## ASTER: Mainnet Hype vs. The Looming Unlock Pressure
The **ASTER** ecosystem is currently witnessing a significant price rally, fueled by mounting anticipation for its upcoming mainnet launch. This "buy the rumor" sentiment is a classic crypto trend, yet investors should keep a sharp eye on the calendar as a major shift in supply dynamics approaches.
### The $56M Monthly Supply Shock
Beginning **February 17, 2026**, ASTER will initiate a series of monthly token unlocks. Approximately **78.48 million tokens** (0.98% of the total supply) are scheduled to enter circulation every month. At current valuations, this represents a **$56 million** monthly infusion of liquidity, which could introduce substantial selling pressure.
### Market Outlook: Volatility Ahead
With the first unlock just days away, short-term volatility is highly likely. While strong mainnet developments could sustain the rally through March, these periodic unlocks will act as persistent overhead resistance.
**Strategy:** Monitor the mainnet delivery closely, but remain cautious of the "sell the news" potential as the circulating supply begins its steady expansion.
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