Most people don’t lose money in crypto because they never made gains — they lose it because they never took them. It’s easy to ride the wave when everything’s green, but the real skill lies in knowing when to get off. Whether it’s Bitcoin’s euphoric runs or altcoins going parabolic, the profits are only real when you lock them in. That’s why a strong exit strategy is just as important — if not more — than your entry.
There are three powerful tools that can help you spot when it’s time to step back. First, the Pi Cycle Top Indicator, which uses moving averages to signal Bitcoin’s historical tops. When the 111-day MA crosses above twice the 350-day MA, it’s been a reliable marker that a peak is near. Next, track smart money outflows by watching whale activity and exchange reserves. When large wallets start selling or when exchange reserves spike, it’s often a red flag. Finally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index gives a pulse of market sentiment — extreme greed often signals that it’s time to exit or scale back.
No one catches the exact top — and you don’t need to. The goal isn’t perfection; it’s preservation. Start booking profits when indicators align, and don’t let emotions drive your decisions. Combine multiple signals, stay rational, and you’ll avoid becoming another “could-have-been” in the next cycle crash.