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公众号《土豆谈币》：在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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Don't be afraid of pullbacks in a bull market; a drop is just an opportunity. The rate cuts in this bull market have just begun!
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November 14 Today's Cryptocurrency Market: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoin Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions!
🚀 In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market cap decreased by 4.65%, continuing its 16.5% monthly decline. Soft macroeconomic outlook and liquidation of leveraged positions intensified this sell-off.
1. Macro Risk Aversion - Weak Chinese economic data and diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts negatively impacted the G market, leading to declines in cryptocurrency.
2. Derivative Liquidation - Due to Bitcoin falling below the support level of $98,000, long positions worth $890 million were liquidated; before the crash, open contracts increased by 4.5%.
3. Fear Spreads - CMC Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 15 (Extreme Fear), slightly higher than yesterday.
1. Macro Risk Aversion - Weak Chinese economic data and diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts negatively impacted the G market, leading to declines in cryptocurrency.
2. Derivative Liquidation - Due to Bitcoin falling below the support level of $98,000, long positions worth $890 million were liquidated; before the crash, open contracts increased by 4.5%.
3. Fear Spreads - CMC Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 15 (Extreme Fear), slightly higher than yesterday.
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Looking at the BTC data, the turnover rate has risen significantly, and there is a sense of panic emerging. Of course, the main body of the panic is still the short-term investors, especially those who bought in during the last two days, as they are the main force behind the turnover. There isn't much else to say; mainly, the market sentiment is very poor, and liquidity is quite low. The recovery of liquidity is estimated to take about another week. If tech stocks do not rebound on Friday, market sentiment may worsen.
Although the price has dropped quite sharply, from the perspective of the chip structure, not all investors are panicking. Most investors remain relatively stable. Of course, this is also why the current price drop is limited. If tech stocks were to weaken comprehensively, it would likely be dire.
Although the price has dropped quite sharply, from the perspective of the chip structure, not all investors are panicking. Most investors remain relatively stable. Of course, this is also why the current price drop is limited. If tech stocks were to weaken comprehensively, it would likely be dire.
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看了一下OKB和BNB的走势
BNB好歹还有资金护盘，OKB这是完全自由落体啊，有没有被OKB套了的？都被套在多少？
BNB好歹还有资金护盘，OKB这是完全自由落体啊，有没有被OKB套了的？都被套在多少？
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#BTC #ETH
The fear index is approaching single digits. This is the third panic phase since the beginning of this bull market. Based on historical data, the recent bottom of 98 will become a key support point. If it breaks below, it will accelerate again; otherwise, it will trigger a rebound.
The fear index is approaching single digits. This is the third panic phase since the beginning of this bull market. Based on historical data, the recent bottom of 98 will become a key support point. If it breaks below, it will accelerate again; otherwise, it will trigger a rebound.
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$BTC
Bitcoin is currently in a clear downtrend from both the daily and weekly perspectives. From a technical standpoint, a head and shoulders pattern has emerged, and the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, forming a strong bearish resonance that further reinforces the weak market structure. At the same time, trading volume has drastically shrunk, accompanied by a divergence between price and volume, indicating insufficient buying support and increased downside risk. However, some indicators on the hourly and four-hour charts show signs of intraday rebound, albeit with limited strength, so short-term traders may seize opportunities when appropriate.
Strategy: Pay attention to the 101765 level; if it stabilizes above it on the hourly chart, a rebound may occur, with resistance levels around 103000, 104175, and 105280. If it breaks down, the rebound will end, with support levels around 100700, 98900, and 97400.
Bitcoin is currently in a clear downtrend from both the daily and weekly perspectives. From a technical standpoint, a head and shoulders pattern has emerged, and the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, forming a strong bearish resonance that further reinforces the weak market structure. At the same time, trading volume has drastically shrunk, accompanied by a divergence between price and volume, indicating insufficient buying support and increased downside risk. However, some indicators on the hourly and four-hour charts show signs of intraday rebound, albeit with limited strength, so short-term traders may seize opportunities when appropriate.
Strategy: Pay attention to the 101765 level; if it stabilizes above it on the hourly chart, a rebound may occur, with resistance levels around 103000, 104175, and 105280. If it breaks down, the rebound will end, with support levels around 100700, 98900, and 97400.
