The year 2025 has marked a turning point for XRP. After years of stagnation and legal battles with the U.S. SEC, Ripple’s token is finally showing signs of resurgence — driven not only by technical factors, but also by political developments. Although XRP has yet to break its all-time high, the first half of the year has demonstrated that it still has momentum.


📈 Politics Fuel the Rally: Trump and the Strategic Reserve

XRP experienced its most significant rally in December 2024 following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election, with the price soaring to $2.70. The rally continued into January, pushing XRP to $3.20.

In March, Trump shocked markets again by announcing the creation of a U.S. Strategic Crypto Reserve — with Ripple among its holdings. The announcement, followed by an executive order on digital assets, sent XRP spiking. On May 19, Ripple dropped its appeal in the SEC lawsuit, propelling the price to $2.53.


🌍 Geopolitics & Macro: A Double-Edged Sword

It wasn’t all bullish. In April and May, XRP was dragged down by geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran-Israel war, briefly plunging to a local low of $1.79. Once the conflict subsided, XRP recovered to above $2.

Macroeconomic factors — including U.S. GDP data, inflation metrics, Fed rate decisions, and FOMC meetings — also continued to influence investor sentiment. XRP oscillated between $2.15 and $2.40 throughout the spring.

⚖️ June Optimism: XRP ETF in Sight

June was pivotal. The SEC hinted at a potential settlement, and talks of a spot XRP ETF gained traction. Ripple also secured approval from Grayscale to include XRP in their fund — a major confidence boost.

Currently, XRP is trading at $2.19, with a market cap of $129.37 billion and daily trading volume of $2.92 billion.

🔮 What’s Next? Analysts Aim High

If the SEC approves a spot XRP ETF, it could spark another major rally. Ripple also announced a strategic partnership with OpenPayd to build RLUSD stablecoin infrastructure — further solidifying its position in the financial world.

July could be volatile: upcoming data on U.S. inflation, unemployment, and the FOMC press conference are expected to impact prices.

And what do analysts say? Some predict XRP could hit $4.80, while the most bullish estimates point to $27 — but the token first needs to break the $2.65 resistance level.




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