阿拉伯聯合大公國（UAE）透過與阿布達比皇室關聯的 Citadel Mining，已累計挖出約 6,790 枚比特幣，按當前市價約值 4.6 億美元，帳面未實現獲利約 3.4 億美元（不計能源成本）。
且幾乎全部持有極少出售。Arkham 數據顯示，按近七日平均值計算，相關礦企每天仍在穩定產出約 4.2 枚 BTC。
CZ 說「推了一把」代表什麼？#CZ
CZ 長期與中東關係密切，過去：
幣安在杜拜設立區域據點
與當地政府多次交流
協助制定加密監管框架
他說「推了一把」，市場普遍解讀為：
✔ 提供政策建議
✔ 推動礦業與監管落地
✔ 協助吸引礦工與交易所遷入
這種模式其實有點像當年薩爾瓦多推 BTC，但 UAE 是用更低調、機構化方式進場。#薩爾瓦多
價值儲存的官方定性
阿聯酋政府已正式將比特幣定性為「類似於黃金的價值儲存手段」。這不是一個隨口說說的比喻，而是一個具有政策意涵的定性，它意味著比特幣在阿聯酋的監管框架中，被視為長期儲備資產，而非投機工具。
將挖礦和 ETF 持倉加總，阿聯酋的比特幣總曝險超過 10 億美元。雖然這個數字放在全球主權持有者的排名中，位於一個微妙的位置（美國僅透過資產沒收就持有數十億美元的比特幣），但阿聯酋的獨特之處在於：它的持倉 100% 來自主動決策，而非執法副產品。
這件事代表什麼？
1️⃣ UAE 正在打造「加密友善國家」形象
UAE 近年來積極推動數位資產發展，尤其在 杜拜與阿布達比建立完整監管框架，包括：
設立專門的虛擬資產監管機構
吸引交易所與 Web3 公司落地
推動礦場與區塊鏈基礎設施
若真的持有 6,790 枚 BTC（以 6–7 萬美元計算約 4–5 億美元規模），對國家主權基金來說其實不算巨大，但象徵意義很強：
👉 代表把 BTC 視為「戰略資產」而非投機工具。
對市場的潛在影響
從你平常關注鏈上數據、資金流與機構動向的角度來看，這件事有幾個重點：
如果主權資金真的入場 → 屬於「長期鎖倉籌碼」
主權持有 ≠ 交易型籌碼 → 供給壓力減少
中東資本可能成為下一輪牛市關鍵資金來源
若是自挖礦取得 → 等於把能源轉換成 BTC 儲備
這條消息的真正關鍵不是 6,790 枚本身，而是：
「國家層級正在默默建立比特幣儲備」
如果未來更多產油國用能源換 BTC，
那會是一種全新的「數位黃金標準」雛形。#比特幣鯨魚
$BTC
鏈上情報平台 Arkham 本週稍早指出：阿拉伯聯合大公國（UAE）透過與阿布達比皇室關聯的 Citadel Mining，已累計挖出約 6,790 枚比特幣，按當前市價約值 4.6 億美元，帳面未實現獲利約 3.4 億美元（不計能源成本）。
且幾乎全部持有極少出售。Arkham 數據顯示，按近七日平均值計算，相關礦企每天仍在穩定產出約 4.2 枚 BTC。
CZ 說「推了一把」代表什麼？#CZ
CZ 長期與中東關係密切，過去：
幣安在杜拜設立區域據點
與當地政府多次交流
協助制定加密監管框架
他說「推了一把」，市場普遍解讀為：
✔ 提供政策建議
✔ 推動礦業與監管落地
✔ 協助吸引礦工與交易所遷入
這種模式其實有點像當年薩爾瓦多推 BTC，但 UAE 是用更低調、機構化方式進場。#薩爾瓦多
價值儲存的官方定性
阿聯酋政府已正式將比特幣定性為「類似於黃金的價值儲存手段」。這不是一個隨口說說的比喻，而是一個具有政策意涵的定性，它意味著比特幣在阿聯酋的監管框架中，被視為長期儲備資產，而非投機工具。
將挖礦和 ETF 持倉加總，阿聯酋的比特幣總曝險超過 10 億美元。雖然這個數字放在全球主權持有者的排名中，位於一個微妙的位置（美國僅透過資產沒收就持有數十億美元的比特幣），但阿聯酋的獨特之處在於：它的持倉 100% 來自主動決策，而非執法副產品。
這件事代表什麼？
1️⃣ UAE 正在打造「加密友善國家」形象
UAE 近年來積極推動數位資產發展，尤其在 杜拜與阿布達比建立完整監管框架，包括：
設立專門的虛擬資產監管機構
吸引交易所與 Web3 公司落地
推動礦場與區塊鏈基礎設施
若真的持有 6,790 枚 BTC（以 6–7 萬美元計算約 4–5 億美元規模），對國家主權基金來說其實不算巨大，但象徵意義很強：
👉 代表把 BTC 視為「戰略資產」而非投機工具。
對市場的潛在影響
從你平常關注鏈上數據、資金流與機構動向的角度來看，這件事有幾個重點：
如果主權資金真的入場 → 屬於「長期鎖倉籌碼」
