CryptoPainter_X

You think my analysis is ambiguous, saying it's both bullish and bearish; that means you haven't understood the fundamental logic of the market's unpredictability;

Not predicting is a respect for the market. I have also made various eye-catching predictions and gained a lot of attention and traffic;

But what is the point of that?

In the market, being able to make a profit is the top priority!

Every analysis considers various situations, and only when one of those situations arises...

Can you take the corresponding action; otherwise, as soon as the price moves slightly against your expectations, you will just foolishly watch the market go by or watch your position lose...

That is a reactive behavior typical of inexperienced traders...

In the market, those who maintain high-frequency decision-making are the ones who can survive long-term!

Are those long-term players who hold positions for a year really not looking at the market after placing their orders?

Impossible. They are simply making judgments at each decision-making point when the market moves and choosing to continue holding their positions...

Note: The tweet in the map from the SEC warning about the fraudulent risks of trading on PUMPFUN has not been confirmed;

Using Grok and the X account search function, there is no evidence to prove the existence of this tweet.

However, it is true that X has frozen Pump's official account, but the information related to the SEC currently seems more like FUD...

Seeing Pump fun also being banned by X, it seems that there is a new explanation for the previous bans on major accounts...

To put it simply, the MEME coins and on-chain markets are starting to have properties similar to 'fraud' in the eyes of X's legal team...

If a large number of American users lose money on X due to rampant CA, then theoretically, there is a possibility of forming a class action lawsuit...

This is a risk for X, with no profit...

Speaking of which, X is increasingly resembling domestic social platforms, where users are willing to bear their own gains and losses, but it insists on waving the banner of protecting users to avoid risks...

It can be understood, but it still feels inappropriate...

Preparing to verify the airdrop rules on @virtuals_io:

1. The official rule states that "selling Genesis airdrop tokens will result in the inability to receive subsequent airdrops";

2. After the IRIS sale, I directly sold all tokens including the airdrop, and later bought back the airdrop amount after the price dropped for a while;

3. Next, let's see if I can receive the next Genesis airdrop!

4. Today I received two airdrops from @Vader_AI_, the amount is very small, so I staked them directly...

Additionally, I am still in jail...

I suddenly noticed that the total amount of points distributed daily by the platform has seen a significant increase again, suspecting that this is related to the recent surge in new users. Many people are puzzled that their points did not increase proportionally, but this is normal because these points have been taken by the new users...

After a massive wave of resignations at Alpha, Virtual is bound to become the next platform for gathering easy gains...

Previously, the thousands of people on @virtuals_io were all empty streets for IRIS, and I ran away as soon as it opened...

Ten days in prison in exchange for being able to increase my holdings of Virtual next time, while losing 10 days of points.

The supply and demand model of Agents is unclear, but the supply and demand model of Virtual is very clear, so under this model, the risk-reward ratio is still highest by staking v to earn points.

Since last Thursday, the total futures positions of BTC have not shown significant growth or decline;

This may represent that people are gradually reducing their trading desires, and the current market remains in a high-range zone, with the probability of oscillating for a longer time increasing.

This situation should be a preparation for the trend market in July to August.

Don’t ask me if it will rise or fall, I can’t possibly know...

But after this boring oscillation, as long as the price leaves the 100k~110k range:

I will definitely chase!

Since LABUBU became popular, there are more people at Pop Mart than before…

When people shake the boxes, there is a hint of speculative sentiment…

Is this considered physical chain sweeping? 😂

Suddenly discovered that @ethos_network's daily contribution page has been updated!

The first season can be considered officially started!

I casually did a daily contribution and found that the comments I brushed through suddenly felt very normal, no longer having that AI-generated feel, especially with the proportion of Chinese content significantly reduced!

In the first season, I currently have 91,000 points, with a total of 270,000 points accumulated, it seems I can start writing reviews again!

On the other hand, it feels like the overall response speed and smoothness of the platform has improved a lot, the previous lagging and bugs are gone!

Many people have actually been quite pessimistic about this application recently, but I still like it!

My credit score has finally surpassed 2100, ranking 23rd on the entire site, I always feel that the official pause in expansion over the past month has had an effect, with the disappearance of a large number of bots, this platform has regained its vitality!

After more than a month, I have also regained 2 invitation codes!

Teachers who want to enter this on-chain credit score platform, if you meet the following conditions, please leave a message in the comment area!

1. Willing to give real evaluations and guarantee pledges to other users, no less than 1E;

2. Quality ranking of followers on Xhunt enters the top 50,000;

3. Not a bot or a matrix account.

Live at @Sidekick_Labs tonight at 9:00!

Bad news: The voting results are a bit unusual this time; it seems there are quite a few people holding large positions...

Good news: I've got the official lucky bags again. Although they are currently in testing, these lucky bags are indeed real live airdrops!

Link below ⬇️

$Kaito is about to reach the core chip area, and is still 0.1 dollars away from my added position at 1.33 dollars. After some thought, I've decided to add one ETH at both 1.43 and 1.33...

If 1.33 can't hold, the next add position will be at the 1 dollar round number...

Those who listened to my advice and didn't enter at a high price should be comfortable now. I've said it many times, although I'm very optimistic about @KaitoAI, the technical price is still too overvalued;

Only below 1.33 can it be considered a discounted price~

You all say I should just talk about it... but I really have no interest in researching projects that don't interest me...

