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E domani potrebbe essere il giorno peggiore del 2026...

La maggior parte delle persone non lo sa, ma:

Le tariffe rimangono = GIÙ
Le tariffe sono sparite = GIÙ

NON C'È SCENARIO VINCENTE.

Se possiedi azioni o qualsiasi asset, devi prestare attenzione a questo.

Prima di parlare di tariffe, guarda dove ci troviamo.

– L'"Indicatore Buffett" (Capitale di mercato rispetto al PIL) ha appena raggiunto ~224%. È un record assoluto. È più alto del picco della bolla Dot-Com (~150%) e più alto del picco del 2021.

– Il rapporto P/E di Shiller è vicino a 40. Abbiamo visto questo SOLO UNA VOLTA in 150 anni... giusto prima del crollo del 2000.

There has never been a secret sauce for extracting only profits from the market. If anything, losing your entire capital is far more likely than becoming profitable, especially in the world of cryptocurrencies and digital assets. Market data consistently shows that 7 out of 10 traders lose.

So, profitability is not about money. It is about behavior.
The more chaotic the mind, the higher the likelihood of poor decision making, and in trading, poor decisions compound quickly.
One losing trade often sets off a sequence of additional losses. Ego gets involved. Dopamine takes over. The focus shifts from execution to recovery.
To reclaim what has already been lost, impatient traders frequently open new positions using excessive leverage and distorted risk-to-reward ratios, and the market is highly efficient at punishing this behavior.
It is brutal and indifferent, with the capacity to absorb every bit of margin you feed it. It does not matter how that margin was acquired. Through savings, salary, or borrowed funds. Provoking the market has only one outcome.
Liquidation.
Market Psychology: Have you ever felt as though every trade you entered moved against you?
Most traders have even I do. Consider the following scenarios.

Scenario One: You notice a token rallying and enter a 20x leveraged long. Almost immediately, the price reverses. Red candles follow one after another. The position drops 15%. Brutal.
Scenario Two: You see the same rally but conclude the market cap is already too high to justify further upside. You enter a 20x short. As soon as the position opens, the price surges 10%. Brutal.

Scenario Three: A token appears oversold. Its market cap is approximately $4M. You believe this presents an opportunity to be early. You enter a long position. Price drops further. Brutal.

Scenario Four: You have learned from previous mistakes. You are more cautious now. Better informed. You notice a meme token trading near $3M market cap and gaining traction. You dismiss it, assuming it will fade like most others.
The next day, it trades near $10M. You remain on the sidelines. By evening, it reaches $19M. Regret begins to surface, but you convince yourself the move is already extended and walk away. The following day, it surpasses $37M.
At this point, doubt sets in. You begin to reconsider. Perhaps this is actually a good project.
You finally BUY.
By the end of the day, your position is up 12%. Confidence builds. You trust the trade. You do not set a stop-loss. The next morning, your holdings are down 70%. Brutal.
The Illusion of Control :
There is a common belief that the more attention and thought you give something, the more likely it is to succeed. In financial markets, this belief rarely holds.
Markets do not respond to intent. They move independently of expectation. While outcomes remain uncertain, what is controllable is risk exposure, position sizing, and execution discipline.
Everything else is secondary.

The Difference Between Winners and Losers:
Winners are not distinguished by superior predictions. They are distinguished by process.
They position themselves early, before trends become obvious.

They prioritize capital preservation over aggressive returns.

They understand the difference between a calculated loss and a failure.

They do not follow the crowd; they anticipate it.

They operate within clearly defined rules and respect invalidation.
What is lost is accepted. What lies ahead is approached without emotional residue.
They understand risk-to-reward dynamics.

They invest time in research before entering positions.

They study tokenomics, project goals, team credibility, partnerships, and incentives.

They do not trade emotionally or impulsively.
On the other hand Losers do the opposite.

What is being profitable?
If you ask me, I'd say. " If you add $100 to your wallet in the morning, and after trading all day, even if you managed to gain $0.1, you are a profitable trader on day one.
Nothing more. Nothing less.

This article is intended for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to evaluate trading instruments independently, conduct thorough research, and assess personal risk tolerance before participating in trading or investing activities. The author is not responsible for any financial losses resulting from individual decisions.Title/Thumbnail inspiration: Dan Koe’s “How to Fix Your Entire Life in One Day.”

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