主權持有 ≠ 交易型籌碼 → 供給壓力減少
中東資本可能成為下一輪牛市關鍵資金來源
若是自挖礦取得 → 等於把能源轉換成 BTC 儲備
這條消息的真正關鍵不是 6,790 枚本身，而是：
「國家層級正在默默建立比特幣儲備」
如果未來更多產油國用能源換 BTC，
那會是一種全新的「數位黃金標準」雛形。#比特幣鯨魚
Arkham 揭秘：熊市挣钱的 6 大核心策略 📉💰
根据 Arkham Intelligence 的最新分析，当市场进入下行周期时，聪明的投资者不会离场，而是切换策略。以下是保值并实现盈利的 6 招：
做空机制 (Short Selling)： 通过保证金交易或期货合约，先卖出借入的资产，待价格下跌后买回，直接从下跌中获利。期权与反向产品： 利用看跌期权 (Put Options) 或反向杠杆代币。当基准资产下跌时，这些产品的值反而会上升。区间交易 (Range Trading)： 熊市常伴随长时间的横盘。在支撑位买入，在阻力位卖出，反复收割波段利润。积累优质资产 (Buy the Dip)： 熊市是“聪明钱”建仓的时机。 Arkham 建议逐步买入 BTC、ETH 等具有长期基本面的项目。稳定币质押与挖矿： 将资产换成 USDT/USDC 以规避波动，并通过 Binance Earn 等平台赚取稳定的年化收益。超短线交易 (Scalping)： 利用市场下跌过程中的剧烈波动，通过高频的小额交易积少成多。
⚠️ Arkham 提醒： 熊市回撤可能高达 70-90%。严格执行止损、保持冷静的交易纪律比任何技术都重要。
#币安注册 #交易策略 #Arkham #熊市生存指南 #加密货币
根据 Arkham Intelligence 的最新分析，当市场进入下行周期时，聪明的投资者不会离场，而是切换策略。以下是保值并实现盈利的 6 招：
做空机制 (Short Selling)： 通过保证金交易或期货合约，先卖出借入的资产，待价格下跌后买回，直接从下跌中获利。期权与反向产品： 利用看跌期权 (Put Options) 或反向杠杆代币。当基准资产下跌时，这些产品的值反而会上升。区间交易 (Range Trading)： 熊市常伴随长时间的横盘。在支撑位买入，在阻力位卖出，反复收割波段利润。积累优质资产 (Buy the Dip)： 熊市是“聪明钱”建仓的时机。 Arkham 建议逐步买入 BTC、ETH 等具有长期基本面的项目。稳定币质押与挖矿： 将资产换成 USDT/USDC 以规避波动，并通过 Binance Earn 等平台赚取稳定的年化收益。超短线交易 (Scalping)： 利用市场下跌过程中的剧烈波动，通过高频的小额交易积少成多。
⚠️ Arkham 提醒： 熊市回撤可能高达 70-90%。严格执行止损、保持冷静的交易纪律比任何技术都重要。
#币安注册 #交易策略 #Arkham #熊市生存指南 #加密货币
🐳 2026年谁在主宰加密世界？BTC持仓大户深度复盘
Arkham Intelligence 的最新研究揭示了比特币持有结构的重大变化：“巨鲸”正变得越来越大，机构化进程已成定局。让我们来看看这些控制市场命脉的力量分布：
🥇 永远的王者
中本聪 (Satoshi Nakamoto) 依然高居榜首。其钱包中持有约 110万枚 BTC。这不仅是一个数字, 更是整个行业的基石。
🏛 企业与机构：巨头时代
散户持仓比例逐渐下降，华尔街巨头全面进场。顶级持仓机构排名：
Coinbase: 99.3万 BTCBlackRock (贝莱德): 76.1万 BTCMicroStrategy: 超 71.4万 BTCBinance (币安): 约 66.1万 BTCFidelity (富达): 44.8万 BTC
🌍 国家级储备
比特币已正式进入国家主权资产负债表：
美国: 32.8万 BTC (国家级持仓首位)英国: 6.1万 BTC萨尔瓦多: 7,500 BTC (先驱者!)不丹、阿联酋 等国也在积极积累储备。
🔍 这对我们意味着什么？
市场正在走向成熟。BlackRock 和 Fidelity 等巨头的加入在长期内有助于降低波动性，但也导致了筹码的高度集中。机构不仅是在买入，他们正在重塑整个市场的游戏规则。
你认为这种“机构化”趋势对去中心化是好事还是坏事？👇
#BTC #比特币 #Arkham #加密新闻 #巨鲸持仓
