The U.S. government has been partially shut down since October, fiscal appropriations are blocked, and market liquidity continues to tighten.

This shutdown means that some institutions are paralyzed, data delays, and regulatory slowdowns, leading to chaotic market expectations.

Macro level:

1️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields are high, the dollar remains strong, and funds are trending towards safe havens.

2️⃣ Risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) are under pressure in the short term, and volatility is increasing.

3️⃣ Once the shutdown ends or a fiscal compromise is reached, liquidity is expected to quickly rebound.

Strategy idea:

I currently lean towards a light position and will focus on the key support and resistance zones of $BTC and $ETH .

If there are signs of a breakout during the beauty plate period, then follow along with a small position.

Tonight, market fluctuations may be significant; it is advised to strictly set stop-losses and avoid blindly chasing orders.