# **đ„ Political Shake-Up Coming? Polymarket Bets on Powell's Exit in 2025**
**đ° Prediction markets are buzzing:** Odds of **Jerome Powell getting fired** in 2025 just **spiked to 35%** on Polymarket. Is the Fed Chair's job really at risk? Letâs break it down.
## **đ Whatâs Happening?**
â **Polymarket odds surged** to **35%** (from ~10% last month)
â **Trigger:** Speculation that **Trump** (if re-elected) could replace Powell
â **Why?** Powellâs **"slow" rate cuts** frustrate Trumpâs pro-growth agenda
*(Translation: The Fedâs independence might get a stress test.)*
## **đĄ Why This Matters for Crypto**
### **1ïžâŁ Dovish Fed = Bullish Crypto**
- If Powell is ousted, **Trump could install a rate-cutting cheerleader** â liquidity flood â **$BTC to $150K?**
### **2ïžâŁ Market Volatility Ahead**
- Uncertainty around Fed leadership = **short-term turbulence**
- **Buy the rumor, sell the news?**
### **3ïžâŁ DeFi Prediction Markets Heating Up**
- Polymarket becoming **a real political signal tool**
- **Next big bet?** Fed policy shifts under new leadership
## **đŻ Two Possible Scenarios**
### **đŠ Powell Stays (65% Odds)**
- **Market reaction:** Status quo â steady rates â **slow grind up** for crypto
- **Fed credibility intact**
### **đŠ Powell Out (35% Odds)**
- **Market reaction:** Instant **risk-on rally** (stocks & crypto pump)
- **Long-term risk:** Political interference could backfire
## **đ° How to Trade This News**
â **Short-term:** Watch **Polymarket odds** for shifts
â **Mid-term:** Accumulate **if BTC dips on uncertainty**
â **Long-term:** **DCA into ETH/BTC** â no matter who runs the Fed