Arkham Intelligence 的最新研究揭示了比特币持有结构的重大变化：“巨鲸”正变得越来越大，机构化进程已成定局。让我们来看看这些控制市场命脉的力量分布：
🥇 永远的王者
中本聪 (Satoshi Nakamoto) 依然高居榜首。其钱包中持有约 110万枚 BTC。这不仅是一个数字, 更是整个行业的基石。
🏛 企业与机构：巨头时代
散户持仓比例逐渐下降，华尔街巨头全面进场。顶级持仓机构排名：
Coinbase: 99.3万 BTCBlackRock (贝莱德): 76.1万 BTCMicroStrategy: 超 71.4万 BTCBinance (币安): 约 66.1万 BTCFidelity (富达): 44.8万 BTC
🌍 国家级储备
比特币已正式进入国家主权资产负债表：
美国: 32.8万 BTC (国家级持仓首位)英国: 6.1万 BTC萨尔瓦多: 7,500 BTC (先驱者!)不丹、阿联酋 等国也在积极积累储备。
🔍 这对我们意味着什么？
市场正在走向成熟。BlackRock 和 Fidelity 等巨头的加入在长期内有助于降低波动性，但也导致了筹码的高度集中。机构不仅是在买入，他们正在重塑整个市场的游戏规则。
你认为这种“机构化”趋势对去中心化是好事还是坏事？👇
#BTC #比特币 #Arkham #加密新闻 #巨鲸持仓
🔥 $ARKM : THE INTEL REVOLUTION IS BEING TELEVISED! 🔥
Arkham just released the definitive 2026 Bitcoin Holder Report, and the platform usage is at an all-time high! $ARKM is the backbone of blockchain intelligence. We are currently testing the support while Bitcoin consolidates at $68k. This is a massive "Spring Loading" phase. When the market turns green, $$ARKM eads the charge. BUY NOW OR CRY LATER! 🔍💎
✅ ACTION: BUY LONG $ARKM
✅ URGENCY: MAXIMUM
✅ PROFIT TARGET: $1.85
Knowledge is power. Trading with intelligence is profit. Long ARKM on Binance: 👇
#arkham #arkm #BlockchainIntel #BinanceSquare #Wealth
Arkham just released the definitive 2026 Bitcoin Holder Report, and the platform usage is at an all-time high! $ARKM is the backbone of blockchain intelligence. We are currently testing the support while Bitcoin consolidates at $68k. This is a massive "Spring Loading" phase. When the market turns green, $$ARKM eads the charge. BUY NOW OR CRY LATER! 🔍💎
✅ ACTION: BUY LONG $ARKM
✅ URGENCY: MAXIMUM
✅ PROFIT TARGET: $1.85
Knowledge is power. Trading with intelligence is profit. Long ARKM on Binance: 👇
#arkham #arkm #BlockchainIntel #BinanceSquare #Wealth
🇦🇪 UAE’s Bitcoin Strategy is Paying Off Big! 🚀
Fresh data from Arkham Intelligence shows the UAE is becoming a global leader in the Bitcoin space.
