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Zooming out on the higher timeframes, ETHBTC continues to show a constructive market structure with plenty of room for expansion. After a prolonged downtrend, the pair has successfully completed a corrective phase and is now attempting to transition into a broader bullish cycle.
Structure and Market Context
Price previously respected a descending channel that defined the corrective phase. The recent breakout from this structure, followed by a successful retest, indicates that a major resistance level has flipped into support. This behavior typically signals the beginning of a bullish continuation rather than a short-lived relief rally.
At present, ETHBTC is consolidating above this reclaimed support, forming a base that could act as a launchpad for the next impulsive move higher.
Bullish Confirmation Level
For bullish continuation to be fully confirmed, ETHBTC needs to break and hold above the recent swing high at 0.03687. A decisive close above this level would invalidate the current consolidation range and confirm that buyers remain in control.
Given the current momentum and structure, a breakout above this level appears increasingly likely in the near term.
Short-Term Target
Once confirmation is achieved, the primary short-term target sits at 0.05092. This level represents the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, measured from the corrective move that took place between August and November 2025. This target aligns well with previous price reactions and serves as a natural area for partial profit-taking.
Mid-Term Target
Looking at a broader wave structure, extending from September 2022 through April 2025, the 0.618 Fibonacci extension comes in at 0.05963. This level represents a mid-cycle objective and would place ETHBTC approximately halfway through the full bullish expansion.
Reaching this zone would confirm a sustained trend reversal in favor of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
Long-Term Cycle Target
The final and most ambitious target for this cycle lies significantly higher, at 0.12744. This level represents the full potential of the bullish wave that began in April 2025 and assumes continued strength in Ethereum dominance alongside favorable macro and on-chain conditions.
From current price levels, this move would imply approximately 269% upside, with significantly amplified returns possible under leveraged conditions. However, this should be viewed strictly as a long-term cycle target rather than an immediate expectation.
Final Thoughts
ETHBTC continues to develop within a healthy bullish framework, supported by structure, Fibonacci extensions, and momentum behavior. While short-term volatility is expected, the broader technical picture suggests that Ethereum still has meaningful upside relative to Bitcoin in the months ahead.
As always, patience and risk management remain essential. The larger trend favors continuation, but confirmation levels should be respected to avoid premature positioning.

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