tariffs

Global markets are on high alert as the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue a ruling today at 10:00 AM ET on the legality of Trump-era tariffs. While the decision is rooted in constitutional law, its implications extend far beyond the courtroom and directly into global financial markets.
At the core of the case is a critical question: how much authority does the U.S. president have to impose tariffs without direct congressional approval? The answer could redefine the future of U.S. trade policy and influence market behavior well beyond today’s session.

Why This Ruling Matters
The court’s decision could either reinforce or restrict the executive branch’s power to use tariffs as a geopolitical and economic weapon. An affirmation would validate aggressive unilateral trade actions, while limitations could force future administrations to rethink how they implement protectionist policies. Either outcome sets an important precedent for how the U.S. engages in global trade disputes going forward.
What Markets Are Watching Closely
Traders are preparing for heightened volatility across asset classes. An immediate reaction is expected in U.S. equities and futures, with spillover effects into the U.S. dollar, commodities, and bond markets. Volatility indicators such as the VIX may spike as investors reposition in response to legal clarity—or continued uncertainty.
Sectors Most Exposed
Industries with global supply chains are particularly vulnerable. Industrials, exporters, autos, and manufacturing could see sharp moves depending on the ruling. Technology companies, especially those reliant on cross-border components, may face renewed pressure. Commodities and metals are also in focus, as tariffs directly influence pricing, demand, and trade flows.
Possible Market Scenarios
If the tariffs are upheld, markets may price in prolonged trade friction and increased costs for global businesses. If the court limits tariff authority, short-term relief rallies are possible, though governments may seek alternative policy tools. A delayed or narrow ruling could prolong uncertainty, weighing on risk sentiment and keeping volatility elevated.
The Bigger Picture
This is more than a legal decision—it is a strategic signal. Allies, rivals, and investors alike will interpret the ruling as a measure of how aggressively the United States can deploy trade policy in future economic confrontations. The outcome may influence negotiations, capital flows, and market confidence for weeks or even months ahead.
Bottom Line
When the Supreme Court speaks, markets listen. Today’s ruling has the potential to set the tone for global risk sentiment and trade expectations in the near term. Traders and investors should remain alert, manage risk carefully, and be prepared for swift market reactions.

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Co napędza impas:**
• **Zagrożenie cłami ze strony USA:** Prezydent Trump ogłosił **10% cła zaczynające od 1 lutego**, z możliwością eskalacji do **25%**, na import z kilku europejskich krajów — wywołując ostrą reakcję w całej Europie.
• **Szerszy konflikt:** Uznawany za jedną z **najpoważniejszych kryzysów w ostatnich relacjach transatlantyckich**, podsycając już napięte więzi handlowe między Waszyngtonem a Brukselą.
**Odpowiedź UE na stole:**
• **Cła odwetowe w wysokości 93 miliardów euro (108 miliardów dolarów)** mogą zostać przywrócone na towary z USA