The Key Highlights:
Mined Value: The UAE has mined $453 Million worth of Bitcoin to date. ⛏️
Pure Profit: After costs, they are sitting on $344 Million in unrealized profit. 💰
How? They aren't just buying; they are using massive state-linked mining facilities in Abu Dhabi.
Global Rank: This makes the UAE the 4th largest government holder of Bitcoin! 🌍
My Take:
This is a huge shift. Nations are moving from "watching" Bitcoin to "producing" it. By building a digital gold reserve, the UAE is securing its financial future beyond oil.
What do you think? Should more countries follow the UAE and start mining their own Bitcoin? Let’s discuss below! 👇
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #Arkham #BinanceSquare #HODL
Fresh data from Arkham Intelligence shows the UAE is becoming a global leader in the Bitcoin space.
The Key Highlights:
Mined Value: The UAE has mined $453 Million worth of Bitcoin to date. ⛏️
Pure Profit: After costs, they are sitting on $344 Million in unrealized profit. 💰
How? They aren't just buying; they are using massive state-linked mining facilities in Abu Dhabi.
Global Rank: This makes the UAE the 4th largest government holder of Bitcoin! 🌍
My Take:
This is a huge shift. Nations are moving from "watching" Bitcoin to "producing" it. By building a digital gold reserve, the UAE is securing its financial future beyond oil.
What do you think? Should more countries follow the UAE and start mining their own Bitcoin? Let’s discuss below! 👇
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #Arkham #BinanceSquare #HODL
📈 谁是全球比特币的顶级持有者？Arkham 数据解析
根据 Arkham 的最新分析数据，BTC 的分配格局再次引发关注。这些数字清楚地展示了谁才是市场的真正“巨鲸”。
💰 顶级巨鲸排行榜：
中本聪 (Satoshi Nakamoto)： 依然以约 110 万枚 BTC 位居榜首。这些资产长期处于沉睡状态，已成为网络稳定性的某种象征。平台与机构： Coinbase 以 99.3 万枚 BTC 在机构持有者中领先。而 Binance 在公开身份的冷钱包持有量上名列前茅（单一地址约 25 万枚 BTC）。机构力量： 贝莱德 (BlackRock, 76.1万)、MicroStrategy (71.4万) 和 富达 (Fidelity, 44.8万) 持续巩固了比特币作为“数字黄金”的地位。
🌍 持有比特币的国家：
比特币正逐渐成为国家储备的一部分。排名前列的有：
🇺🇸 美国 — 32.8 万枚 BTC🇬🇧 英国 — 6.1 万枚 BTC🇸🇻 萨尔瓦多 — 7500 枚 BTC🇦🇪 阿联酋 — 6800 枚 BTC🇧🇹 不丹 — 5600 枚 BTC
🔍 值得注意： Arkham 指出，这仅仅是冰山一角。大量的 BTC 存储在匿名钱包中，部分国家的真实储备可能尚未公开。
“HODL” 不再仅仅是一种策略，而已成为全球顶级玩家的共同选择。💎
你属于哪一类持有者？在评论区告诉我们：🐂 — 乐观牛，🐋 — 目标是成为大鲸鱼！
#比特币 #BTC #Arkham #加密货币 #币安
根据 Arkham 的最新分析数据，BTC 的分配格局再次引发关注。这些数字清楚地展示了谁才是市场的真正“巨鲸”。
💰 顶级巨鲸排行榜：
中本聪 (Satoshi Nakamoto)： 依然以约 110 万枚 BTC 位居榜首。这些资产长期处于沉睡状态，已成为网络稳定性的某种象征。平台与机构： Coinbase 以 99.3 万枚 BTC 在机构持有者中领先。而 Binance 在公开身份的冷钱包持有量上名列前茅（单一地址约 25 万枚 BTC）。机构力量： 贝莱德 (BlackRock, 76.1万)、MicroStrategy (71.4万) 和 富达 (Fidelity, 44.8万) 持续巩固了比特币作为“数字黄金”的地位。
🌍 持有比特币的国家：
比特币正逐渐成为国家储备的一部分。排名前列的有：
🇺🇸 美国 — 32.8 万枚 BTC🇬🇧 英国 — 6.1 万枚 BTC🇸🇻 萨尔瓦多 — 7500 枚 BTC🇦🇪 阿联酋 — 6800 枚 BTC🇧🇹 不丹 — 5600 枚 BTC
🔍 值得注意： Arkham 指出，这仅仅是冰山一角。大量的 BTC 存储在匿名钱包中，部分国家的真实储备可能尚未公开。
“HODL” 不再仅仅是一种策略，而已成为全球顶级玩家的共同选择。💎
你属于哪一类持有者？在评论区告诉我们：🐂 — 乐观牛，🐋 — 目标是成为大鲸鱼！
#比特币 #BTC #Arkham #加密货币 #币安
🚀 *Dragonfly's Money Machine 💸* 🔥
2018: $14M 🤏
2020: $214M 🚀
2022: $864M 🔥
Now: $1.5 BILLION 💰
Latest move? Raised $650M 💸
Track their every move on Arkham 👉 22 labeled addresses
- Current holdings: $137M
- On-chain PnL peak: $364M (end 2024) 📈
#Dragonfly #CryptoInvestors #Arkham
2018: $14M 🤏
2020: $214M 🚀
2022: $864M 🔥
Now: $1.5 BILLION 💰
Latest move? Raised $650M 💸
Track their every move on Arkham 👉 22 labeled addresses