Today, @Humanityprot and @Mira_Network are trending again. The former addresses real human verification, while the latter deals with AI verification. In my opinion, both are great projects, but they aren't the kind of products that excite me...

Currently, the only projects I'm enthusiastic about are @KaitoAI, @Sidekick_Labs, and @virtuals_io. I believe these have long-term potential and can become huge platforms.

Although I can't earn any substantial rewards, I just genuinely like them!

In fact, Kaito also has a loyalty factor; if you try to dabble in everything, you end up getting nothing...

Most people only dabble for the airdrop during the TGE, just for a few hundred or thousand dollars, while I'm dabbling because I truly believe this project can develop long-term. I not only need to be optimistic verbally, but I will also invest in my wallet...

So, compared to projects that haven't issued tokens yet, I prefer those that have already issued tokens. The real big outcome is to hit the right track and the right leading project.

And to some extent, bind my account risk with its future...

There’s no risk (just talking) or the risk is too high (heavy investment), neither is a perfect strategy;

This cycle will definitely produce some projects that will survive to the next cycle or the one after that. Even if I don't have several million to invest in them now, a few tweets to help out, a few thousand dollars to support, there's absolutely no pressure!

Good news is everywhere, prices are stagnant;
It's not that no one is buying, but that some are selling.

It's been a while since I shared X traffic and market analysis~

In fact, looking at the past year, whenever BTC deviates from market expectations, traffic tends to increase!

And when the market starts to enter a boring consolidation phase, traffic gradually declines...

I think the most useful aspect of this data is that it allows us to observe the overall risk exposure in the current market.

People only pay attention to market information when they have positions!

So it's clear that the continuous rise over the past two months indicates that there are actually many retail investors holding positions!

The recent pullback has caused many people to exit the market again, and without positions, they naturally become uninterested in browsing Twitter, so traffic will gradually decline.

Therefore, the conclusion is: the crypto market will likely enter a prolonged period of range-bound consolidation, with boredom, fluctuations, and small-scale corrections becoming the norm!

Suddenly realized a question: some tokens are strong because people hold them not to profit from the price fluctuations of the token, but to profit from the growth in the number of tokens!

When the price of SOL was strong, people were fighting for more SOL, and during this time, they didn't even care about the price fluctuations of SOL...

Similarly, during the last bull market when ETH was strong, people cared about how much ETH their NFTs were worth, not about ETH itself...

This also explains why those who became wealthy through altcoins are essentially still calculating how much their paper wealth is worth in BTC, and even all assets in the crypto space need to be measured by how many BTC they are worth.

Is this the reason why BTC remains so strong?

On the contrary, when people start to worry about the price of SOL or ETH, it is actually because there are no good opportunities to earn SOL or ETH, which means that the supply of chips that do not constitute supply will be released...

This leads to a drop in coin prices and exacerbates this vicious cycle...

On this basis, when will BTC go bear?

$ETH Left side accumulation zone has accumulated a trading volume of 33.48 million coins, and the current zone has already traded 21.11 million coins;

In other words, as long as the current zone can continue to be maintained and does not break the bullish structure, then ETH has the hope of entering a new trend!

Essentially, this is a process of swapping low-price chips for high-price chips.

If the swap is completed and the trend structure is in a bullish trend, then it is an accumulation zone again; conversely, if the new zone has developed a bearish structure, then it is a distribution zone...

The results will basically be out in the next two weeks, and I sincerely hope that ETH is not once again a false hope...

Girls actually have a natural advantage in the crypto space, as men make up at least 80% of this circle. Therefore, as long as girls achieve a professional level above the average in their field, the result will be close to the top tier.

So if you are a girl and want to effectively manage your personal brand or account,

you need to make good use of your natural advantages, avoid competing with us men, and instead learn to work smarter, not harder!

I have seen many beautiful and competent female bloggers; they are the prodigies of this circle!

James has opened a position again! Still a 40x long position!

The position value has reached over 18,000 USD!

Now I am starting to believe that he might have really been engaging in wash trading for money laundering before…

The reason mainstream CEXs banned his account is likely due to receiving black U…

And recently, based on his statements and this rather ironic long position, it looks more like a deliberate performance…

The first bearish candle appears on the weekly average K of $BTC;

Therefore, what we can mainly see in the next 1-2 months is high-range fluctuations...

Over the weekend, a volume reduction increase above 104.6k showed a phenomenon of 'price increase, premium decrease', short-term long positions can consider taking profit.

Bulls are starting to enter, and there may be a small wave of upward movement before Monday. This kind of movement is quite frustrating, but fortunately, I chose to not trade at all~

Currently, the rebound target will be at 106k or 108k... In any case, this kind of futures-market divergence situation carries certain risks, and futures positions are also rapidly recovering.

Over the weekend, there was a phenomenon of "price increase, premium decrease" with a volume drop above 104.6k, short-term long positions can consider taking profit.

Bulls are starting to enter the market, and there may be a small wave of upward movement before Monday; this kind of movement is quite unpleasant, but I’m glad I chose not to trade at all~

Currently, the rebound target will be around 106k or 107k... In any case, this situation of divergence between futures and spot carries certain risks, and futures positions are also rapidly recovering.