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Tomorrow's ETH Market and Strategy

Market Overview

Today, the ETH price briefly fell below $2900, currently fluctuating around $2900, with a cautious sentiment; the short-term structure remains in a weak rebound category, needing to observe if it can effectively recover and stabilize above key moving average bands.

Key Levels and Trigger Conditions

Upper Resistance: 3016, 3098, 3166; Lower Support: 2973, 2920, 2870. Trading is confirmed based on hourly closing prices.

Strategy

Breakout Long: Effective hourly close above 3016, follow with light positions, targets 3098/3166, stop loss at 2985.

Pullback Long: Re-enter after stabilizing and strengthening on the pullback to 2973-2985, targets 3016/3098, stop loss at 2945.

Breakdown Short: Effective hourly breakdown below 2973, follow shorts if rebounds do not break resistance, targets 2920/2870, stop loss at 3000.

Risk and Risk Control

Control position ≤10%; strict stop loss; pay attention to the Ethereum upgrade progress on December 3rd, beware of news amplifying volatility.

Disclaimer

The above is market analysis and trading reference, not constituting investment advice; cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, please assess risks and operate cautiously.

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明日 ETH 行情与策略

市场概况

- 价格围绕3,000 美元震荡，短线方向待选择。上方阻力：3,033 / 3,166 / 3,479 美元；下方支撑：2,988 / 2,835 / 2,659 美元。若能收复并站稳3,166 美元，反弹有望延续；跌破2,988 美元，警惕回测2,835 美元。

策略

- 区间交易：靠近2,980–3,000 美元轻仓做多，止损2,960 美元，目标3,033 / 3,166 美元；靠近3,160–3,180 美元轻仓做空，止损3,200 美元，目标3,033 / 2,988 美元。
- 突破跟随：15 分钟K线放量上破3,166 美元追多，止损3,140 美元，目标3,300 / 3,479 美元；跌破2,988 美元追空，止损3,010 美元，目标2,900 / 2,835 美元。
- 仓位≤10%，单笔风险≤1%；事件波动临近，控制杠杆，严格止盈止损。

风险与关注

- 关注12 月 3 日的Fusaka 升级进展，或提升L2采用并带来波动；同时留意ETF 资金流与期货未平仓变化对方向的放大效应。

风险提示

- 加密资产波动大，以上为市场分析与交易参考，不构成投资建议；请结合自身风险承受能力谨慎决策。

明日黄金与外汇行情与策略

市场概况

- 感恩节后流动性仍偏薄，CME数据中心故障引发短线波动放大；金价周五盘中突破4200 美元/盎司，收于附近，COMEX期金约4256 美元/盎司。市场对12 月降息的押注升至近 90%，美元偏弱，贵金属整体偏强。人民币方面，在岸/离岸人民币近期一度升破7.08，中间价偏强，短期双向波动为主。

黄金策略

- 区间：关注4180–4210震荡；上破4215追多，止损4205，目标4245/4280；下破4175追空，止损4185，目标4150/4130。
- 回撤接多：回踩4185–4195分批多，止损4175，目标4215/4245。
- 仓位≤10%，单笔风险≤1%；事件临近，控制杠杆，严格止盈止损。

外汇策略

- 美元兑加元（USD/CAD）：区间1.3980–1.4060高抛低吸；上破1.4065跟多，止损1.4035，目标1.4100/1.4150；跌破1.3975跟空，止损1.4005，目标1.3930/1.3900。关注油价与美加央行路径分化。
- 美元兑人民币（USD/CNY）：倾向7.10–7.14区间震荡；靠近7.135轻仓空，止损7.150，目标7.110/7.095；靠近7.095轻仓多，止损7.080，目标7.115/7.125。留意中间价指引与结。#币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持

Tomorrow's ETH Market Trends and Strategies

Market Overview

- Prices are fluctuating around $3,000, with short-term direction yet to be determined. Resistance levels above: $3,033 / $3,166 / $3,479; support levels below: $2,988 / $2,835 / $2,659. If it can reclaim and stabilize above $3,166, a rebound is likely to continue; if it falls below $2,988, be wary of a retracement to $2,835.

Strategies

- Range Trading: Lightly buy near $2,980–$3,000, stop loss at $2,960, target at $3,033 / $3,166; lightly sell near $3,160–$3,180, stop loss at $3,200, target at $3,033 / $2,988.
- Breakout Following: If the 15-minute candlestick volume breaks above $3,166, chase the long position, stop loss at $3,140, target at $3,300 / $3,479; if it falls below $2,988, chase the short position, stop loss at $3,010, target at $2,900 / $2,835.
- Position ≤10%, single trade risk ≤1%; as event volatility approaches, control leverage, and strictly manage take profit and stop loss.