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$ETH
Ethereum's recent candlestick chart shows an overall downward trend. After a significant bullish candlestick on November 9, it has been in a continuous pullback. Although there were slight rebounds on November 12 and 13, it still has not broken through the previous high resistance. In terms of technical indicators, both the MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis. The histogram, although shortening, indicates a weakening of bearish momentum but has not yet turned bullish. From a short-term one-hour chart perspective, if it can hold above the resistance level of 3425, there is potential for further upward movement.
Strategy: Focus on the 3425 level. If it can hold above this level on the one-hour chart, a rebound is expected, with upper resistance levels at around 3485, 3530, and 3580. If it breaks below, the bottom rebound will end, with lower support levels around 3387, 3353, and 3310.
Ethereum's recent candlestick chart shows an overall downward trend. After a significant bullish candlestick on November 9, it has been in a continuous pullback. Although there were slight rebounds on November 12 and 13, it still has not broken through the previous high resistance. In terms of technical indicators, both the MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis. The histogram, although shortening, indicates a weakening of bearish momentum but has not yet turned bullish. From a short-term one-hour chart perspective, if it can hold above the resistance level of 3425, there is potential for further upward movement.
Strategy: Focus on the 3425 level. If it can hold above this level on the one-hour chart, a rebound is expected, with upper resistance levels at around 3485, 3530, and 3580. If it breaks below, the bottom rebound will end, with lower support levels around 3387, 3353, and 3310.
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11月13今日币圈：比特币、以太坊、山寨币行情分析及操作建议！
🚀过去24小时内，加密货币市场市值下跌0.54%，过去30天内累计下跌11.55%。主要原因如下：
1.企业利润实现——摩根士丹利的“秋季”预警引发了抛售潮。
2.衍生品清理——24 小时内 4.48 亿美元的多头头寸清算加速了下跌。
3.恐惧情绪——CMC恐惧与贪婪指数跌至14，为2025年以来的最低水平。
💥爆仓警报：
24小时全网共有142,210人被被爆仓，总额5.71亿美元，其中多头惨遭血洗（$4.48亿），空头也难幸免（$1.23亿）。
📊 主流币表现：
1.比特币（BTC）：价格约102547，24小时跌0.76%
今天重点锁定大饼 101765 这个核心点位～ 只要稳稳站在上方，1 小时级别反弹就要启动啦！上方压力区记得盯紧 103000、104175、105280 这三个关键关口～
要是不慎跌破 101765，这波触底反弹可就告一段落，下方支撑得看 100700、98900、97400 这几个梯队，做好向下衔接准备！
2.以太坊（ETH）：价格约3513，24小时涨1.94%
以太今天的 “生死线” 是 3425～ 站稳这个位置，1 小时级别反弹即刻上线，上方压力依次关注 3485、3530、3580，一步一个台阶冲起来～
一旦跌破 3425，反弹行情直接收尾，下方支撑位 3387、3353、3310 接力守护，谨慎对待回调风险！
3.BNB：价格约967，24小时涨0.95%
BNB 今天紧盯 952 这个关键点位～ 稳稳站在上方，1 小时级别反弹马上启动，上方压力区瞄准 967、982、1001，逐个突破有惊喜～
要是跌破 952，这波反弹就宣告结束，下方支撑得看 940、925、900，跟着支撑节奏走不慌！
4.SOL：价格约155，24小时涨0.05%
SOL 今天的核心看点是 153～ 只要站稳这个位置，1 小时级别反弹就能解锁，上方压力依次留意 157、161、164，稳步向上冲～
一旦跌破 153，触底反弹行情终止，下方支撑位 150、145、141 接力托底，做好应对回调的准备！
🌡️市场情绪：
