Today, June 23, 2025, Ripple (XRP) is at a decisive moment, characterized by high volatility and strong tension between buyers and sellers. The current price — recorded at 12:42 PM CET on CoinGecko — is 2.01 USDT, with a market capitalization of approximately 118.7 billion dollars. On a weekly level, XRP records a decrease of -5%, while on a monthly basis the correction reaches about -13% (source: CoinGecko).
The macroeconomic context remains complex: the trade tensions between the United States and China, the ongoing war in Ukraine, the upcoming American presidential elections, and the anticipated decisions of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates keep the markets highly sensitive. Ripple, moreover, is particularly exposed to regulatory developments and the continuous updates related to the ongoing lawsuit with the SEC.
XRP (Ripple): technical analysis and market data
Current price and main data
XRP Price (06/23/2025, 12:42 CET): 2.01 USDT
Market Cap: 118.7 billion USD
24h Volume: 4.44 billion USD
Fear & Greed Index: 47 (relative neutrality, source: Alternative.me)
Key technical indicators
RSI (Daily): 46 — in neutral zone, trending downward towards oversold
MACD: bearish setup, histogram in negative, moving averages below zero
ADX: 24 — weak strengthening of the trend, but still not dominant
ATR: 0.23 — volatility above the six-month average, consistent with the breadth of recent ranges
Recent trend of XRP
After the bull breakout of December 2024, which pushed the price above 2.50 USDT — fueled by speculations on an ETF and favorable developments on the legal front — XRP reached a local high at 2.86 USDT in April 2025. However, the subsequent bear pressure pushed the price down to a relative low of 1.79 USDT recorded on June 10.
In the medium term, XRP has moved within a consolidation area between 1.80 USDT (key support) and 2.45 USDT (primary resistance), with frequent false breakouts absorbed by fallback volumes, confirming the presence of strong liquidity zones.
Technical patterns and operational levels
Pattern and price structure
XRP is currently moving in a bear channel, with rising lows starting from the end of May but without a clear structural reversal.
The doppio massimo formed between 2.82 and 2.86 USDT was confirmed by the volumetric loss of support at 2.25 USDT.
The last significant breakout occurred in mid-April with a tripling of volumes, but the subsequent break to the downside of the key levels at 2.20 and then 2.00 USDT brought consistent selling.
Volumetric clusters and control points
Point of Control (weekly): 1.96 USDT
High volumetric density zones: 1.85 – 2.10 USDT and 2.45 USDT
Main supports and resistances
Supports: 1.80 USDT (solid), 1.90 USDT (psychological level and cluster), 1.96 USDT (POC)
Resistances: 2.15 USDT (intermediate), 2.40 USDT (primary resistance), 2.86 USDT (annual high)
XRP: short and medium-term operational scenario
Levels to monitor
In case of a technical rebound, pay attention to the 1.96–2.00 USDT range: a return above these values, supported by volumes, could open space towards 2.15 USDT.
On the contrary, a breakdown below 1.80 USDT would represent a warning signal, with a possible extension towards 1.60 USDT, a level that acted as support in April 2024.
Observable patterns
At the 4H graphical level, a possible “bear flag” pattern is observed, a signal that could anticipate a new bearish push.
The confirmation of a real reversal will only come with a stable close above 2.20 USDT, accompanied by an increase in volumes beyond the weekly average.
Fundamentals and recent developments
On the fundamental level, Ripple is advancing the expansion of its ecosystem. Among the main developments:
The launch of the stablecoin RLUSD, designed for corporate payments and cross-border solutions
The strengthening of banking partnerships in Asian and Latin American markets
Monitoring the legal evolution with the SEC, still without definitive rulings but with signs of détente
The future possibility of an ETF focused on XRP, not yet confirmed but the subject of speculation in the bull sector
All these elements constitute medium-term drivers, but they do not currently seem capable of reversing the short-term negative sentiment on their own.
Forecasts and Possible Scenarios
Bull scenario
Initial target: 2.15 USDT
Extended target: 2.40 USDT
Condition: Daily close above 2.15 USDT with double the average volumes
Bear scenario
Initial target: 1.90 USDT
Possible extension: 1.60 USDT in case of breakdown below 1.80 USDT
Condition: Weekly close below 1.80 USDT with an increase in selling volumes
Current evaluation
The technical picture remains slightly bearish: the price struggles to stay above 2.00 USDT and lacks an external catalyst capable of reversing the momentum. The coming days will be decisive: holding the 1.90–1.80 USDT level represents the key junction for setting the summer trend.
“`html Conclusions and operational suggestions “`
XRP is in a critical zone. The lack of convincing buying volumes and the absence of confirmations from the regulatory front keep the risk of further declines alive. The potential break of the support at 1.80 USDT would represent a strong signal in this sense.
Recommended strategies
Avoid leveraged entries near sensitive supports
Utilize dynamic stop-losses just below critical levels (e.g., 1.77 USDT)
Closely monitor volumes and regulatory news
Evaluate entries only above 2.15 USDT with solid confirmations
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and risky instruments. Any operation based on this information is carried out under the responsibility of the investor.
Sources: CoinGecko, TradingView, Alternative.me, FXStreet (data updated on 23/06/2025, at 12:42 CET)