- Current holdings: $137M
- On-chain PnL peak: $364M (end 2024) 📈
#Dragonfly #CryptoInvestors #Arkham
Whale Rotation or Distribution? Interpreting the $545M Ethereum Exchange Inflow!
Ethereum $ETH is struggling to stay above the $2,000 mark, currently trading near $1,993. While the price action seems stagnant, on-chain data reveals a massive shift in Smart Money positioning.
Recent data from #arkham and #Binance indicates that a major entity, often called the Hyperunit whale, moved approximately 261,000 ETH worth ~$545M to exchanges.
A sudden increase in exchange deposits usually signals intent to sell or hedge. Following this deposit, Ethereum’s upside momentum stalled near $2,100.
This metric has dropped to 0.97, its lowest in months. This confirms that sellers are hitting the bids (selling into existing orders) rather than buyers lifting the offers.
Early signs of #Ethereum returning to net inflation are beginning to weaken the Ultra Sound Money thesis, leading to a potential repricing floor near the $996 level if the DeFi gas fee premium doesn't recover.
High exchange inflows during a price consolidation often precede a period of distribution, where large holders exit their positions to retail. Watch the ETH/BTC pair; if it continues to slip, it suggests a broader rotation out of the Ethereum ecosystem.
#ETHTrendAnalysis #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
Recent data from #arkham and #Binance indicates that a major entity, often called the Hyperunit whale, moved approximately 261,000 ETH worth ~$545M to exchanges.
A sudden increase in exchange deposits usually signals intent to sell or hedge. Following this deposit, Ethereum’s upside momentum stalled near $2,100.
This metric has dropped to 0.97, its lowest in months. This confirms that sellers are hitting the bids (selling into existing orders) rather than buyers lifting the offers.
Early signs of #Ethereum returning to net inflation are beginning to weaken the Ultra Sound Money thesis, leading to a potential repricing floor near the $996 level if the DeFi gas fee premium doesn't recover.
High exchange inflows during a price consolidation often precede a period of distribution, where large holders exit their positions to retail. Watch the ETH/BTC pair; if it continues to slip, it suggests a broader rotation out of the Ethereum ecosystem.
#ETHTrendAnalysis #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking
BREAKING: Satoshi’s wallet remains untouched holding 1.1 MILLION Bitcoin, now valued at $75 Billion. 💎🙌
Despite the rise of ETFs and institutional giants, no one has surpassed the creator.
Top entities trailing the lead include BlackRock, Coinbase, and the US Government.
The distribution of power is shifting, but the #1 spot is secure. #BTC #Finance #Wealth #Arkham
$BTC $BNB $XRP
Despite the rise of ETFs and institutional giants, no one has surpassed the creator.
Top entities trailing the lead include BlackRock, Coinbase, and the US Government.
The distribution of power is shifting, but the #1 spot is secure. #BTC #Finance #Wealth #Arkham
$BTC $BNB $XRP
Donald Trump'ın Kripto Serveti Ortaya Çıktı!
👉 Emeğe Saygı : Bize Destek Olmak için Abone Olmayı ve Profilden Oy Vermeyi Lütfen ama Lütfen Unutmayın!