Risks and Considerations

- Pay attention to the progress of the Fusaka upgrade on December 3, which may enhance L2 adoption and bring about volatility; also note the amplification effect of ETF fund flows and changes in futures open interest on direction.

Risk Warning

- Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, and the above is for market analysis and trading reference, not constituting investment advice; please make cautious decisions based on your own risk tolerance. $BTC $ETH #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场观察 #ETH巨鲸增持 $XRP

比特币短线分析与策略

围绕9.0万–9.2万美元震荡，最新价约90,885美元，日内高/低分别为91,055/90,471，振幅0.64%。短线动能中性；上方受MA20 92,709与MA30 96,937压制，下方MA10 88,260为即时支撑。衍生品层面，期权最大痛点上移，未来7天下跌累计多单清算更强、30天上涨累计空单清算更强，盘中波动或放大。

关键位

阻力：91,500 → 92,000 → 93,500；支撑：90,000 → 89,000 → 88,260。上行：放量站稳91,500看92,000/93,500；下行：有效跌破90,000回踩不重回，目标89,000/88,260。

策略

- 区间：回踩89,800–90,200多，止损89,000，目标91,200/91,500；反抽91,500–91,800空，止损92,000，目标90,800/90,200。
- 突破：15分钟放量上破并回踩不破91,500跟多，止损91,200，目标92,000/93,500；跌破90,000且回抽不重回跟空，止损90,300，目标89,000/88,260。
- 风控：单笔风险≤1%–2%，严格止损与分批止盈；周末流动性偏低，减半仓位防滑点。
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比特币明日行情与策略 | 12月1日

市场概况

围绕9.0万–9.2万美元震荡，短线动能中性；上方9.15万–9.35万为密集阻力，下方8.90万/8.50万为核心支撑。指标：RSI≈52、MACD零轴下金叉；布林收窄、波动走低。资金面现货ETF近两日小幅净流入，但9.3万–9.6万供应区未消化，需放量确认突破。

关键位与情景

阻力：9.15万（4H EMA）→ 9.20万（枢轴）→ 9.35万（前高/供应）。支撑：9.00万→ 8.90万→ 8.50万。上行：放量站稳9.20万，看9.35万，延伸9.50万；下行：有效跌破9.00万，回踩8.90万/8.50万。

策略

- 区间：回踩8.95万–9.00万多，止损8.88万，目标9.15万/9.20万；反抽9.15万–9.20万空，止损9.25万，目标9.00万/8.90万。
- 突破：15分钟放量上破并回踩不破9.20万跟多，止损9.15万，目标9.35万/9.50万；跌破9.00万且回抽不重回跟空，止损9.05万，目标8.90万/8.50万。
- 风控：单笔风险≤1%–2%，严格止损与分批止盈；数据/周末前后减半仓位。

风险

周末流动性回落、期权偏震荡；若9.35万久攻不破或ETF转净流出，谨防回落；8.50万失守或触发加速下探；$BTC $ETH $XRP #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹

Bitcoin Tomorrow Market Overview and Strategy | December 1

Market Overview

- The price fluctuates narrowly around $90,000–$92,000, with short-term momentum neutral; resistance area above at $91,500–$93,500, and core support zone below at $89,000/$85,000. Technical indicators show: RSI around 52, MACD golden cross below the zero line, momentum gently recovering; Bollinger Bands are narrowing, volatility is decreasing. In terms of funds and structure, there has been a slight net inflow into spot ETFs in the past two days, but there is a clear supply area above at $93,000–$96,000, which requires volume confirmation for breakthrough validity.

Key Levels and Scenario Analysis

- Resistance Zone: $91,500 (4-hour EMA) → $92,000 (intraday pivot) → $93,500 (previous high/supply area).
- Support Zone: $90,000 (psychological level) → $89,000 (short-term turning point) → $85,000 (strong support area).
- Bullish Scenario: A strong hold above $92,000 with a retest not breaking, targeting $93,500, extending to $95,000; if volume is insufficient, it may repeat in the resistance area.
- Bearish Scenario: Effectively breaking below $90,000 and not returning on the pullback, targeting $89,000/$85,000; weekend liquidity is low, beware of false breakouts/fake breakdowns amplifying volatility.

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