🚨 December FOMC: The Short Take 🚨
I'm betting on another 25 bps cut.
Why? (The Short Pitch)
The Trend is The Fed's Friend: They've cut twice already (Sep/Oct). A third 25 bps cut is the path of least resistance and aligns with the general consensus that the labor market is cooling.
Market Odds are Heavy: Your 87% Polymarket chance is huge. While Powell plays coy and says it's "not a foregone conclusion" (classic Fed-speak to manage expectations), he rarely fights the market consensus this aggressively unless there's an inflation shock, which isn't the primary concern right now.
$HFT $FET Pro-Risk Sentiment: A cut boosts liquidity and weakens the USD, which is fundamentally bullish for
$BTC .
My Verdict for
$BTC A 25 bps cut is priced in, but it still confirms the easing cycle. If Powell is even slightly more dovish than expected, the
#BTCRebound90kNext thesis gets a major accelerator. No cut (Hold) would cause a brief crypto sell-off, but it's a low-probability event.
#HFT #FET #USDT #BTC