According to Deep Tide TechFlow, Bloomberg economic analysts stated that U.S. President Trump’s suspension of reciprocal tariffs is about to expire, intertwining rising geopolitical risks with potential tariff escalations.
The Middle East conflict could lead to a spike in oil prices, with crude oil potentially exceeding $130 per barrel in extreme cases, possibly bringing the U.S. summer CPI close to 4%, prompting the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts.
The report points out that a significant rise in oil or natural gas prices or trade turbulence will become a constraint on the world economy.
● Market news: Iranian parliament approves closure of the Strait of Hormuz
According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on June 22, market news indicated that the Iranian parliament has approved the proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz. However, this measure still requires a final decision from the top security agency.
● The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 84.5%
According to Jinshi Data, CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%.
In addition, the probability of maintaining interest rates in September is 30%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 60%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 10%.
● French lawmakers invite Jan3 founder to discuss strategic Bitcoin reserve plan
According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on June 22, French MEP Sarah Knafo invited Jan3 founder Samson Mow to visit France to jointly explore the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve and promote friendly regulation. Mow expressed anticipation for a national-level Bitcoin adoption wave in France and throughout Europe.
This move comes against the backdrop of increasing participation of Bitcoin in the public and private sectors in France, including the announcement by the state-owned bank Bpifrance to invest $27 million to support local crypto projects, and the European Bitcoin financial company Blockchain Group increasing its Bitcoin holdings to 1,471 coins.
● Metaplanet CEO: Bitcoin is a safe haven in uncertain times
According to ChainCatcher, Simon Gerovich, CEO of the Japanese listed company Metaplanet, tweeted that Bitcoin is a safe haven in uncertain times. Resilient. Borderless. Unstoppable.
● The number of staked ETH on the Ethereum network breaks 35 million, setting a new historical high
According to ChainCatcher, the amount of staked ETH on the Ethereum network has reached a historical high, with over 35 million ETH currently locked, accounting for more than 28.3% of its total supply. This reflects the market's ongoing confidence and participation in the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade and its staking mechanism.
● James Wynn predicts Bitcoin's short-term price target to be between $93,000 and $95,000
According to ChainCatcher, James Wynn tweeted that Bitcoin's short-term price target range is between $93,000 and $95,000. With global geopolitical tensions, other countries may join the conflict, and Bitcoin prices could further decline. Even setting aside the war, the U.S. has not cut interest rates, and the only 'good news' is the global M2 money supply, which does not come from the dollar.
