🚨🔥 US JOB MARKET ALERT | FED x MARKETS 🔥🚨
🇺🇸 The U.S. labor market is sending mixed signals, and this is directly shaping expectations around Federal Reserve rate decisions 👀💥
📊 What’s really happening?
▪️ December showed low hiring and low layoffs
▪️ Unemployment unexpectedly dropped to 4.4%, breaking its recent upward trend
▪️ However ⚠️ job creation is slowing, and upcoming annual revisions could push employment numbers even lower
🏦 The Fed at a crossroads
Despite no clear signs of a sharp deterioration in the labor market,
👉 the Federal Reserve may pause further rate cuts after three consecutive reductions
📉 Market expectations (CME):
❌ Only 5% probability of a rate cut in January
📆 For 2026, markets still price in two rate cuts, but:
➡️ expectations have shifted to June and September, rather than earlier in the year
💣 What could change everything?
🔹 The appointment of a new Fed Chair
🔹 Early statements and guidance on economic policy
👉 These factors could dramatically increase expectations for rate cuts
🔥 Bottom line:
The market is stuck between stability and slowdown.
The Fed is staying cautious.
Investors are on high alert.
💬 Rates, dollar, crypto — volatility is loading… 🚀💸
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