The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is 84.5%

According to Jinshi data reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%.

In addition, the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 30%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 60%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 10%.