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Muhammad Sohail Sajid
@Square-Creator-8c74613141284

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🔥 Tariff Decision Countdown & Crypto Market Outlook 📅 What’s Coming Up 90‑day pause on Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs (except China) began April 9 and officially ends July 9, 2025 . As of today (June 28), the deadline is just 11 days away—enough time for markets to price in expectations before the verdict. ⚖️ How the Tariff Decision Works 1. Pause period allows negotiations with trading partners while maintaining a baseline 10% tariff. 2. By July 9, Trump may: Lift tariffs—renew pause or offer amicable terms, Reimpose "reciprocal" duties above the baseline, or Extend the pause for selective countries 3. His choice will hinge on ongoing diplomatic progress and macroeconomic signals. 🧠 Crypto Market Scenarios 1. ✅ Tariffs Are Lifted or Extended Risk-off pressure eases—traditionally, crypto has rallied on such news. Related example: On April 9, Bitcoin jumped from ~$77K to ~$83K, Ethereum +15%, and XRP +15% when the pause was announced . Expect a similar short-term rally—crypto acting like risk assets—especially in equities. 2. ⚠️ Tariffs Reimposed (“Risk-On” Turns “Risk-Off”) Trade tensions return → macro volatility spikes. Crypto prices could fall sharply: early April saw Bitcoin dip ~8% on tariff news . Analysts warn of Bitcoin possibly dropping below $75K if a renewed tariff war intensifies . Expect sharp price swings, liquidations, and elevated volatility. 3. 🤝 Tariff Lift but No Trade Breakthrough Markets may rally initially, but sustain only if Fed eases or inflation cools. Binance Research flags stagflation risks—tariffs + slowing growth → policy dilemma Crypto’s correlation with equities may persist; upside would depend on crypto-native catalysts (ETF progress, on‑chain trends, sovereign adoption) 📈 What to Watch Over the Next 11 Days Announcements: tweets, official statements, new trade deals. Equity yields: Fed moving or holding could tilt sentiment for crypto. On‑chain cues: funding rates, institutional flows, whale activity. $BTC $ETH $SOL
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