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Bitcoin (BTC) bt$BTC – Current State & Short-Term Outlook 1. Current Price & Market Snapshot Bitcoin is trading around US $103,000. Market cap remains above US $2 trillion, and its dominant status in crypto is intact. Despite the high valuation, recent price momentum has cooled and there is increasing caution among traders. 2. Technical Analysis & Key Levels Resistance: A major horizontal resistance zone lies around US $106,700, which previously acted as support and has now flipped to resistance. Failure to clear this zone could marginalize bullish momentum. Support: Critical support sits near US $100,000. A break below this may trigger larger downside moves. Some analysts suggest a deeper pullback toward US $74,000 if the support breaks decisively. Trend & Signals: The so-called “death cross” (50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA) is looming, which would be a bearish signal in many traders’ playbooks. On-chain metrics show long-term holders beginning to sell and new demand is not yet picking up strongly. 3. Fundamental & Sentiment Drivers Institutional interest (via ETFs and large funds) remains a key underpinning for Bitcoin’s medium-to-long-term outlook, though in the near-term flows appear to be slowing. Macro risks (e.g., strength of the U.S. dollar, regulatory uncertainty) continue to weigh on sentiment. The market is in a sort of tug-of-war: bullish structural factors vs. short-term technical weakness and lack of strong breakout momentum. 4. Possible Scenarios Ahead Scenario Description Implication for BTC Bullish breakout BTC clears $106.7k resistance with strong volume and momentum Could target the US $120k-130k range in the coming months (if momentum fuels) Range-bound / consolidation BTC remains stuck between ~$100k support and ~$106k resistance Expect sideways trading, limited upside, possible disappointment for bulls Bearish breakdown BTC breaks below ~$100k support with technical sell-signals & weak demand Risk of a deeper pullback toward $74k)

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