$BTC The Wednesday Strategy. Out of 18 Wednesdays, 11 | Bluechip on Binance Square

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$BTC  The Wednesday Strategy.Out of 18 Wednesdays, 11 showed downside (61%) and 7 showed upside (39%).
The boxes mark Wednesday to Friday. When price dips into the Wednesday pivot, we can see a 1-2% bounce. On the other hand, If price pumps up into wednesday, we see a reversal.

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THIS GUY FROM REDDIT PREDICTED THE EXACT LOCAL TOP AT 6 OCT!

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JAPAN’S QUIET BITCOIN PIVOT Receipt first, story second. • Metaplanet is now a listed BTC treasury vehicle. Its CEO says roughly 0.2% of Japan hold the stock. • 3350.T closed near ¥413 on 11 Nov 2025. Q3 call is set for 13 Nov. • Capital Group disclosed about 11.45% ownership in late September. • A roughly 100 million dollar BTC-collateralized loan in November increased firepower and raised liquidation risk. • Regulators are exploring bank custody and trading of BTC. • GPIF’s 2024 request for information that included BTC remains open. No allocation has been announced. What it means, without romance: a public company is attempting to act like a reserve vault. If that experiment works, corporate treasuries change. If it fails, it will fail the old way, through liquidity first and solvency second. Scale the stakes with simple arithmetic. If GPIF ever pilots 0.1 percent, that is about 1.5 billion dollars of demand. One percent would be about 15 billion. These are scenarios, not promises. Name the risks. Equity wrappers add issuance, dilution, custody exposure, and foreign exchange whiplash. A thirty percent BTC drawdown could pressure collateral on the new loan. A stronger yen can unwind the carry. Survival through volatility is the invariant. How to read it. Own the asset if you want the asset. Use the wrapper only if you can price its risks. Measure success in bitcoin held and hours of life returned, not in tickers watched. Watch next. Metaplanet debt terms on the 13th. The FSA rule path. Any movement from GPIF. The dam has not broken. The ice is cracking.

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$BTC We broke below $104K after testing the Q3 open. Watch this zone for a retest. If we hold below, lights out, sub $100K incoming. Sweeping the weekend lows is possible; staying above them is important. Overall, need to reclaim 104K otherwise trend remains bearish.

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OpenAI at ~$500B: not a chatbot company, a compute-and-power company. If the sticker is real, the math must be real. Receipt math: a private value near $500B priced at a mature 15–20x EBITDA implies ~$25–35B EBITDA inside 3–4 years. With sustainable gross margins in the 40–50% range once custom silicon and long-dated power contracts land, that points to ~$60–80B annual revenue. Anything materially below that and the multiple is carrying narrative, not cash. What has to go right • Chips: own or tightly controlled silicon and schedulers that cut inference cost per million tokens by an order of magnitude. • Power: multi-gigawatt PPAs, steady latency under heavy load, and a path to cheap electrons at scale. • Distribution: default placement at work and on devices so assistants graduate from chat to verifiable, liability-aware workflows. • Regulation: high fixed safety and compliance costs that only a few players can afford. What can break it • Model parity compressing prices. • Scarce GPUs and grid constraints keeping COGS high. • Hyperscaler take-rates pinning margins. • Agents that wow demos but fail enterprise audits. Investor dashboard to watch 1. Inference cost per 1M tokens 2. Long-context latency SLOs 3. Enterprise ARR and net retention 4. Non-Microsoft compute share and chip tape-out milestones 5. Agent-driven transactions per DAU The curve to justify ~$500B bends on three levers: chips, power, distribution. Nail them and this becomes the first true software-energy company. Miss them and gravity will test the multiple.

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OpenAI’s journey is wild: The company was founded in 2015 as a nonprofit with $1 billion in funding. In 2019, Microsoft invested $1 billion in OpenAI under a multi-year partnership to build AI supercomputing technologies. By the ChatGPT launch in November 2022, the company was already worth ~$20 billion. Between November 2022 and March 2025, its valuation has surged +1,400%, to ~$300 billion. Today, the company’s valuation is estimated at $500 billion, TRIPLING over the last 12 months. The AI revolution is moving faster than ever.

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