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Analysis of the Impact of US CPI Data on Bitcoin Price

Today is June 11, 2025, and the US is about to release the May CPI data (previous value 2.3%, expected 2.5%). Here are Bitcoin trend predictions for three scenarios:

1. Actual CPI is lower than expected (e.g., 2.3%-2.4%)
•Short-term impact: High probability of triggering a rapid rise in Bitcoin. The market will interpret this as a signal of cooling inflation, increasing bets on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, leading to a weaker dollar and increased attractiveness of risk assets.
◦Technical aspects: If it breaks through the recent resistance level (such as $94,000), it may quickly hit the $100,000 mark; if the data is significantly lower than expected, it may reproduce the short-term rebound after the April 2025 CPI data (when BTC rose by 8%).
◦Capital flow: Institutions may accelerate inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs (refer to the case of net inflows exceeding $5 million for 4 consecutive days after the April CPI release).
•Long-term logic: Continued cooling of inflation may consolidate BTC's safe-haven attribute as "digital gold", coupled with policy support such as the US "digital gold strategy", strengthening the long-term bullish trend.

2. Actual CPI meets expectations (2.5%)
•Short-term impact: The market has already digested expectations, and there may be a volatile market. It is necessary to judge in combination with core CPI data:
◦If the core CPI is still higher than 3%: The Federal Reserve may maintain a hawkish stance, and Bitcoin may retest the lower edge of the $83,000-$94,000 range.
◦If the core CPI also falls back: Technical aspects may dominate the trend. If BTC stands firm at the $100,000 support, it may continue to consolidate at a high level waiting for new catalysts (such as ETH technical upgrades and institutional increase messages).
•Market sentiment: On-chain data shows that BTC continues to flow out of exchanges (current balance is 2.177 million, a weekly decrease of 10,000), long-term holders' chips are locked, and short-term selling pressure is limited.

3. Actual CPI is higher than expected (e.g., 2.6%+)
•Short-term impact: Bitcoin is likely to be under pressure and fall. Rising inflation will strengthen expectations of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates or postponing interest rate cuts, and a stronger dollar will suppress risk assets.
◦Historical reference: After the CPI unexpectedly rose by 0.5% in February 2025, Bitcoin fell briefly by 3%, and panic caused a surge in long positions being liquidated (similar to the current fragile structure where long positions account for 67% of the entire network).
◦Key support: Need to pay attention to $83,000 (strong technical support in June 2025). If it falls below, it may trigger algorithm trading to sell off and further probe $75,000.
•Mid-term strategy: If inflation continues to rebound, BTC may enter a adjustment cycle, and funds may turn to gold with stronger anti-inflation attributes.

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Bitcoin to zero?

Binance Alpha is officially launched! The new king of GameFi is here—Puffverse, which is expected to become the next The Sandbox?

Previously, Puffverse set a record of 656 million USDT in subscriptions on Gate Launchpad, attracting 35,000 people to scramble for it, making it the hottest project in Gate's history!

Now, it has landed on Binance Alpha, and the hype is once again skyrocketing!

Why is Puffverse receiving so much attention?
• Developed by the core teams from Xiaomi and Alibaba, its product capabilities completely surpass traditional blockchain games
• 3D immersive virtual world + multi-character growth system, combined with AI narrative gameplay, truly achieving a dimensionality reduction strike in GameFi
• The official season has started, the gold mining mechanism is activated, and the ticket system continues to burn $PFVS, with a robust and sustainable economic model
• Grand long-term vision: AI + SportFi + SocialFi to create a multi-dimensional ecosystem, and in the future, immersive gaming experiences can be achieved through wearable devices

Capital recognition is at its peak:
• Animoca Brands: A leader in the metaverse track
• Foresight Ventures: The driving force behind OP/SUI
• Spartan: Focused on trend projects
• Hashkey: A bridge connecting traditional and crypto
• Sky Mavis (Axie parent company): Strategic support in place

Puffverse, this could be the true "King of Potential" in the GameFi track.
Binance Alpha is now live, and this is the perfect time to get involved!

So much Pizza!
Thank you Binance!
The best pizza today!
Everyone is well-fed today!
@binancezh @cz_binance