今日加密货币总市值约为 3.46 万亿美元，24 小时总交易量约为 1730.2 亿美元。
当前市场情绪为14（恐惧），市场避险情绪持续，恐慌与贪婪指数长期处于“恐慌”区，现货交易量下滑，投资者在等明确信号。重点关注11月13日美比特币现货ETF净流出2.781亿美元，需跟踪机构动向。若总市值能突破50日均线（3.62万亿美元），或预示市场反弹。
今日加密涨跌榜🔥
📈 涨幅TOP3：
1.PARTI：价格 $0.1029，24小时涨45%
2.ALCX：价格 $13.5，24小时涨42%
3.ZEC：价格 $513.20，24小时涨11%
📉 跌幅TOP3：
1.ALLO：价格 $0.2820，24小时跌43%
2.LSK：价格 $0.261，24小时跌31%
3.VELODROME：价格 $0.0432，24小时跌15%
✨ 其他主流币表现：
狗狗币 (DOGE)：价格 $0.17606，24小时涨2.38%
波场 (TRX)：价格 $0.2970，24小时跌1.03%
艾达币 (ADA)：价格 $0.5661，24小时涨0.84%
Hyperliquid (HYPE)：价格 $39.232，24小时涨0.37%
Avalanche (AVAX)：价格 $17.55，24小时涨1.50%
恒星币 (XLM)：价格 $0.2909，24小时涨1.75%
Sui (SUI)：价格 $2.0218，24小时跌0.27%
Chainlink (LINK)：价格 $15.88，24小时涨2.98%
Hedera (HBAR)：价格 $0.1797，24小时跌0.50%
比特现金 (BCH)：价格 $527.4，24小时涨3.21%
Shiba Inu (SHIB)：价格 $0.00000978，24小时涨0.62%
莱特币 (LTC)：价格 $100.83，24小时涨1.04%
Pepe hiba Inu (PEPE):价格 $0.00000592，24小时涨0.51%
Toncoin (TON)：价格 $2.053，24小时涨0.10%
1.企业利润实现——摩根士丹利的“秋季”预警引发了抛售潮。
2.衍生品清理——24 小时内 4.48 亿美元的多头头寸清算加速了下跌。
3.恐惧情绪——CMC恐惧与贪婪指数跌至14，为2025年以来的最低水平。
💥爆仓警报：
24小时全网共有142,210人被被爆仓，总额5.71亿美元，其中多头惨遭血洗（$4.48亿），空头也难幸免（$1.23亿）。
📊 主流币表现：
1.比特币（BTC）：价格约102547，24小时跌0.76%
今天重点锁定大饼 101765 这个核心点位～ 只要稳稳站在上方，1 小时级别反弹就要启动啦！上方压力区记得盯紧 103000、104175、105280 这三个关键关口～
要是不慎跌破 101765，这波触底反弹可就告一段落，下方支撑得看 100700、98900、97400 这几个梯队，做好向下衔接准备！
2.以太坊（ETH）：价格约3513，24小时涨1.94%
以太今天的 “生死线” 是 3425～ 站稳这个位置，1 小时级别反弹即刻上线，上方压力依次关注 3485、3530、3580，一步一个台阶冲起来～
一旦跌破 3425，反弹行情直接收尾，下方支撑位 3387、3353、3310 接力守护，谨慎对待回调风险！
3.BNB：价格约967，24小时涨0.95%
BNB 今天紧盯 952 这个关键点位～ 稳稳站在上方，1 小时级别反弹马上启动，上方压力区瞄准 967、982、1001，逐个突破有惊喜～
要是跌破 952，这波反弹就宣告结束，下方支撑得看 940、925、900，跟着支撑节奏走不慌！
4.SOL：价格约155，24小时涨0.05%
SOL 今天的核心看点是 153～ 只要站稳这个位置，1 小时级别反弹就能解锁，上方压力依次留意 157、161、164，稳步向上冲～
一旦跌破 153，触底反弹行情终止，下方支撑位 150、145、141 接力托底，做好应对回调的准备！
🌡️市场情绪：
今日加密货币总市值约为 3.46 万亿美元，24 小时总交易量约为 1730.2 亿美元。
当前市场情绪为14（恐惧），市场避险情绪持续，恐慌与贪婪指数长期处于“恐慌”区，现货交易量下滑，投资者在等明确信号。重点关注11月13日美比特币现货ETF净流出2.781亿美元，需跟踪机构动向。若总市值能突破50日均线（3.62万亿美元），或预示市场反弹。
今日加密涨跌榜🔥
📈 涨幅TOP3：
1.PARTI：价格 $0.1029，24小时涨45%
2.ALCX：价格 $13.5，24小时涨42%
3.ZEC：价格 $513.20，24小时涨11%
📉 跌幅TOP3：
1.ALLO：价格 $0.2820，24小时跌43%
2.LSK：价格 $0.261，24小时跌31%
3.VELODROME：价格 $0.0432，24小时跌15%
✨ 其他主流币表现：
狗狗币 (DOGE)：价格 $0.17606，24小时涨2.38%
波场 (TRX)：价格 $0.2970，24小时跌1.03%
艾达币 (ADA)：价格 $0.5661，24小时涨0.84%
Hyperliquid (HYPE)：价格 $39.232，24小时涨0.37%
Avalanche (AVAX)：价格 $17.55，24小时涨1.50%
恒星币 (XLM)：价格 $0.2909，24小时涨1.75%
Sui (SUI)：价格 $2.0218，24小时跌0.27%
Chainlink (LINK)：价格 $15.88，24小时涨2.98%
Hedera (HBAR)：价格 $0.1797，24小时跌0.50%
比特现金 (BCH)：价格 $527.4，24小时涨3.21%
Shiba Inu (SHIB)：价格 $0.00000978，24小时涨0.62%
莱特币 (LTC)：价格 $100.83，24小时涨1.04%
Pepe hiba Inu (PEPE):价格 $0.00000592，24小时涨0.51%
Toncoin (TON)：价格 $2.053，24小时涨0.10%
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At present, $ICP has accumulated a large amount of liquidity around $6.18, with a leverage liquidation scale of up to $1.3 billion. The market is always very efficient in clearing excessive leveraged long and short positions, which is also one of the main reasons for the recent frequent fluctuations.
