$BTC 🗓️Date- June 25, 2025
🔄 Key Changes Since Last Update
📈 Price: $106,530 (+1.63%) from $105,224 – reclaimed key EMAs
🔥 RSI: 61.95 (↑ from 44.18) – strong bullish momentum
⚡ STOCHRSI: Bullish crossover (75.45 > 44.98)
📊 Volume: 2.02K (-88% vs avg 16.85K) – ⚠️ weak participation
✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price above EMA(7) & EMA(25)
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📊 Key Metrics
💰 Current Price: $106,530
🧠 EMAs:
EMA(7): $104,954 ✅
EMA(25): $105,050 ✅
EMA(99): $99,628
📈 RSI(6): 61.95 – bullish zone
💥 STOCHRSI: 75.45 (rising)
🔁 Range: $104,622 – $106,791
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📉📈 Technical Breakdown
🔍 Developments
✅ Bullish EMA alignment restored (Price > EMA 7 > EMA 25)
💪 RSI jumping from 44 → 61 shows trend strength
⚠️ Volume much lower than average → Breakout sustainability unclear
💹 STOCHRSI in overbought territory but still rising
🧱 Resistance at $106,791 under test – breakout close
📌 Key Levels
🔼 Resistance:
$106,791 (24h high)
$108,784 (technical)
$111,980 (YTD high)
🔽 Support:
$106,000 (psychological)
$105,050 (EMA 25)
$104,622 (24h low)
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📅 Price Prediction
🕒 Next 12-24h Outlook
✅ Base Case (70%): Break $106,791 → $107,500 → $108,000
⚠️ Bear Case (30%): Reject → pullback to $106,000
📆 3-Day Outlook
🚀 Close > $106,791 → Target $108,784
❌ Close < $105,050 → Invalidation
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💼 Trade Plan
🎯 Intraday Ideas (Next 4-6h)
1. 🟢 Long from Support
Entry: $106,200–$106,300
Target: $106,700 → $107,000
Stop Loss: $106,000
Confirmation: 15m bounce off $106,250
2. 🚀 Breakout Long
Entry: $106,850
Target: $107,300 → $107,800
Stop Loss: $106,700
Volume Trigger: >2.5K on breakout
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📈 Swing Trade Setups
1. 🔄 EMA Rebound Long
Entry: $105,100
Target: $106,000 → $106,500
Stop Loss: $104,900
Signal: STOCHRSI > 50
2. 📊 Trend Continuation Long
Entry: $107,000
Target: $108,000 → $110,000
Stop Loss: $106,500
Trigger: 4h candle close > $106,800
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🧠 Risk Management
💼 Position Size: Max 1.5% of capital
🎯 Take Profit:
50% at $107,000
50% at $108,000
🛑 Max Loss: ≤0.5% of total capital
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⚠️ Critical Triggers
✅ BULLISH SIGNALS:
+ Price > $106,791 (24h high)
+ RSI > 65
+ Volume > 3K on breakout
+ STOCHRSI > 80
❌ BEARISH INVALIDATION:
- Close < $105,050 (EMA 25)
- RSI falls below 55
- STOCHRSI bearish crossover
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✅ Summary
BTC/USDT has confirmed a bullish rebound with clean closes above EMA(7) & EMA(25).
🔹 Watch These Levels Closely:
📈 Breakout: $106,791 → opens move to $108,784
🛡️ Support: $105,050 – must hold for bullish bias
💸 Best Trades:
1. Longs at $106,250 (stop: $106,000)
2. Breakout longs above $106,850 (stop: $106,700)
3. Aggressive entries at $105,100 (EMA 25)
📉 Avoid Shorts unless price breaks below $105,050 with high volume.
📛 Warning: Low volume (2.02K vs 16.85K avg) may cause false breakouts. STOCHRSI is overbought, so a pullback before $107,000 test is likely.
Take Trade From here 👉
$BTC ---
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