According to PANews, historical data indicates that Bitcoin may have reached its lowest point for 2025 on September 1, with a low of approximately $107,000. Since July 2024, Bitcoin has typically formed its monthly low within the first ten days of each month. However, February, June, and August 2025 were exceptions, with lows occurring later, although the market experienced a pullback in the first ten days before resuming its trend. This pattern may be linked to institutional portfolio rebalancing and key macroeconomic events concentrated at the beginning of the month.
Data from CoinDesk and insights from Oliver Knight, Deputy Editor of Tokens, suggest that the expiration of several futures and options markets at the end of each month or the beginning of the next could trigger short-term volatility, leading to subdued trading activity as traders opt to roll over or reposition. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the fourth quarter has historically been Bitcoin's strongest period, with an average return rate of 85%. October is particularly notable, having only experienced declines in two months since 2013.
