BitcoinForecast

Bitcoin is currently trading around $102,700, and the market is at a tipping point. The big question on every trader’s mind: Are we about to see a healthy dip to $96K—or are we gearing up for a breakout to $144K?

Using the Mayer Multiple—a trusted tool that compares Bitcoin’s price to its 200-day moving average—both outcomes are possible. Let’s break down what this means and how you can stay ahead.
What Is the Mayer Multiple?

The Mayer Multiple (MM) = Bitcoin’s current price ÷ 200-day moving average (200DMA)
It helps traders judge whether BTC is undervalued or overheated.

Here’s how to read it:

🔵 1.0x (Blue Zone) – Price is aligned with the long-term average

🟠 1.5x (Orange Zone) – Gaining momentum, entering bull territory

🔴 2.5x (Red Zone) – Market top territory (potential for major corrections)

Right now, BTC is hovering between 1.0x and 1.5x, suggesting the market is warming up—but hasn’t hit its final peak yet
📊 Two Key Levels to Watch:

$96,000 – Could be a short-term dip and reset level

$144,000 – The next potential breakout if momentum continues
🌍 Why Did Bitcoin React to Global News?

Recently, markets shook after President Trump authorized a strike on Iranian nuclear sites. Traditional markets pulled back, but BTC saw a small bump—highlighting its reputation as a “digital safe-haven”, much like gold but borderless and decentralized.

In times of conflict, many investors shift capital toward assets they view as secure from government influence—and BTC fits that bill.
🔥 Updated Price Predictions (via CoinCodex & Trend Analysis)

📍 Current Price: $102,700
📉 24-hour Change: -1.5%
📉 Weekly: -2.9%
📉 Monthly: -8.1%

🔮 Short-Term Forecasts:

Next 5 days: $136,000+ likely if momentum continues

3 months out: $138,000 range

6 months outlook: Moderate pullback to around $116,000 before new highs
⚠️ What If BTC Drops to $96K?

Don’t panic—a dip to $96K isn’t a crash, it’s a technical reset.

✅ Cleans out high-risk leverage positions
✅ Helps the market cool down before another rally
✅ Often leads to a stronger, more sustainable uptrend
🚀 What If BTC Hits $144K?

That’s the start of the “acceleration phase” of the bull run.

💼 Institutions might start taking profits
📈 Retail investors (FOMO buyers) pile in
📉 But also, volatility may spike hard

Think of it like the final sprint in a marathon—intense, fast-paced, and exhausting.
💬 What Should You Do Now?

Ask yourself three key questions:

1. 🔒 Are you entering at strong support—or chasing the pump?

2. 🛡️ Do you have a plan in case of a sharp drop?

3. 🌱 Is your portfolio balanced beyond just Bitcoin?

Pro Tip: Diversify with altcoins, keep an eye on on-chain data, and don’t forget to set stop-losses if you’re actively trading.
📌 Final Thoughts

This is a crucial moment for Bitcoin. Whether we see a dip or a moonshot, both paths offer opportunities—if you’re prepared.

Follow key indicators like the Mayer Multiple, stay calm in volatility, and don’t let hype drive your decisions.
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Here’s a creative yet insightful look at Bitcoin’s pulse from June 18–24, 2025 — echoing the tension, triumph, and the global drama shaping its path.
#Write2Earn #BitcoinForecast
🎢 The Week in Bitcoin — A Tale of Tension & Triumph
1. Geopolitics Takes Center Stage
Early in the week, Bitcoin’s journey mirrored global news: a surprise middle‑East flare-up involving the U.S. and Iran pushed BTC below $100,000, triggering a market-wide selloff . But calm returned swiftly—President Trump’s cease‑fire announcement between Israel and Iran sparked a sharp rebound, lifting Bitcoin$BTC back above $106,000 .
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2. Volatility & Liquidity Signals
Despite the rally, warning signs remained. Cointelegraph revealed $BTC
briefly plunged into the $90Ks, with liquidity drying up and newer investors weathering heavy pressure . Yet, savvy buyers stood ready around $98,000, and Glassnode data suggested the selling was bottoming out .
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3. Regulatory Winds & Market Infrastructure
In Japan, the Financial Services Agency suggested classifying crypto as financial products—opening the door for ETFs and a flat 20 % capital gains tax on crypto . Across the Pacific, the U.S. Congress debated banning public officials from trading digital assets—another sign of regulation catching up to the space .
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4. Institutional Shifts & On‑chain Developments
Market watchers noted a new wave of institutional interest. Circle’s market cap surged past that of its USDC stablecoin , while CME‑traded Bitcoin futures spiked on risk-on appetite . Additionally, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty is poised for its largest drop since 2021, hinting at network-level evolution .
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5. The Bigger Picture
A broad-market trend emerged: altcoins like Solana led in volatility—but Bitcoin remains the anchor. AI tokens plunged ~18% in market cap this week, underscoring BTC’s resilience amid ecosystem swings . Meanwhile, NFTs tied to Bitcoin and Solana defied dips and held steady .
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🌌 Creative Reflection: Bitcoin’s Week as a Symphony
Think of Bitcoin as the maestro of a world orchestra: geopolitical chords strike suspenseful low notes, triggering sharp price drops. Regulatory horns introduce new harmonies—Japan’s ETF plans, U.S. oversight debates—hinting at evolving structure. Institutional percussion dictates rhythm, pushing Bitcoin above $106K. Through it all, Bitcoin remains the conductor—tempered by liquidity, buoyed by network resilience, always leading the ensemble.
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🔍 What’s Next?
Watchpoint Why It Matters
$98K–$100K liquidity zone Could be the stage for a new rally—or a fresh dip.
Global ETF/regulatory news Japan’s move could inspire similar innovations in Europe & U.S.
Mining difficulty drop May ease entry for miners and stabilize network.
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Final Note 🎭
Bitcoin’s recent performance reads like an epic play: sudden conflict, regulatory overtures, institutional acclaims, and market reverie. From sub‑$100K fear to $106K applause—all in just days. As this crypto saga unfolds, the interplay of macro events and network dynamics will shape Bitcoin’s next act. Keep your eyes on global headlines, on-chain signals, and pockets of institutional flow—it’s all part of the next crescendo.
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Stay tuned—and if you’d like a deep dive into one subplot (like ETFs, futures, or mining), I’m here to take center stage!