#Trump , kripto düzenlemeleri ve endüstri gelişimi getirme vaadiyle kripto takipçisi oldu. Ancak, kripto portföyü hala birçok kişi için şok edici. Son ifşalara göre, Trump'ın elinde 1 milyondan fazla $ETH ve birçok başka kripto ve #NFT var.
Bir araştırma şirketi olan #arkham Intelligence , Donald Trump'ın kripto para varlığını analiz ederek 3,6 milyon dolarlık bir portföy ortaya koydu.
Şirket raporlarına göre, 492,5 Ethereum (yaklaşık 1,29 milyon dolar değerinde), 377,465 sarılmış Ethereum token'ı (yaklaşık 989.500 dolar değerinde) ve 136.290 dolar değerinde USDC bulunuyor.
Ek olarak, en büyük kripto varlıkları Trog (TROG) ve Gua (GUA) gibi altcoin'lerde olup sırasıyla 370.210$ ve 339.420$ değerindedir.
Trump ayrıca MAGA Again (MAGAA), Fight to MAGA (FIGHT), MAGA VP (MVP), MAGA Hat (MAGA), BabyTrump ve diğerleri gibi kendisine dayanan birçok meme coin'i elinde tutuyor.
Bunların arasında en büyük varlık MAGAA içindi ve yaklaşık 132.760$ değerindeydi, geri kalanlar ise 50.000$ değerinde.
Ancak eski başkanın bu meme tabanlı kriptolarla bir şekilde akraba olup olmadığı belirsizdir. Dahası, değeri 0$'dan az olan LION, FIGHT vb. gibi birçok başka kripto token vardır.
👉 Hatırlatma, DOGS airdrop tamamlandı. Kullanıcılar neredeyse hiçbir şey yapmadan coin kazandılar. Şimdi Sıra aşağıda yer alan 2 botta.
👉 Taman (Manta Destekli 10K Dolar Ödül Var) Basit : t.me/tamanfun_bot/app?startapp=dn0Q8ADd2f5D
👉 Cats (DOGS'dan sonra çıktı hype var) : telegram.me/catsgang_bot/join?startapp=PUWeHhzkUDuSuNmyLeTEb
👉 Emeğe Saygı : Bize Destek Olmak için Abone Olmayı ve Profilden Oy Vermeyi Lütfen ama Lütfen Unutmayın!
#Trump , kripto düzenlemeleri ve endüstri gelişimi getirme vaadiyle kripto takipçisi oldu. Ancak, kripto portföyü hala birçok kişi için şok edici. Son ifşalara göre, Trump'ın elinde 1 milyondan fazla $ETH ve birçok başka kripto ve #NFT var.
Bir araştırma şirketi olan #arkham Intelligence , Donald Trump'ın kripto para varlığını analiz ederek 3,6 milyon dolarlık bir portföy ortaya koydu.
Şirket raporlarına göre, 492,5 Ethereum (yaklaşık 1,29 milyon dolar değerinde), 377,465 sarılmış Ethereum token'ı (yaklaşık 989.500 dolar değerinde) ve 136.290 dolar değerinde USDC bulunuyor.
Ek olarak, en büyük kripto varlıkları Trog (TROG) ve Gua (GUA) gibi altcoin'lerde olup sırasıyla 370.210$ ve 339.420$ değerindedir.
Trump ayrıca MAGA Again (MAGAA), Fight to MAGA (FIGHT), MAGA VP (MVP), MAGA Hat (MAGA), BabyTrump ve diğerleri gibi kendisine dayanan birçok meme coin'i elinde tutuyor.
Bunların arasında en büyük varlık MAGAA içindi ve yaklaşık 132.760$ değerindeydi, geri kalanlar ise 50.000$ değerinde.
Ancak eski başkanın bu meme tabanlı kriptolarla bir şekilde akraba olup olmadığı belirsizdir. Dahası, değeri 0$'dan az olan LION, FIGHT vb. gibi birçok başka kripto token vardır.
👉 Hatırlatma, DOGS airdrop tamamlandı. Kullanıcılar neredeyse hiçbir şey yapmadan coin kazandılar. Şimdi Sıra aşağıda yer alan 2 botta.
