Mo灬Yan

害怕

Breaking news: The Federal Reserve has just injected $29 billion in liquidity into the market, the largest scale in five years. A similar situation occurred in 2020, when the cryptocurrency market experienced explosive growth, and Bitcoin prices reached an all-time high. Such a large-scale infusion of funds is likely to drive the cryptocurrency market into a new round of upward trends. #美联储降息

Brothers, pay attention! I just saw the news that the Federal Reserve is hinting at a possible interest rate cut in December! This basically means more money is going to flow into the market!

Think about it, every time the Federal Reserve increases liquidity, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum usually follow by rising. Last year, when the expectation of interest rate cuts came, Bitcoin surged from 26,000 to 38,000 in a short period! This time, history might repeat itself.

What should we do? Hold onto your mainstream coins and don't make rash moves; don't get shaken out by volatility! If your position isn't heavy, you can gradually add more during pullbacks; don't wait until it rises to chase after it!
#美联储降息

说实话，我一直比较看好BNB。仔细想想，咱们当初进币圈是为了什么？不就是想赚钱嘛。但钱哪有那么好挣，虽然确实有人在这里挣到了大钱，可之前股市里不也一样有人发财？我是今年才进来的，说实话对币的认识不算深，但亏钱的例子倒见过不少。对我自己来说，选那些相对稳一点的币，才是对资金负责。随着越来越多人进入这个圈子，币安作为现在最有影响力的平台，肯定会吸引更多新用户——BNB能稳步上涨，我觉得是大概率的事。#美联储降息

Tonight, the market atmosphere is tense. Pre-market news has come out — Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has signaled that due to inflation data, there will be no interest rate cuts and even potential rate hikes. Trump immediately publicly stated that he would never allow the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. As a result of the collision of both sides' positions, pre-market trading data has fluctuated dramatically, with both bullish and bearish forces in a stalemate. Now everyone's attention is focused on 2:30 AM; this 'decisive night' will reveal the answer: the direction of the global market will ultimately depend on whether Powell or Trump has the final say. #美联储降息预期

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The market generally expects the interest rate meeting on October 30 to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, so the outcome of the meeting itself is not the main focus. What is truly worth paying attention to is Powell's speech at the subsequent press conference. The key lies in whether he will signal a halt to the reduction of the balance sheet. A clear stop would mean a turning point for market liquidity, which would be a significant positive; conversely, if there is no action, the funding situation in the capital markets will still be difficult to improve. #美联储降息预期

Recently, there has been a big stir, as someone withdrew 820 bitcoins from Binance and Coinbase at once, with a total value of about 94 million dollars. This amount was transferred to a brand new wallet, which had no prior transaction traces, indicating an intention for long-term holding, commonly referred to in the industry as 'cold storage.' The simultaneous withdrawal from two exchanges suggests that this was not a spur-of-the-moment decision but rather a planned action, likely to avoid drawing attention. However, it still caught the eye of on-chain data.

Although this amount is not small, it is not particularly astonishing compared to the daily trading volume of bitcoin. The key point is that if this withdrawal behavior continues, the amount of bitcoin available in exchanges will decrease—when supply tightens, you know how the price trends. In fact, the bitcoin reserves in exchanges have already been declining; Binance currently has only about 610,000 left, and it continues to decrease.

Of course, withdrawing bitcoin does not necessarily indicate optimism about the market; it may also be for over-the-counter trading or arbitrage. But regardless of the motivation, the decreasing amount of bitcoin in exchanges is already a noteworthy signal. #加密市场反弹

Last night, the precious metals market fell quite sharply, with gold dropping more than 8% in one go, and silver also falling over 7%, leaving many people feeling anxious. Although there are rumors online that it's due to the potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, a closer look at the data shows that the probability of a ceasefire this year is actually very low, making that claim untenable. The real reason may be that the previous surge was too strong, and the market was due for a correction anyway. Additionally, many funds took the opportunity to sell at high levels, triggering this rapid decline. Moreover, the upcoming dialogue between China and the U.S., along with the end of India's gold buying season, has also slightly cooled market sentiment. However, this sharp drop seems more like a 'bubble squeeze' for an overheated market. In the long run, if the macro environment remains unstable, the allocation value of gold and silver still exists. Therefore, a sharp decline isn't necessarily a bad thing; it might just be preparing for the next wave of market movements.
#加密市场回调

This market is really exhausting, every day is just meaningless fluctuations and back-and-forth trading, wearing down the patience of spot holders. From a macro perspective, the crypto market should have taken off by now, but the trend has been consistently suppressed. However, cycles will always come; altcoins can really surge quickly, possibly multiplying several times within two weeks — the key is having a position when the real surge happens. This bull market feels like it's at hellish difficulty; some ask what if it ends like this? Honestly, if this bull market wraps up hastily, then no one will want to play in the crypto space anymore; neither capital nor human nature allows such a scenario to unfold. Right now, analyzing any candlestick patterns has no meaning; it's entirely a game of human nature. When everyone feels desperate, a reversal might not be far off. Stay patient and don't make decisions based on emotions. #加密市场回调

As the reserves of the U.S. banking system fall below $3 trillion, the Federal Reserve continues to tighten liquidity, revealing increasing pressure on the traditional financial system. Against this backdrop, some funds have begun to shift towards assets with stronger anti-inflation properties, and the cryptocurrency market has quietly become a new flow. Taking Cardano (ADA) as an example, its recent price has remained above $0.6472, showing a steady upward trend. Meanwhile, the Trump camp's supportive stance on cryptocurrencies has also added new expectations to the market. On one side is the traditional banking system with controlled liquidity, and on the other side is the decentralized crypto network, where funds are quietly migrating. In the current environment of tightening dollar liquidity, cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming an important direction for global capital allocation, with ADA strengthening, policy expectations, and banking pressures all becoming signals that investors cannot ignore. At this turning point, choosing the right direction is more critical than blind effort. #美财政部比特币战略储备激增

Alpha is getting serious! Last night, Binance's Alpha cleaned up a batch of bot accounts, mainly targeting users who only appear during airdrops or competitions to profit, whether manually or through scripts. As long as they are deemed 'non-contributory' by the system, they will be treated the same. These types of accounts generally do not help the ecosystem but occupy a lot of activity slots. Now, the system directly implements controls by analyzing trading habits, cash flow, and other data.