After a recent period of consolidation, Bitcoin has begun to slowly rise again, briefly hitting its previous high of $106,000 earlier today. Long and short bets have been accumulating, and traders are keeping a careful eye on this zone's extremes. The $100K to $110,000 price range has turned into a battlefield for bulls and bears.
According to BorisVest, short positions are currently rising, suggesting that a sizable percentage of market players anticipate a decline. He did note, though, that there is a greater chance of a short squeeze—a quick reversal—when shorts dominate.
The allocation of long and short bets is generally balanced, which is in line with previous financing rate patterns.
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Why, even though Bitcoin is so near its all-time high, hasn't it broken out yet? The market for Bitcoin [BTC] has recently stayed in a precarious equilibrium. Low realized profits and waning demand signals actually appeared to support it, increasing the likelihood of a direction change in the near future.
Bitcoin was trading at about $106,000 at the time of writing, and its realized profits (7DMA) were just under $1 billion, which is a level not seen since late October 2024.
However, profit-taking has remained muted despite a recent local high, which is consistent with the trend of modest realized profits.
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Bitcoin is displaying a head-shoulders pattern in reverse. The declining supply on trading platforms is another factor that will help Bitcoin.
Bitcoin holdings on exchanges are on the verge of dropping below two million, the lowest level since 2017, according to a piece published earlier today by cryptocurrency analyst Master of Crypto on X. There is less Bitcoin available for sale right now since investors are putting their holdings into long-term storage. If demand keeps increasing, this supply shortage may put upward pressure on prices.
Another Bitcoin analyst, apsk32, meantime, emphasized how BTC continues to follow the power curve cycle. For 15 years, Bitcoin has remarkably followed this cycle, and if the tendency continues, the next cycle peak may take place in November or December 2025.
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Bitcoin Price Forecast: A sharp decline toward the psychological support at $100,000, indicated by a clear green line on the chart, may occur if the price of Bitcoin (USD) is unable to stay above $103,343.
This level might represent the last line of defense before to a more extensive correction, and it also corresponds with the lower bound of the falling triangle.
The next likely support zone, if $100K fails, is between $97,000 and $95,000, which might lead to a retest of the April breakout levels.
A breach over the upper triangular trendline (~$107,000–$109,000) or a robust bounce from the 200 EMA, on the other hand, might invalidate the bearish setup. Bitcoin might then attempt to retest $110,000 and reach new highs above $112,000.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is struggling to regain upward momentum after falling below the $106,200 resistance zone. The market leader dipped to as low as $103,400 before recovering modestly, but strong resistance near $105,500 continues to cap gains, suggesting that BTC may be stuck in a consolidation range in the short term.
Bitcoin Price Consolidates Below Key Resistance
BTC’s recent decline from a high of $108,924 saw it break below multiple support levels, including $108,000, $107,000, and $106,000. Sellers maintained control as the price dropped to test the $103,400–$103,500 support zone. Following the sharp drop, Bitcoin attempted a minor rebound, recovering above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downtrend.
Despite the recovery, Bitcoin remains below $105,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA), indicating persistent bearish pressure. A key bearish trend line has formed with resistance at $105,200, further complicating any breakout attempts.
Resistance Zones to Watch: $105,500 and $106,150
The $105,200–$105,500 range remains the immediate resistance zone. A successful breakout could push the price toward $106,150, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the move from $108,924 to $103,400. If bulls manage to close above this level, the next significant resistance lies at $108,800, followed by the psychological mark of $110,000.
However, without a strong catalyst or buying pressure, reclaiming these levels remains a challenge.
Risks of a Deeper Pullback
Failure to clear $105,500 could lead to another decline. Initial support lies at $104,200, with the next critical zone at $103,500. A break below this could drag BTC toward $102,650, and deeper losses might retest the $101,200 level. If bearish momentum accelerates, BTC could revisit the $100,000 threshold, a level closely watched by both bulls and bears.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD: Losing pace in the bearish zoneHourly RSI: Hovering near the neutral 50 levelMajor Support Levels: $104,200, $103,500Major Resistance Levels: $105,500, $106,150
Market Outlook
With BTC trading at approximately $105,400, the current structure indicates indecision. Sideways consolidation continues to dominate the short-term chart as market participants await clearer direction. Macro events, including the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, could add volatility.
The post appeared first on CryptosNewss.com
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Less Than 1% Of Bitcoin Investors Experiencing Loss After BTC Surpasses $100,000
According to recent on-chain data, fewer than 1% of Bitcoin holders are currently at a loss following the cryptocurrency's price surge beyond the $100,000 mark.
Minimal Bitcoin Addresses Underwater at Current Valuation
In a recent update on X, the market analysis platform IntoTheBlock detailed the profit and loss distribution among Bitcoin investors after the cryptocurrency's recent price rally.
As Bitcoin edges closer to its all-time high, it is unsurprising that only a small fraction of investors remain in a loss position. The chart below, shared by the analytics firm, illustrates the price ranges at which these few underwater addresses acquired their Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Profit-Loss Distribution
In the graph, the dot size represents the amount of Bitcoin purchased within each price range. Notably, the dots associated with prices below the current level are relatively small.
Overall, these price ranges encompass approximately 380,000 addresses. While this number may appear significant, it accounts for less than 1% of the total Bitcoin holders, given the extensive size of the user base.
In on-chain analysis, understanding the cost basis levels of addresses is crucial, as investors are more likely to make moves when their profit or loss status is about to change.
Investors who were previously in loss might consider selling when their break-even point is reached, fearing a potential decline in price that could diminish their recovery chances. Such selling activity could impact Bitcoin's price if a large number of investors decide to sell simultaneously.
However, the current price levels have a minimal number of addresses underwater, suggesting that the resistance from panic selling might be limited.
That said, overcoming these levels may not be effortless for Bitcoin. When the market's profit-loss balance skews heavily towards profits, another significant risk emerges: profit-taking selloffs. The more the market tilts towards profit, the higher the likelihood of a large-scale selloff.
With the majority of Bitcoin investors currently in a profit position, some are expected to sell. The critical question remains whether there will be sufficient demand to counteract this selling pressure.
Bitcoin Price Update
As of now, Bitcoin is trading around $97,900, marking a 3% increase over the past week.