👉 Taman (Manta Destekli 10K Dolar Ödül Var) Basit : t.me/tamanfun_bot/app?startapp=dn0Q8ADd2f5D
👉 Cats (DOGS'dan sonra çıktı hype var) : telegram.me/catsgang_bot/join?startapp=PUWeHhzkUDuSuNmyLeTEb
Пользуйтесь #ArkhamInsights для найти более новые инструменты и информацию #whaleholding чтобы стать богатым ! Интернете полно инструкция как пользоваться #arkham . Потому что тот кто дает сигнал крипте знает об этом! $ARKM
UPDATE: Arkham reports $5B in $BTC linked to Movie2K is still unseized by German authorities.
#BitcoinNews #Arkham #CryptoUpdate
#BitcoinNews #Arkham #CryptoUpdate
🚨 عاجل: باحثو Arkham تمكنوا من تتبع محافظ المهاجم تحت كيان يُدعى "هجوم NPM".
🔎 النتيجة:
إجمالي المسروق = 66$ فقط 😅
---
1️⃣ المهاجم استهدف حزم NPM (مستودعات مفتوحة المصدر تُستخدم في تطوير البرمجيات).
2️⃣ تم ربط جميع المحافظ المرتبطة بهجومه تحت عنوان واحد.
3️⃣ المفاجأة؟ الضجة الإعلامية كانت أكبر بكثير من الغنيمة!
---
😂 كل هذا التخطيط والجهد، والنتيجة أقل من سعر هاتف قديم أو وجبة مطعم فاخرة.
#Crypto #Security #NPM #arkham
🔎 النتيجة:
إجمالي المسروق = 66$ فقط 😅
---
1️⃣ المهاجم استهدف حزم NPM (مستودعات مفتوحة المصدر تُستخدم في تطوير البرمجيات).
2️⃣ تم ربط جميع المحافظ المرتبطة بهجومه تحت عنوان واحد.
3️⃣ المفاجأة؟ الضجة الإعلامية كانت أكبر بكثير من الغنيمة!
---
😂 كل هذا التخطيط والجهد، والنتيجة أقل من سعر هاتف قديم أو وجبة مطعم فاخرة.
#Crypto #Security #NPM #arkham
The billion-dollar idea that started over BBQ ribs in Wyoming…
Most people think venture capital happens in fancy boardrooms with PowerPoint decks and term sheets.
Sometimes it happens at a Bitcoin meetup out west.
That's where I met @MiguelMorel, the founder of Arkham Intelligence ( @Arkham ) .
Immediately, Miguel's extraordinary intelligence and energy caught my attention.
He had an incredible vision for @Bitcoin
becoming the center of banking and commerce.
But here's the thing about crypto...
The anonymity that everyone thinks is a feature is actually the biggest problem.
Yik Yak got shut down because anonymous people behaved terribly.
Crypto had the same issue until people realized the blockchain keeps perfect records.
Miguel saw this and built Arkham to identify crypto wallet holders, not to invade privacy, but to encourage good behavior.
The results speak for themselves: → Tracked a $1.4 billion hack back to North Korea → Solved the Microsoft Exchange hack affecting 250,000 servers
The logical takeaway here?
Eat more ribs. — More stories from "Draper's Top 40 Hits" coming soon. Which founder story should I share next?
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More stories from "Draper's Top 40 Hits" coming soon. Which founder story should I share next?
#arkham #BTC #bnb #BinanceSquareFamily #Squar2earn
Sometimes it happens at a Bitcoin meetup out west.
That's where I met @MiguelMorel, the founder of Arkham Intelligence ( @Arkham ) .
Immediately, Miguel's extraordinary intelligence and energy caught my attention.
He had an incredible vision for @Bitcoin
becoming the center of banking and commerce.
But here's the thing about crypto...
The anonymity that everyone thinks is a feature is actually the biggest problem.
Yik Yak got shut down because anonymous people behaved terribly.
Crypto had the same issue until people realized the blockchain keeps perfect records.
Miguel saw this and built Arkham to identify crypto wallet holders, not to invade privacy, but to encourage good behavior.
The results speak for themselves: → Tracked a $1.4 billion hack back to North Korea → Solved the Microsoft Exchange hack affecting 250,000 servers
The logical takeaway here?
Eat more ribs. — More stories from "Draper's Top 40 Hits" coming soon. Which founder story should I share next?
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More stories from "Draper's Top 40 Hits" coming soon. Which founder story should I share next?
#arkham #BTC #bnb #BinanceSquareFamily #Squar2earn
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