Structurally, the next major liquidity concentration zone is at $5.75, and currently, there are a large number of pending orders and liquidation points accumulated between $5.4 and $5.75. The previous 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level once acted as a support.
The next key Fibonacci retracement level below is at $5.5, which is a potential support area.
On the other hand, there is also a large accumulation of liquidity above $7.28, with a liquidation scale of about $760 million. This means that short leverage is excessively concentrated, and once the price breaks upwards, it may trigger a short-term corrective rebound. Those trapped in ICP should not be anxious; there should still be a wave of rebound opportunity to escape. #山寨币市场回暖
Structurally, the next major liquidity concentration zone is at $5.75, and currently, there are a large number of pending orders and liquidation points accumulated between $5.4 and $5.75. The previous 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level once acted as a support.
The next key Fibonacci retracement level below is at $5.5, which is a potential support area.
On the other hand, there is also a large accumulation of liquidity above $7.28, with a liquidation scale of about $760 million. This means that short leverage is excessively concentrated, and once the price breaks upwards, it may trigger a short-term corrective rebound. Those trapped in ICP should not be anxious; there should still be a wave of rebound opportunity to escape. #山寨币市场回暖
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未来会有越来越多的山寨币通过ETF，对于有的币来说通过了ETF是救命稻草，但是对于有的币来说通过了ETF只是锦上添花。
当然并不代表着一个币只要通过了ETF都可以无脑买入，ETF通过对于山寨币而言只是保证了他的下限不会归零，并不保证会暴涨。
看了一下目前市场披露的消息来看，我个人最看好的有ETF加成的主流币分别是：SOL 、XRP 、LINK 、DOGE 、HBAR 、LTC ，至于其他的DOT 、MOVE 、XLM 等等一系列币，即使ETF通过，也不会有大资金进入，这些币未来的行情更多的只是联动其他几个主流ETF币而已。#加密股IPO季
当然并不代表着一个币只要通过了ETF都可以无脑买入，ETF通过对于山寨币而言只是保证了他的下限不会归零，并不保证会暴涨。
看了一下目前市场披露的消息来看，我个人最看好的有ETF加成的主流币分别是：SOL 、XRP 、LINK 、DOGE 、HBAR 、LTC ，至于其他的DOT 、MOVE 、XLM 等等一系列币，即使ETF通过，也不会有大资金进入，这些币未来的行情更多的只是联动其他几个主流ETF币而已。#加密股IPO季
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UNI从日线级别来看，近期在销毁1亿枚的利好加持下，上涨一波后出现冲高回落，K线两连阴下跌，但下方有MA60支撑，且其MACD已经有上零轴的迹象，走势开始走强
一旦它MACD完全站上零轴，将会开启新一轮上攻，继续去冲击8.5压力位，短期它若能回调至7附近，可分批抄底现货
一旦它MACD完全站上零轴，将会开启新一轮上攻，继续去冲击8.5压力位，短期它若能回调至7附近，可分批抄底现货
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The recent market trend is that both bulls and bears are battling each other; in the last couple of days, the bears were dominant, but today the bulls are being attacked. If Ethereum drops to 3080 in the short term, it can only burst 880 million bulls; however, if it rises to 3800, it can burst 1.8 billion bears. According to the recent market patterns, who should be targeted next, the bulls or the bears?