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Market Update: Bitcoin’s $81K Support Level Could Shape Its Next Major Move
Bitcoin’s price continues its gradual descent, bringing the cryptocurrency closer to a significant psychological milestone. With uncertainty surrounding its current trajectory, opinions are divided on whether Bitcoin is gearing up for another rally or entering a correction phase.
Recent blockchain data highlights key indicators, such as the realized price for short-term holders, which offer valuable insights into market dynamics and potential future trends.
Critical Support Zone Established at $81,000
An analysis shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by the analyst Shayan BTC identifies the realized price metric, particularly for Bitcoin’s 1-3 month UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) age band, as a pivotal gauge of investor sentiment among recent market participants.
This metric reflects the average purchase price of Bitcoin for individuals who acquired it within the past one to three months. When Bitcoin’s price holds above this level, it typically suggests bullish sentiment, as newer investors appear confident despite market fluctuations.
However, a dip below this threshold could signal increased selling pressure, as short-term holders may choose to cut their losses.
Currently, the realized price for Bitcoin’s 1-3 month holder group is positioned at $81,000. This level acts as a crucial support zone, serving as both a psychological and technical defense for short- and long-term investors alike.
Historically, Bitcoin maintaining a price above this marker has signified robust market confidence, with recent buyers optimistic about future price potential. Conversely, a decline below $81,000 might lead to a surge in selling activity, particularly among short-term holders aiming to mitigate losses. Such a scenario could exacerbate downward momentum, potentially sparking broader market sell-offs.
Bitcoin’s Recent Market Trends
Bitcoin’s recent performance has left investors underwhelmed, especially during the holiday season. Since mid-December, the cryptocurrency has struggled to regain ground after falling below the $100,000 level, with little to no signs of upward movement in sight.