On the other hand, those who frequently engage in contracts, spot trading, and staking as old users are mostly unaffected. In simple terms, what the platform values is real contribution, not artificially inflated activity — whether you have real funds retained and deep trading in your account is the key. If you feel you have been wrongly affected, you can try to appeal, but most controls are precisely aimed at bot behavior. #加密市场回调

Bitcoin is currently at a critical technical juncture, and its trend can be summarized as follows: the price of Bitcoin is caught in a tug-of-war around $110,000, with a weak short-term technical posture and cautious market sentiment. However, after a significant pullback, it may create space for a subsequent rebound.

Specifically, the current trading price of Bitcoin is fluctuating around $112,000. The core battleground in the short term is the support level at $111,500. If the price breaks below this level, it may accelerate down to $109,000, or even deeper support at $107,800. The strong resistance level above is around $114,800, and Bitcoin needs to break through this level with volume to reverse the current bearish structure, with hopes of retesting $117,000.

From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows that Bitcoin has formed a "bearish flag" structure, which typically indicates a risk of further downside after consolidation. Meanwhile, market sentiment appears to be quite depressed, with the fear and greed index having fallen into the "extreme fear" zone. However, historical experience shows that such extreme panic sentiment can sometimes provide accumulation opportunities for long-term investors and may indicate that a rebound is near
#加密市场回调

Although ETH has been falling along with BTC recently, it is interesting that the number of large addresses holding more than 10,000 ETH has not decreased but rather increased, reaching 1,256 by October 16, setting a new historical high. Of course, part of this may be due to existing large holders spreading their funds across more addresses, but overall, the number of such addresses continues to show a growth trend. Even if there are occasional pullbacks, they are brief, and soon the price rebounds, constantly breaking new highs.

This indicates that, despite the price decline, the fundamentals of ETH have not been shaken. These large holders are likely taking advantage of market sentiment to pressure retail investors to hand over their chips, making it easier for them to accumulate. If one day we notice that the number of these large addresses starts to decrease steadily, it may indicate that the market is truly turning bearish, or that it has already entered a bearish phase.

As ordinary investors, what we can do is perhaps pay more attention to the movements of these large holders and follow their rhythm. #加密市场回调

Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating near the key support level of $110,000. If it successfully holds, it is expected to maintain a long-term upward trend and aim for higher targets; however, if it fails to hold, it may test the support range of $96,500 to $100,000 downwards. #美联储降息预期

The bull market always ends suddenly amidst the frenzy, and behind this is actually a silent harvesting. The market is now showing clear signals: gold, US stocks, Bitcoin, and other assets have seen astonishing gains this year, and institutions have already made a fortune, while retail investors continue to flood in.

History repeats itself — whether it's the 312 or 519 crashes, or the two peaks of Bitcoin in 2021 followed by a collapse, all tell us the same rule: the market is like a water pool that needs time to fill up. When retail investors are attracted by the soaring prices and fill the pool, institutions then release the water all at once at the peak, causing the pool to dry up instantly. And the next time it fills up, it requires a long wait.

What’s more brutal is that altcoins are merely props in this game. Institutions do not care which altcoin can survive; they only care about how to use them to attract retail investors to take over. In the current market, institutions have completed their targets and are preparing to exit, while the liquidity of altcoins is decreasing, and during a crash, they might go to zero directly. Retail investors are still looking forward to the "altcoin season," but funds will not flow evenly into every corner.

Remember, when all assets are soaring wildly, it is often a signal to leave. Institutions know when to pull back, while retail investors always fantasize about taking the last sip of soup. Filling the market with water takes time, but emptying the pool often only requires one night. #鲍威尔发言

In simple terms, Bitcoin was weak on October 14, with prices gradually declining. From a technical analysis perspective, the market was in a phase of fluctuating downward, with key support levels around $110,600 and resistance levels in the $116,000-$117,000 range. Additionally, some analysts mentioned that market trading volume has decreased, reflecting a cautious attitude among investors. #加密市场回调

Cherish this opportunity, don't spend all day buying and selling for a little money. Think about it, how big is the difference from one hundred to ten million? Earning dozens and losing dozens is not really a big deal; if you can't even endure this little fluctuation, how can you talk about changing your life?

Look at the determination of Musk's team; when they see a clear opportunity, they hold on firmly and wait for the value to explode. Success doesn't happen overnight; it is achieved through persistence and waiting.

Whether it's trading cryptocurrencies or stocks, the ones who really make big money are those who take a long-term approach. Those who keep making short trades, earning a thousand today and losing five thousand tomorrow, often end up losing everything. Remember, the real skill is being able to hold on; don't let short-term fluctuations throw you off balance. Hold on to your chips, and wait patiently for the flowers to bloom. #加密市场反弹

The current market shows intense divergence between bulls and bears. Some view this sharp decline as a healthy correction in the bull market, aimed at clearing excessive leverage; others see it as a warning of the start of a bear market. From the market perspective, Ethereum's short-term trend appears weak, and further fluctuations downward cannot be ruled out. Personally, I tend to adopt a high short strategy, paying close attention to the resistance area above 4100, waiting for the market to provide clearer directional signals. #美国加征关税

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