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November 12 Today's Cryptocurrency Circle: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoin Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions!
🚀 The cryptocurrency market has fallen by 2.16% in the past 24 hours, with a total decline of 5.99% over the past 30 days. The main reasons for this trend are:
1. Large longs were liquidated today - Forced selling has intensified the selling pressure.
2. Concerns over FTX asset sale - Worries regarding SOL assets have resurfaced.
3. Geopolitical tensions - The accusations of cryptocurrency hackers from China and the US have shaken the market.
💥 Liquidation alert:
In the past 24 hours, a total of 144,373 people were liquidated across the network, amounting to $442 million, with longs suffering heavy losses ($363 million), and shorts also not spared ($78.8012 million).
1. Large longs were liquidated today - Forced selling has intensified the selling pressure.
2. Concerns over FTX asset sale - Worries regarding SOL assets have resurfaced.
3. Geopolitical tensions - The accusations of cryptocurrency hackers from China and the US have shaken the market.
💥 Liquidation alert:
In the past 24 hours, a total of 144,373 people were liquidated across the network, amounting to $442 million, with longs suffering heavy losses ($363 million), and shorts also not spared ($78.8012 million).
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The current trend is within expectations, having reached the preliminary target near 108000, followed by another decline of about 3%. Whether it can continue to rebound depends on the next couple of days!
At this stage, it has already broken below the support of the small rebound trend, and the U.S. government is about to reopen. If it can continue to rebound in line with the trend, it is expected to open up the continuation of the market. The current price is at the central point of 98000-108000, which can go up or down. Do not operate blindly; cautious small-scale operations are key.
At this stage, it has already broken below the support of the small rebound trend, and the U.S. government is about to reopen. If it can continue to rebound in line with the trend, it is expected to open up the continuation of the market. The current price is at the central point of 98000-108000, which can go up or down. Do not operate blindly; cautious small-scale operations are key.
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After the second test on November 10, ZEC experienced a significant decline in volume, with the trading volume that day clearly exceeding the previous increase in trading volume. This is a clear signal of major players offloading their positions, further confirming that ZEC has likely reached its peak.
However, ZEC may find temporary support at the 20-day moving average, leading to a rebound, and this rebound could be an opportunity for short positions to add to their holdings.
However, ZEC may find temporary support at the 20-day moving average, leading to a rebound, and this rebound could be an opportunity for short positions to add to their holdings.
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Seeing many people preparing to hold $ASTER for the long term reminds me of the outcome for many who held $PERP long-term during the late stage of the bull market in 2021. Currently, PERP has dropped 99% from its high and is about to be delisted and go to zero.
I estimate that many newcomers may not know about this coin, PERP. Let me explain: actually, the concept of decentralized contract exchanges emerged in 2021, and the best performers at that time were DYDX and GMX. As soon as these two projects came out, they snatched a lot of contract users from centralized exchanges. Binance immediately supported PERP to counter DYDX and GMX. Of course, as the bear market arrived, DYDX and GMX were gradually abandoned due to depth issues and opaque market-making mechanisms. Many people initially held PERP heavily in the hope that it would become the second BNB, but it currently looks no different from going to zero.
