The recovery I flagged this morning made it through a full US session, and that changes how I read it. $BTC closed the day ~+2.3% near $62.9k, bouncing cleanly off the $61.1k low. But the tape stalled at $63.2k - the exact ceiling that broke on the hot CPI print. So the bounce is real, yet it stopped at the most obvious wall on the chart.
That is the whole next-session setup. A reclaim that holds turns $63k from resistance into support and invites continuation. A fade from here prints a textbook lower-high and hands momentum back to sellers. Dominance held at 56.3% all day, so this was a broad majors grind, not an alt rotation - ETH +1%, SOL +1.5%, BNB +1.9%, XRP the lone red major.
Meanwhile speculative attention is leaking into tokenized pre-IPO plays like the SpaceX SPCXx campaign - a tell that risk appetite is alive at the edges even while Fear & Greed reads 16. When the fringe heats up but majors stall at resistance, I watch the level, not the mood. Does $63k flip to support, or does the next session sell the wall?