In fact, whether it's PERP or ASTER, both are clones supported by Binance to compete against other projects. They are brought out when useful and can be discarded anytime when not. Binance's true core business and moat lie in CEX. The only coin in the Binance ecosystem worth holding long-term is BNB. You can play with ASTER while its popularity lasts in the past two months, but if you really want to hold it for a few years, it's better to reconsider.
I estimate that many newcomers may not know about this coin, PERP. Let me explain: actually, the concept of decentralized contract exchanges emerged in 2021, and the best performers at that time were DYDX and GMX. As soon as these two projects came out, they snatched a lot of contract users from centralized exchanges. Binance immediately supported PERP to counter DYDX and GMX. Of course, as the bear market arrived, DYDX and GMX were gradually abandoned due to depth issues and opaque market-making mechanisms. Many people initially held PERP heavily in the hope that it would become the second BNB, but it currently looks no different from going to zero.
In fact, whether it's PERP or ASTER, both are clones supported by Binance to compete against other projects. They are brought out when useful and can be discarded anytime when not. Binance's true core business and moat lie in CEX. The only coin in the Binance ecosystem worth holding long-term is BNB. You can play with ASTER while its popularity lasts in the past two months, but if you really want to hold it for a few years, it's better to reconsider.
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The cow has run away again?
Every time the ETH main force is eager to try to pull BTC independently
What follows is a big watering
Isn't this ETH main force a fool?
Can't we go with the flow?
Why must we stubbornly resist the market's downward trend?
Every time the ETH main force is eager to try to pull BTC independently
What follows is a big watering
Isn't this ETH main force a fool?
Can't we go with the flow?
Why must we stubbornly resist the market's downward trend?
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Recent opportunities are plentiful, but they are all small and short-term; don't be greedy, as greed can easily lead to losses!
Currently, BTC has reached the previous stage high of around 108000 that I mentioned; whether it can rise further and how it will rise needs to be observed as we move forward, with caution as the priority. I believe there is a market, but it is a localized market; I would rather take a small loss than be deeply trapped!
Recently, the altcoin market has been active, and soon it will be the MEME market; there are opportunities, but we must not be blind; let's go for it!
Currently, BTC has reached the previous stage high of around 108000 that I mentioned; whether it can rise further and how it will rise needs to be observed as we move forward, with caution as the priority. I believe there is a market, but it is a localized market; I would rather take a small loss than be deeply trapped!
Recently, the altcoin market has been active, and soon it will be the MEME market; there are opportunities, but we must not be blind; let's go for it!
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$jct current price 0.00622 short stop loss 0.0071 target 0.005
Short is ranked first in the increase list! Let's see if we can get it to rank first in the decrease list!
Short is ranked first in the increase list! Let's see if we can get it to rank first in the decrease list!
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MarketPullback
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🚨$BTC — The Drop Isn’t Over Yet… Here’s How Much Lower It Can Go 🚨
Bitcoin just broke below 95K, and this isn’t a small correction anymore — this is a full trend breakdown on both the 4H and 1D charts. 📉
🔥Lower highs, heavy red volume, failed bounces… the market is showing clear exhaustion.
So the big question is: How much deeper can $BTC fall?
Here’s the real picture — no hype, just structure:
• 🔻 First support already tested: 94,560
• 🔻 If that cracks again, next zone opens at 92,800 – 93,300
• 🔻 Below that, major demand sits at 90,500 – 91,200
• 🔻 And the strongest downside level is 88,000 – 89,000
These are the areas where big buyers historically step back in.
Right now, BTC is in a controlled downtrend, and nothing on the candles shows a clean reversal yet.
As long as lower highs keep forming, sellers will stay in charge.
🟡 Key Levels to Watch:
• 94.5K → Weak bounce zone
• 93K → Mid support
• 91K → Strong support
• 88–89K → Final downside zone before big reversal attempts
Bitcoin isn’t crashing… it’s moving exactly how a tired market moves.
Stay calm, stay focused, and don’t let fear trade for you. ⚡📊
#MarketPullback #CryptoIn401k #AltcoinMarketRecovery #TrumpBitcoinEmpire
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